Zelensky boasts with capture of more Russian troops in Kursk prisoner ‘exchange fund’ is growing thumbnail

Zelensky boasts with capture of more Russian troops in Kursk prisoner ‘exchange fund’ is growing

ZELENSKY: ‘OUR FORCES CONTROL 74 SETTLEMENTS’: A week in, the outlines of Ukraine’s counter-invasion of Russia are becoming clearer. In a post on X, President Volodymyr Zelensky is seen getting a briefing from his top commander, Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, who reports that Ukrainian forces have captured an additional 15 square miles of Russian territory over the previous 24 hours.

“Fights are ongoing along the entire front line. The situation, despite the high intensity of combat, is under control,” Syrskyi said. 

“Despite the difficult and intense battles, our forces continue to advance in the Kursk region, and our state’s ‘exchange fund’ is growing,” Zelensky says in the post, a reference to the potential to trade newly captured Russian troops for Ukrainian prisoners of war. 

“I thank all our guys who are replenishing the exchange fund – this is very important for our state,” Zelensky said in his nightly video address. “Hundreds of Russian servicemen have already surrendered, and all of them will receive humane treatment. They did not experience such treatment even in their own Russian army.”

Zelensky says the Ukrainian forces are taking care to treat civilians in the newly occupied areas humanely to draw a contrast with Russia’s brutality. “Seventy-four communities are under Ukrainian control, where inspections and stabilization measures are being carried out. The development of humanitarian solutions for these territories continues.”

WHITE HOUSE SAYS IT WAS NOT INFORMED AHEAD OF UKRAINE’S RUSSIA INCURSION

UKRAINE FOREIGN MINISTRY: NO INTEREST IN HOLDING KURSK: While Russia is rushing fresh reserves, aircraft, drone teams, and artillery to Kursk to stop the Ukrainian advance, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry said Ukraine does not have long-term designs on Kursk but launched the operation to stop the constant artillery strikes that have been launched across the border into Ukraine.

“Unlike Russia, Ukraine doesn’t need what doesn’t belong to it. Ukraine is not interested in taking the territory of the Kursk region, but we want to protect the lives of our people,” spokesperson Heorhii Tykhyi said. “Just a reminder, from the districts of the Kursk region, since the beginning of this summer alone against Ukraine’s Sumy region, over 2,000 attacks. These include MLRS strikes, artillery shelling, mortar fire, drone attacks, 255 gilded bombs, and over 100 missiles.”

Tykhyi also said Ukraine’s Kursk offensive is aimed at preventing Russia from reinforcing its troops in Donetsk.

UKRAINE CITES RUSSIA RAID TO PUSH BIDEN FOR LONG-RANGE STRIKES

BOLTON: TRUMP’S TOUGH GUY TALK ‘MADE UP’: In an appearance on CNN Monday night, former Trump national security adviser John Bolton scoffed at former President Donald Trump’s oft-told anecdote about how he prevented the invasion of Ukraine while he was in office with his tough talk.

“I said to Vladimir Putin, I said, ‘Don’t do it. You can’t do it, Vladimir. You do it, it’s going to be a bad day. You cannot do it.’ And I told him things that – what I do, and he said, ‘No way.’ And I said, ‘way,’” Trump said in his Monday night conversation with Elon Musk. “I got along well with him. I hope to get along well with him again.”

“This is imagination on Trump’s part,” Bolton said on CNN. “It’s not even how Donald Trump talks. It’s how he wished he talked, and how he wished he could show that he’s the big alpha guy.”

“I think Trump’s making that up. He certainly didn’t have that conversation with Putin when I was in the White House. I don’t believe he had it before then. I can’t really speak to what came after. But this is another case of Trump making things up that it’s hard to prove or disprove. He can say he had some private conversation at a dinner, at a G20 meeting, or something like that,” Bolton said. “I don’t think it happened. And I don’t think that there was really an occasion for Trump to have that conversation. But it fits the persona that Trump thinks he has.”

“I personally, having watched Trump and Putin together, on several occasions, having listened to their phone conversations, having myself met Putin, on any number of occasions, going back to October of 2001, I think that Putin essentially thinks that Trump is an easy mark. He doesn’t respect him. But he understands that using flattery with Trump can get him a long way.” Bolton said. “I think if Trump did put together the meeting he says he wants to have between Zelensky and Putin, in a room together, to solve the Ukraine crisis, I think Putin would take Trump to the cleaners.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Even as fighting continues in Gaza, and a threatened strike against Israel by Iran and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon looms, the U.S. is hoping ceasefire negotiations planned for tomorrow in Qatar could finally secure a deal that would end the fighting and free the remaining 110 hostages still held by Hamas in Gaza.

Chances for a breakthrough seem slim, as President Joe Biden conceded when he spoke to reporters yesterday after landing in Kenner, Louisiana. “It’s getting hard,” Biden said. “We’ll see what Iran does, and we’ll see what happens if there’s any attack. But I’m not giving up.”

Biden was asked whether a ceasefire deal would avert an Iranian strike. “That’s my expectation, but we’ll see,” he replied.

Asked about the phone call with Benjamin Netanyahu, where he reportedly told the Israeli prime minister to “stop bullshitting,” Biden said, “If I told you what pressure I was putting on, it wouldn’t be very much pressure, would it?”

IRANIAN OFFICIALS REVEAL ONLY WAY ISRAEL CAN POSTPONE RETALIATORY ATTACK

$20 BILLION IN ARMS APPROVED FOR ISRAEL: In a series of releases from the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, the U.S. announced that the State Department had approved a package of future arms sales to Israel totaling $20 billion.

The bulk of the package, $18.82 billion, is for more than 50 advanced Boeing F-15IA and F-15I+ fighter jets tailored for the Israeli Air Forces. The package also includes Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles, or AMRAAMs, 120 mm tank ammunition, high-explosive mortar cartridges, and tactical vehicles.

“The United States is committed to the security of Israel, and it is vital to U.S. national interests to assist Israel to develop and maintain a strong and ready self-defense capability. This proposed sale is consistent with those objectives,” DSCA said in a release. “Incorporating F-15IAs into the Israel Air Force’s fleet of fighter aircraft will enhance Israel’s interoperability with U.S. systems and bolster Israel’s aerial capabilities to meet current and future enemy threats, strengthen its homeland defense, and serve as a deterrent to regional threats.”

These are new jets that Boeing must build, so they won’t be delivered to Israel until 2029.

ISRAELI FIREBRAND BEN GVIR CHALLENGES NETANYAHU ON TEMPLE MOUNT

WALZ: ‘I AM DAMN PROUD OF MY SERVICE’: In his first solo speech since being tapped as Vice President Kamala Harris’s running mate, Tim Walz slipped in a defense of his 24-year military record without directly addressing the two main criticisms leveled at him by J.D. Vance and some military veterans, namely that he misrepresented his rank at retirement and that he “abandoned” his National Guard unit by choosing retirement over deployment to Iraq.

“These guys are even attacking me for my record of service. And I want to say, I’m proud to have served my country, and I always will be,” Walz said in remarks to a government employees union convention in Los Angeles.

“With my dad’s encouragement, a guy who served in the Army during the Korean War, I signed up for the Army National Guard two days after my 17th birthday. I served for the next 24 years for the same reason all my brothers and sisters in uniform do. We love this country,” Walz said. “Then, in 2005, I felt the call of duty again, this time being service to my country in the halls of Congress. My students inspired me to run for that office, and I was proud to make it to Washington. I was a member of the Veterans Affairs Committee and a champion of our men and women in uniform.”

“I’m going to say it again as clearly as I can, I am damn proud of my service to this country,” Walz said to enthusiastic applause from the friendly crowd. “And I firmly believe you should never denigrate another person’s service record. To anyone brave enough to put on that uniform for our great country, including my opponent, I just have a few simple words: thank you for your service and sacrifice.”

WALZ DEFENDS MILITARY RECORD AMID CONTROVERSY IN FIRST SOLO SPEECH

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: White House says it was not informed ahead of Ukraine’s Russia incursion

Washington Examiner: Ukraine cites Russia raid to push Biden for long-range strikes

Washington Examiner: US sending $20 billion weapon package to Israel amid growing concerns over war

Washington Examiner: Israeli firebrand Ben Gvir challenges Netanyahu on Temple Mount

Washington Examiner: Iranian officials reveal only way Israel can postpone retaliatory attack

Washington Examiner: Walz defends military record amid controversy in first solo speech

Washington Examiner: Biden tightening asylum process as illegal immigration surges on Canadian border

Washington Examiner: HHS under GOP fire for putting migrant children ‘in danger’

Washington Examiner: Trump plans $100 million suit against DOJ for Mar-a-Lago raid

Washington Examiner: ‘J6 praying grandma’ vows to appeal six-month home confinement sentence

Washington Examiner: Ilhan Omar survives primary as other ‘Squad’ members are booted from Congress

Washington Examiner: Maryland Democrat Steny Hoyer, 85, suffers mild stroke

Washington Examiner: Opinion: European crackdown on X and free speech deserves utter derision

Washington Examiner: Opinion: China carrier deployment underlines US Navy overstretch

New York Times: Deception and a Gamble: How Ukrainian Troops Invaded Russia

Wall Street Journal: Russia-Iran Ties Are Being Strained by Parallel Conflicts

AP: Russia says it thwarted a Ukrainian charge to expand its incursion

Wall Street Journal: Russian Pulls Some Forces Out Of Ukraine

Air & Space Forces Magazine: From Fighters to Tankers, US Military Flexes Airpower in Middle East as Iran Threatens Israel

Business Insider: The U.S. Naval Presence Around The Middle East Is Getting A Firepower Boost. Here Are The Warships Already There And What’s On The Way.

New York Times: Joint Military Exercises By China And Russia Highlight New Strategic Threat

Washington Post: Defense Secretary’s Intervention In 9/11 Cases Faces Judge’s Scrutiny

USNI News: SWO Boss: 75-Warship Readiness Goal Remains A Work In Progress

Defense One: F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Deal Is Dead—for Now

The War Zone: Super Quiet Special Operations Drones May Migrate to Pacific Theater

Soldier of Fortune: Against Enemy Fire: Inside Israel’s Daring Mission to Rescue Hostages in Gaza

Air & Space Forces Magazine: NORAD Boss Calls for Better Arctic Awareness

Defense News: Space Force, Allies Craft Global Supply Chain Strategy

Air & Space Forces Magazine: State Department Approves Sale of New, Updated F-15s to Israel

DefenseScoop: Beyond 5G: Pentagon Sets Sights on Next-Generation Wireless Tech with New Projects

SpaceNews: Lockheed Martin Taps General Dynamics for Solid Rocket Motor Manufacturing

Miliary.com: Air Force Bucks EPA Order to Clean Up ‘Forever Chemicals’ in Arizona, Citing Supreme Court Ruling

Task & Purpose: Seeking ‘Warfighter Mindset,’ Air Force Basic Trainees Now Carrying Rifles Through Boot Camp

Task & Purpose: Ditch Fast Food On Base To Reduce Obesity, Says Pentagon’s Top Senior Enlisted Leader

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force People Czar Wants to Make PCSing Easier by 2025

The Cipher Brief: Ukraine’s Kursk Invasion Sends Shockwaves Through Russia: ‘How Did We Miss It?’

The Cipher Brief: How Putin’s War on Georgia Foreshadowed His Invasion of Ukraine 

The Cipher Brief: No Idle Threat: Cyber Attacks and the U.S. Water Supply

Breaking Defense: Opinion: The Army Wants Its Own ‘Space Force.’ They Shouldn’t Be Allowed to Have It.

National Security Journal: Iran: The Next Nuclear Weapons State? 

National Security Journal: Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive Could Be a Real Game Changer

National Security Journal: Could South Korea Start Building Nuclear Weapons? 

National Security Journal: Russia’s Lada-Class Submarines Are Coming Out of the Shadows

THE CALENDAR:

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14

9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler

9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape

11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea

4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice

2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff

THURSDAY | AUGUST 15

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david

12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control

FRIDAY | AUGUST 16

2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum

TUESDAY | AUGUST 20

10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “The Wagner Group and Russia in Africa one year after Prigozhin’s death,” with Christopher Faulkner, assistant professor, College of Distance Education, U.S. Naval War College; Mark Galeotti, executive director, Mayak Intelligence; John Lechner, independent researcher; Angela Stent, nonresident senior fellow,  Brookings Center on the United States and Europe; and moderator Vanda Felbab-Brown, senior fellow and director, Initiative on Nonstate Armed Actors, co-director,  Brookings Africa Security Initiative https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-wagner-group-and-russia

FRIDAY | AUGUST 23

10 a.m.  2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group “coffee-conversation,” with Christopher Maier, assistant secretary of defense for special operation and low-intensity conflict RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu

2024-08-14 11:07:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpolicy%2Fdefense%2F3120884%2Fzelensky-boasts-with-capture-of-more-russian-troops-in-kursk-prisoner-exchange-fund-is-growing%2F?w=600&h=450, ZELENSKY: ‘OUR FORCES CONTROL 74 SETTLEMENTS’: A week in, the outlines of Ukraine’s counter-invasion of Russia are becoming clearer. In a post on X, President Volodymyr Zelensky is seen getting a briefing from his top commander, Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, who reports that Ukrainian forces have captured an additional 15 square miles of Russian territory over,

ZELENSKY: ‘OUR FORCES CONTROL 74 SETTLEMENTS’: A week in, the outlines of Ukraine’s counter-invasion of Russia are becoming clearer. In a post on X, President Volodymyr Zelensky is seen getting a briefing from his top commander, Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, who reports that Ukrainian forces have captured an additional 15 square miles of Russian territory over the previous 24 hours.

“Fights are ongoing along the entire front line. The situation, despite the high intensity of combat, is under control,” Syrskyi said. 

“Despite the difficult and intense battles, our forces continue to advance in the Kursk region, and our state’s ‘exchange fund’ is growing,” Zelensky says in the post, a reference to the potential to trade newly captured Russian troops for Ukrainian prisoners of war. 

“I thank all our guys who are replenishing the exchange fund – this is very important for our state,” Zelensky said in his nightly video address. “Hundreds of Russian servicemen have already surrendered, and all of them will receive humane treatment. They did not experience such treatment even in their own Russian army.”

Zelensky says the Ukrainian forces are taking care to treat civilians in the newly occupied areas humanely to draw a contrast with Russia’s brutality. “Seventy-four communities are under Ukrainian control, where inspections and stabilization measures are being carried out. The development of humanitarian solutions for these territories continues.”

WHITE HOUSE SAYS IT WAS NOT INFORMED AHEAD OF UKRAINE’S RUSSIA INCURSION

UKRAINE FOREIGN MINISTRY: NO INTEREST IN HOLDING KURSK: While Russia is rushing fresh reserves, aircraft, drone teams, and artillery to Kursk to stop the Ukrainian advance, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry said Ukraine does not have long-term designs on Kursk but launched the operation to stop the constant artillery strikes that have been launched across the border into Ukraine.

“Unlike Russia, Ukraine doesn’t need what doesn’t belong to it. Ukraine is not interested in taking the territory of the Kursk region, but we want to protect the lives of our people,” spokesperson Heorhii Tykhyi said. “Just a reminder, from the districts of the Kursk region, since the beginning of this summer alone against Ukraine’s Sumy region, over 2,000 attacks. These include MLRS strikes, artillery shelling, mortar fire, drone attacks, 255 gilded bombs, and over 100 missiles.”

Tykhyi also said Ukraine’s Kursk offensive is aimed at preventing Russia from reinforcing its troops in Donetsk.

UKRAINE CITES RUSSIA RAID TO PUSH BIDEN FOR LONG-RANGE STRIKES

BOLTON: TRUMP’S TOUGH GUY TALK ‘MADE UP’: In an appearance on CNN Monday night, former Trump national security adviser John Bolton scoffed at former President Donald Trump’s oft-told anecdote about how he prevented the invasion of Ukraine while he was in office with his tough talk.

“I said to Vladimir Putin, I said, ‘Don’t do it. You can’t do it, Vladimir. You do it, it’s going to be a bad day. You cannot do it.’ And I told him things that – what I do, and he said, ‘No way.’ And I said, ‘way,’” Trump said in his Monday night conversation with Elon Musk. “I got along well with him. I hope to get along well with him again.”

“This is imagination on Trump’s part,” Bolton said on CNN. “It’s not even how Donald Trump talks. It’s how he wished he talked, and how he wished he could show that he’s the big alpha guy.”

“I think Trump’s making that up. He certainly didn’t have that conversation with Putin when I was in the White House. I don’t believe he had it before then. I can’t really speak to what came after. But this is another case of Trump making things up that it’s hard to prove or disprove. He can say he had some private conversation at a dinner, at a G20 meeting, or something like that,” Bolton said. “I don’t think it happened. And I don’t think that there was really an occasion for Trump to have that conversation. But it fits the persona that Trump thinks he has.”

“I personally, having watched Trump and Putin together, on several occasions, having listened to their phone conversations, having myself met Putin, on any number of occasions, going back to October of 2001, I think that Putin essentially thinks that Trump is an easy mark. He doesn’t respect him. But he understands that using flattery with Trump can get him a long way.” Bolton said. “I think if Trump did put together the meeting he says he wants to have between Zelensky and Putin, in a room together, to solve the Ukraine crisis, I think Putin would take Trump to the cleaners.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Even as fighting continues in Gaza, and a threatened strike against Israel by Iran and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon looms, the U.S. is hoping ceasefire negotiations planned for tomorrow in Qatar could finally secure a deal that would end the fighting and free the remaining 110 hostages still held by Hamas in Gaza.

Chances for a breakthrough seem slim, as President Joe Biden conceded when he spoke to reporters yesterday after landing in Kenner, Louisiana. “It’s getting hard,” Biden said. “We’ll see what Iran does, and we’ll see what happens if there’s any attack. But I’m not giving up.”

Biden was asked whether a ceasefire deal would avert an Iranian strike. “That’s my expectation, but we’ll see,” he replied.

Asked about the phone call with Benjamin Netanyahu, where he reportedly told the Israeli prime minister to “stop bullshitting,” Biden said, “If I told you what pressure I was putting on, it wouldn’t be very much pressure, would it?”

IRANIAN OFFICIALS REVEAL ONLY WAY ISRAEL CAN POSTPONE RETALIATORY ATTACK

$20 BILLION IN ARMS APPROVED FOR ISRAEL: In a series of releases from the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, the U.S. announced that the State Department had approved a package of future arms sales to Israel totaling $20 billion.

The bulk of the package, $18.82 billion, is for more than 50 advanced Boeing F-15IA and F-15I+ fighter jets tailored for the Israeli Air Forces. The package also includes Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles, or AMRAAMs, 120 mm tank ammunition, high-explosive mortar cartridges, and tactical vehicles.

“The United States is committed to the security of Israel, and it is vital to U.S. national interests to assist Israel to develop and maintain a strong and ready self-defense capability. This proposed sale is consistent with those objectives,” DSCA said in a release. “Incorporating F-15IAs into the Israel Air Force’s fleet of fighter aircraft will enhance Israel’s interoperability with U.S. systems and bolster Israel’s aerial capabilities to meet current and future enemy threats, strengthen its homeland defense, and serve as a deterrent to regional threats.”

These are new jets that Boeing must build, so they won’t be delivered to Israel until 2029.

ISRAELI FIREBRAND BEN GVIR CHALLENGES NETANYAHU ON TEMPLE MOUNT

WALZ: ‘I AM DAMN PROUD OF MY SERVICE’: In his first solo speech since being tapped as Vice President Kamala Harris’s running mate, Tim Walz slipped in a defense of his 24-year military record without directly addressing the two main criticisms leveled at him by J.D. Vance and some military veterans, namely that he misrepresented his rank at retirement and that he “abandoned” his National Guard unit by choosing retirement over deployment to Iraq.

“These guys are even attacking me for my record of service. And I want to say, I’m proud to have served my country, and I always will be,” Walz said in remarks to a government employees union convention in Los Angeles.

“With my dad’s encouragement, a guy who served in the Army during the Korean War, I signed up for the Army National Guard two days after my 17th birthday. I served for the next 24 years for the same reason all my brothers and sisters in uniform do. We love this country,” Walz said. “Then, in 2005, I felt the call of duty again, this time being service to my country in the halls of Congress. My students inspired me to run for that office, and I was proud to make it to Washington. I was a member of the Veterans Affairs Committee and a champion of our men and women in uniform.”

“I’m going to say it again as clearly as I can, I am damn proud of my service to this country,” Walz said to enthusiastic applause from the friendly crowd. “And I firmly believe you should never denigrate another person’s service record. To anyone brave enough to put on that uniform for our great country, including my opponent, I just have a few simple words: thank you for your service and sacrifice.”

WALZ DEFENDS MILITARY RECORD AMID CONTROVERSY IN FIRST SOLO SPEECH

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: White House says it was not informed ahead of Ukraine’s Russia incursion

Washington Examiner: Ukraine cites Russia raid to push Biden for long-range strikes

Washington Examiner: US sending $20 billion weapon package to Israel amid growing concerns over war

Washington Examiner: Israeli firebrand Ben Gvir challenges Netanyahu on Temple Mount

Washington Examiner: Iranian officials reveal only way Israel can postpone retaliatory attack

Washington Examiner: Walz defends military record amid controversy in first solo speech

Washington Examiner: Biden tightening asylum process as illegal immigration surges on Canadian border

Washington Examiner: HHS under GOP fire for putting migrant children ‘in danger’

Washington Examiner: Trump plans $100 million suit against DOJ for Mar-a-Lago raid

Washington Examiner: ‘J6 praying grandma’ vows to appeal six-month home confinement sentence

Washington Examiner: Ilhan Omar survives primary as other ‘Squad’ members are booted from Congress

Washington Examiner: Maryland Democrat Steny Hoyer, 85, suffers mild stroke

Washington Examiner: Opinion: European crackdown on X and free speech deserves utter derision

Washington Examiner: Opinion: China carrier deployment underlines US Navy overstretch

New York Times: Deception and a Gamble: How Ukrainian Troops Invaded Russia

Wall Street Journal: Russia-Iran Ties Are Being Strained by Parallel Conflicts

AP: Russia says it thwarted a Ukrainian charge to expand its incursion

Wall Street Journal: Russian Pulls Some Forces Out Of Ukraine

Air & Space Forces Magazine: From Fighters to Tankers, US Military Flexes Airpower in Middle East as Iran Threatens Israel

Business Insider: The U.S. Naval Presence Around The Middle East Is Getting A Firepower Boost. Here Are The Warships Already There And What’s On The Way.

New York Times: Joint Military Exercises By China And Russia Highlight New Strategic Threat

Washington Post: Defense Secretary’s Intervention In 9/11 Cases Faces Judge’s Scrutiny

USNI News: SWO Boss: 75-Warship Readiness Goal Remains A Work In Progress

Defense One: F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Deal Is Dead—for Now

The War Zone: Super Quiet Special Operations Drones May Migrate to Pacific Theater

Soldier of Fortune: Against Enemy Fire: Inside Israel’s Daring Mission to Rescue Hostages in Gaza

Air & Space Forces Magazine: NORAD Boss Calls for Better Arctic Awareness

Defense News: Space Force, Allies Craft Global Supply Chain Strategy

Air & Space Forces Magazine: State Department Approves Sale of New, Updated F-15s to Israel

DefenseScoop: Beyond 5G: Pentagon Sets Sights on Next-Generation Wireless Tech with New Projects

SpaceNews: Lockheed Martin Taps General Dynamics for Solid Rocket Motor Manufacturing

Miliary.com: Air Force Bucks EPA Order to Clean Up ‘Forever Chemicals’ in Arizona, Citing Supreme Court Ruling

Task & Purpose: Seeking ‘Warfighter Mindset,’ Air Force Basic Trainees Now Carrying Rifles Through Boot Camp

Task & Purpose: Ditch Fast Food On Base To Reduce Obesity, Says Pentagon’s Top Senior Enlisted Leader

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force People Czar Wants to Make PCSing Easier by 2025

The Cipher Brief: Ukraine’s Kursk Invasion Sends Shockwaves Through Russia: ‘How Did We Miss It?’

The Cipher Brief: How Putin’s War on Georgia Foreshadowed His Invasion of Ukraine 

The Cipher Brief: No Idle Threat: Cyber Attacks and the U.S. Water Supply

Breaking Defense: Opinion: The Army Wants Its Own ‘Space Force.’ They Shouldn’t Be Allowed to Have It.

National Security Journal: Iran: The Next Nuclear Weapons State? 

National Security Journal: Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive Could Be a Real Game Changer

National Security Journal: Could South Korea Start Building Nuclear Weapons? 

National Security Journal: Russia’s Lada-Class Submarines Are Coming Out of the Shadows

THE CALENDAR:

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14

9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler

9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape

11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea

4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice

2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff

THURSDAY | AUGUST 15

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david

12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control

FRIDAY | AUGUST 16

2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum

TUESDAY | AUGUST 20

10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “The Wagner Group and Russia in Africa one year after Prigozhin’s death,” with Christopher Faulkner, assistant professor, College of Distance Education, U.S. Naval War College; Mark Galeotti, executive director, Mayak Intelligence; John Lechner, independent researcher; Angela Stent, nonresident senior fellow,  Brookings Center on the United States and Europe; and moderator Vanda Felbab-Brown, senior fellow and director, Initiative on Nonstate Armed Actors, co-director,  Brookings Africa Security Initiative https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-wagner-group-and-russia

FRIDAY | AUGUST 23

10 a.m.  2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group “coffee-conversation,” with Christopher Maier, assistant secretary of defense for special operation and low-intensity conflict RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu

, ZELENSKY: ‘OUR FORCES CONTROL 74 SETTLEMENTS’: A week in, the outlines of Ukraine’s counter-invasion of Russia are becoming clearer. In a post on X, President Volodymyr Zelensky is seen getting a briefing from his top commander, Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, who reports that Ukrainian forces have captured an additional 15 square miles of Russian territory over the previous 24 hours. “Fights are ongoing along the entire front line. The situation, despite the high intensity of combat, is under control,” Syrskyi said.  “Despite the difficult and intense battles, our forces continue to advance in the Kursk region, and our state’s ‘exchange fund’ is growing,” Zelensky says in the post, a reference to the potential to trade newly captured Russian troops for Ukrainian prisoners of war.  “I thank all our guys who are replenishing the exchange fund – this is very important for our state,” Zelensky said in his nightly video address. “Hundreds of Russian servicemen have already surrendered, and all of them will receive humane treatment. They did not experience such treatment even in their own Russian army.” Zelensky says the Ukrainian forces are taking care to treat civilians in the newly occupied areas humanely to draw a contrast with Russia’s brutality. “Seventy-four communities are under Ukrainian control, where inspections and stabilization measures are being carried out. The development of humanitarian solutions for these territories continues.” WHITE HOUSE SAYS IT WAS NOT INFORMED AHEAD OF UKRAINE’S RUSSIA INCURSION UKRAINE FOREIGN MINISTRY: NO INTEREST IN HOLDING KURSK: While Russia is rushing fresh reserves, aircraft, drone teams, and artillery to Kursk to stop the Ukrainian advance, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry said Ukraine does not have long-term designs on Kursk but launched the operation to stop the constant artillery strikes that have been launched across the border into Ukraine. “Unlike Russia, Ukraine doesn’t need what doesn’t belong to it. Ukraine is not interested in taking the territory of the Kursk region, but we want to protect the lives of our people,” spokesperson Heorhii Tykhyi said. “Just a reminder, from the districts of the Kursk region, since the beginning of this summer alone against Ukraine’s Sumy region, over 2,000 attacks. These include MLRS strikes, artillery shelling, mortar fire, drone attacks, 255 gilded bombs, and over 100 missiles.” Tykhyi also said Ukraine’s Kursk offensive is aimed at preventing Russia from reinforcing its troops in Donetsk. UKRAINE CITES RUSSIA RAID TO PUSH BIDEN FOR LONG-RANGE STRIKES BOLTON: TRUMP’S TOUGH GUY TALK ‘MADE UP’: In an appearance on CNN Monday night, former Trump national security adviser John Bolton scoffed at former President Donald Trump’s oft-told anecdote about how he prevented the invasion of Ukraine while he was in office with his tough talk. “I said to Vladimir Putin, I said, ‘Don’t do it. You can’t do it, Vladimir. You do it, it’s going to be a bad day. You cannot do it.’ And I told him things that – what I do, and he said, ‘No way.’ And I said, ‘way,’” Trump said in his Monday night conversation with Elon Musk. “I got along well with him. I hope to get along well with him again.” “This is imagination on Trump’s part,” Bolton said on CNN. “It’s not even how Donald Trump talks. It’s how he wished he talked, and how he wished he could show that he’s the big alpha guy.” “I think Trump’s making that up. He certainly didn’t have that conversation with Putin when I was in the White House. I don’t believe he had it before then. I can’t really speak to what came after. But this is another case of Trump making things up that it’s hard to prove or disprove. He can say he had some private conversation at a dinner, at a G20 meeting, or something like that,” Bolton said. “I don’t think it happened. And I don’t think that there was really an occasion for Trump to have that conversation. But it fits the persona that Trump thinks he has.” “I personally, having watched Trump and Putin together, on several occasions, having listened to their phone conversations, having myself met Putin, on any number of occasions, going back to October of 2001, I think that Putin essentially thinks that Trump is an easy mark. He doesn’t respect him. But he understands that using flattery with Trump can get him a long way.” Bolton said. “I think if Trump did put together the meeting he says he wants to have between Zelensky and Putin, in a room together, to solve the Ukraine crisis, I think Putin would take Trump to the cleaners.” CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre. CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE HAPPENING TODAY: Even as fighting continues in Gaza, and a threatened strike against Israel by Iran and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon looms, the U.S. is hoping ceasefire negotiations planned for tomorrow in Qatar could finally secure a deal that would end the fighting and free the remaining 110 hostages still held by Hamas in Gaza. Chances for a breakthrough seem slim, as President Joe Biden conceded when he spoke to reporters yesterday after landing in Kenner, Louisiana. “It’s getting hard,” Biden said. “We’ll see what Iran does, and we’ll see what happens if there’s any attack. But I’m not giving up.” Biden was asked whether a ceasefire deal would avert an Iranian strike. “That’s my expectation, but we’ll see,” he replied. Asked about the phone call with Benjamin Netanyahu, where he reportedly told the Israeli prime minister to “stop bullshitting,” Biden said, “If I told you what pressure I was putting on, it wouldn’t be very much pressure, would it?” IRANIAN OFFICIALS REVEAL ONLY WAY ISRAEL CAN POSTPONE RETALIATORY ATTACK $20 BILLION IN ARMS APPROVED FOR ISRAEL: In a series of releases from the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, the U.S. announced that the State Department had approved a package of future arms sales to Israel totaling $20 billion. The bulk of the package, $18.82 billion, is for more than 50 advanced Boeing F-15IA and F-15I+ fighter jets tailored for the Israeli Air Forces. The package also includes Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles, or AMRAAMs, 120 mm tank ammunition, high-explosive mortar cartridges, and tactical vehicles. “The United States is committed to the security of Israel, and it is vital to U.S. national interests to assist Israel to develop and maintain a strong and ready self-defense capability. This proposed sale is consistent with those objectives,” DSCA said in a release. “Incorporating F-15IAs into the Israel Air Force’s fleet of fighter aircraft will enhance Israel’s interoperability with U.S. systems and bolster Israel’s aerial capabilities to meet current and future enemy threats, strengthen its homeland defense, and serve as a deterrent to regional threats.” These are new jets that Boeing must build, so they won’t be delivered to Israel until 2029. ISRAELI FIREBRAND BEN GVIR CHALLENGES NETANYAHU ON TEMPLE MOUNT WALZ: ‘I AM DAMN PROUD OF MY SERVICE’: In his first solo speech since being tapped as Vice President Kamala Harris’s running mate, Tim Walz slipped in a defense of his 24-year military record without directly addressing the two main criticisms leveled at him by J.D. Vance and some military veterans, namely that he misrepresented his rank at retirement and that he “abandoned” his National Guard unit by choosing retirement over deployment to Iraq. “These guys are even attacking me for my record of service. And I want to say, I’m proud to have served my country, and I always will be,” Walz said in remarks to a government employees union convention in Los Angeles. “With my dad’s encouragement, a guy who served in the Army during the Korean War, I signed up for the Army National Guard two days after my 17th birthday. I served for the next 24 years for the same reason all my brothers and sisters in uniform do. We love this country,” Walz said. “Then, in 2005, I felt the call of duty again, this time being service to my country in the halls of Congress. My students inspired me to run for that office, and I was proud to make it to Washington. I was a member of the Veterans Affairs Committee and a champion of our men and women in uniform.” “I’m going to say it again as clearly as I can, I am damn proud of my service to this country,” Walz said to enthusiastic applause from the friendly crowd. “And I firmly believe you should never denigrate another person’s service record. To anyone brave enough to put on that uniform for our great country, including my opponent, I just have a few simple words: thank you for your service and sacrifice.” WALZ DEFENDS MILITARY RECORD AMID CONTROVERSY IN FIRST SOLO SPEECH THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : White House says it was not informed ahead of Ukraine’s Russia incursion Washington Examiner : Ukraine cites Russia raid to push Biden for long-range strikes Washington Examiner : US sending $20 billion weapon package to Israel amid growing concerns over war Washington Examiner : Israeli firebrand Ben Gvir challenges Netanyahu on Temple Mount Washington Examiner : Iranian officials reveal only way Israel can postpone retaliatory attack Washington Examiner : Walz defends military record amid controversy in first solo speech Washington Examiner : Biden tightening asylum process as illegal immigration surges on Canadian border Washington Examiner : HHS under GOP fire for putting migrant children ‘in danger’ Washington Examiner : Trump plans $100 million suit against DOJ for Mar-a-Lago raid Washington Examiner : ‘J6 praying grandma’ vows to appeal six-month home confinement sentence Washington Examiner : Ilhan Omar survives primary as other ‘Squad’ members are booted from Congress Washington Examiner : Maryland Democrat Steny Hoyer, 85, suffers mild stroke Washington Examiner : Opinion: European crackdown on X and free speech deserves utter derision Washington Examiner : Opinion: China carrier deployment underlines US Navy overstretch New York Times : Deception and a Gamble: How Ukrainian Troops Invaded Russia Wall Street Journal : Russia-Iran Ties Are Being Strained by Parallel Conflicts AP : Russia says it thwarted a Ukrainian charge to expand its incursion Wall Street Journal : Russian Pulls Some Forces Out Of Ukraine Air & Space Forces Magazine : From Fighters to Tankers, US Military Flexes Airpower in Middle East as Iran Threatens Israel Business Insider : The U.S. Naval Presence Around The Middle East Is Getting A Firepower Boost. Here Are The Warships Already There And What’s On The Way. New York Times : Joint Military Exercises By China And Russia Highlight New Strategic Threat Washington Post : Defense Secretary’s Intervention In 9/11 Cases Faces Judge’s Scrutiny USNI News : SWO Boss: 75-Warship Readiness Goal Remains A Work In Progress Defense One : F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Deal Is Dead—for Now The War Zone : Super Quiet Special Operations Drones May Migrate to Pacific Theater Soldier of Fortune : Against Enemy Fire: Inside Israel’s Daring Mission to Rescue Hostages in Gaza Air & Space Forces Magazine : NORAD Boss Calls for Better Arctic Awareness Defense News : Space Force, Allies Craft Global Supply Chain Strategy Air & Space Forces Magazine : State Department Approves Sale of New, Updated F-15s to Israel DefenseScoop : Beyond 5G: Pentagon Sets Sights on Next-Generation Wireless Tech with New Projects SpaceNews : Lockheed Martin Taps General Dynamics for Solid Rocket Motor Manufacturing Miliary.com : Air Force Bucks EPA Order to Clean Up ‘Forever Chemicals’ in Arizona, Citing Supreme Court Ruling Task & Purpose : Seeking ‘Warfighter Mindset,’ Air Force Basic Trainees Now Carrying Rifles Through Boot Camp Task & Purpose : Ditch Fast Food On Base To Reduce Obesity, Says Pentagon’s Top Senior Enlisted Leader Air & Space Forces Magazine : Air Force People Czar Wants to Make PCSing Easier by 2025 The Cipher Brief : Ukraine’s Kursk Invasion Sends Shockwaves Through Russia: ‘How Did We Miss It?’ The Cipher Brief : How Putin’s War on Georgia Foreshadowed His Invasion of Ukraine  The Cipher Brief : No Idle Threat: Cyber Attacks and the U.S. Water Supply Breaking Defense : Opinion: The Army Wants Its Own ‘Space Force.’ They Shouldn’t Be Allowed to Have It. National Security Journal : Iran: The Next Nuclear Weapons State?  National Security Journal : Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive Could Be a Real Game Changer National Security Journal : Could South Korea Start Building Nuclear Weapons?  National Security Journal : Russia’s Lada-Class Submarines Are Coming Out of the Shadows THE CALENDAR: WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14 9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler 9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape 11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea 4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice 2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff THURSDAY | AUGUST 15 8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/ 10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david 12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control FRIDAY | AUGUST 16 2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum TUESDAY | AUGUST 20 10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “The Wagner Group and Russia in Africa one year after Prigozhin’s death,” with Christopher Faulkner, assistant professor, College of Distance Education, U.S. Naval War College; Mark Galeotti, executive director, Mayak Intelligence; John Lechner, independent researcher; Angela Stent, nonresident senior fellow,  Brookings Center on the United States and Europe; and moderator Vanda Felbab-Brown, senior fellow and director, Initiative on Nonstate Armed Actors, co-director,  Brookings Africa Security Initiative https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-wagner-group-and-russia FRIDAY | AUGUST 23 10 a.m.  2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group “coffee-conversation,” with Christopher Maier, assistant secretary of defense for special operation and low-intensity conflict RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu, , Zelensky boasts with capture of more Russian troops in Kursk prisoner ‘exchange fund’ is growing, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

Putin accuses Kyiv of ‘perpetrating crimes’ and vows ‘strong response’ as Ukraine claims to control almost 400 square miles of Russian territory thumbnail

Putin accuses Kyiv of ‘perpetrating crimes’ and vows ‘strong response’ as Ukraine claims to control almost 400 square miles of Russian territory

PUTIN: HOW DARE THEY: In a meeting with his top security and defense officials, Russian President Vladimir Putin put on a display of faux outrage at Ukraine’s audacity in invading and taking over a chunk of Russian territory larger than New York City.

“It seems the opponent is aiming to strengthen their negotiating position for the future. However, what kind of negotiations can we have with those who indiscriminately attack civilians and civilian infrastructure, or pose threats to nuclear power facilities? What is there to discuss with such parties?” Putin said at the start of the meeting, according to the official Kremlin transcript. “These actions clearly aim to achieve a primary military objective: to halt the advance of our forces in their effort to fully liberate the territories of the Lugansk and Donetsk people’s republics, the Novorossiya region.”

Putin maintained the Ukrainian offensive, which surprised and embarrassed Moscow, was having little effect on his war effort and was doomed to failure. “The pace of offensive operations by the Russian Armed Forces, volunteers, and veterans has not only remained steady but has actually increased by fifty percent. Our troops are advancing along the entire front,” Putin said. “The leaders of the Kyiv regime are not only perpetrating crimes against the Russian people but are also, in effect, pursuing the destruction of their own citizens, the Ukrainian people, whom they evidently no longer view as their own.”

“The casualties among the Ukrainian armed forces are rising sharply, including among their most effective units and divisions, which are being redeployed to our borders,” Putin asserted. Meanwhile, Russia’s state-controlled RT network claimed more than 1,300 Ukrainian troops had been “lost” in the operation. “The adversary will undoubtedly face a strong response, and all the objectives we have set will certainly be achieved,” Putin insisted.

PUTIN: UKRAINE RAID INTO RUSSIA COULD EXPAND BEYOND KURSK REGION

ZELENSKY: ‘RUSSIA BROUGHT WAR TO OTHERS, AND NOW IT IS COMING HOME:’ In a video shared on social media, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky could be seen walking briskly into a meeting with his war Cabinet and receiving an update on the week-old surprise attack into Russia from his top commander Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi.

“We continue to conduct an operation in the Kursk region. Currently we have about 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles)under our control,” Syrskyi could seen seen reporting via a video hookup. “The forces are fulfilling their tasks. Fighting is taking place virtually along the entire front. The situation is under our control,” he said.

It was the first official confirmation of the Kursk incursion, which has seen Ukraine capture more territory in a week than Russia was able to gain with its costly offensive along Ukraine’s eastern front. In his nightly video address, Zelensky compared the successful invasion to the 2000 Kursk submarine disaster, in which all 118 Russian crew members perished, including 23 survivors of the initial torpedo explosion, who waited at the bottom of the sea for a rescue that never came.

“We see how Russia really moves in the times of Putin. Twenty-four years ago, there was the Kursk disaster, the symbolic beginning of his rule. And now we can see what the end for him is, and it is also Kursk —the disaster of his war,” Zelesnky said. “Russia brought war to others, and now it is coming home.”

GRAHAM AND BLUMENTHAL: KURSK CAMPAIGN ‘BOLD, BRILLIANT AND BEAUTIFUL’: Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CN) had a private meeting with Zelensky in Kyiv yesterday and afterward urged increased military support for Ukraine, and pledged to introduce a bipartisan bill to codify the bilateral security agreement with Ukraine reached by the Biden administration.

“What do I think about Kursk? Bold, brilliant and beautiful. Keep it up,” Graham said at a press availability. “Putin started this. Kick his ass.”

In a joint statement, both senators called on the Biden administration “to lift restrictions on weapons provided by the United States so they can strike the Russian invaders more effectively.”

“Let these people fight. Give them weapons to fight a war they can’t afford to lose,” Graham said.

“Additionally, President Zelensky told us both that he would be looking to supplement his Air Force by establishing a program to enlist retired NATO F-16 fighter pilots,” the statement said. “We support this effort. Ukraine is already fielding units of freedom fighters on the ground, and this volunteer force should be replicated in the air.”

UN NUCLEAR CHIEF WORRIED UKRAINE’S RAID WILL ENDANGER RUSSIA’S KURSK NUCLEAR PLANT

Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

WHITE HOUSE: IRAN ATTACK COULD COME THIS WEEK: Tension remains high as all signs point to Iran likely conducting a large-scale, coordinated attack against Israel in the days ahead.

“We do share the assessment made by our Israeli counterparts that something could happen as soon as this week by Iran and its proxies,” White House National Security Communications Adviser John Kirby told reporters in a conference call yesterday. “That is a U.S. assessment as well as an Israeli assessment.  Our assessment matches the Israeli assessment.”

The assessment is consistent with the analysis by the Institute for the Study of War, which says Iran and its “Axis of Resistance,” i.e., Iranian proxies, will most likely conduct “a coordinated, large-scale drone and missile attack on Israel in response to Israel killing senior Axis of Resistance leaders.”

While an attack could come at any time, the U.S. is hoping a meeting planned for Thursday in Doha, a last-ditch attempt to reach a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hama, will still take place.

“We fully expect that those talks are going to move forward, and they need to move forward,” Kirby said. “All negotiators should return to the table and bring this deal to a close.  It’s time to do that.  The details are of such a nature that we think they can be hashed out.”

“If something does happen this week, the timing of it can certainly have an impact on these talks,” Kirby said. “But as you and I are sitting here right now, with nothing flying through the air in a significant way, we still believe these talks are important. We want to see them happen on Thursday.“

WHITE HOUSE EXPECTS IRAN TO REPEAT APRIL ROCKET ATTACK ON ISRAEL THIS WEEK

US ASSEMBLES ARMADA OF DETERRENCE: The Pentagon announced yesterday that Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has ordered additional U.S. warships to the region in an effort to send a strong message to Iran that any attack against Israel will be met with a punishing response.

“Reinforcing this commitment, Secretary Austin has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, equipped with F-35C fighters, to accelerate its transit to the Central Command area of responsibility,” spokesman Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder said in a readout of Austin’s phone call with Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant. “Additionally, the secretary has ordered the USS Georgia guided missile submarine to the Central Command region.”

The Lincoln and its escort ships will join the USS Theodore Roosevelt already operating in the Arabian Gulf, providing two full carrier strike groups once it arrives.  

Submarine deployments are usually kept private in order to preserve their stealthy advantage. However, in this case, the cruise missile-firing submarine is meant to send a clear message. While the same size as ballistic missile submarines that carry nuclear-tipped missiles, the Georgia has been converted to carry more than 100 conventional attack missiles and can also deploy special operations forces from a mini-sub.

“These U.S. military posture adjustments are designed to improve U.S. force protection, to increase support for the defense of Israel, and to ensure the United States is prepared to respond to various contingencies,” Ryder said in a meeting with reporters at the Pentagon Monday. “We recognize the tensions in the region. We’re doing everything we can to deter aggression, deter conflict, prevent this from becoming a wider war — while at the same time ensuring that we have the capabilities in the region to be able to protect our own forces [and] also defend Israel, should it be attacked.”

WHITE HOUSE REBUKES ‘DEAD WRONG’ ISRAELI LAWMAKER WHO CALLED CEASEFIRE DEAL A ‘TRAP’

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Putin: Ukraine raid into Russia could expand beyond Kursk region

Washington Examiner: UN nuclear chief worried Ukraine’s raid will endanger Russia’s Kursk nuclear plant

Washington Examiner: White House expects Iran to repeat April rocket attack on Israel this week

Washington Examiner: White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran

Washington Examiner: Chinese-owned ship ‘unintentionally’ behind Baltic pipeline damage: Report

Washington Examiner: White House rebukes ‘dead wrong’ Israeli lawmaker who called ceasefire deal a ‘trap’

Washington Examiner: Wife of American wrongfully detained by Taliban airs frustration

Washington Examiner: Never’ Harris: Border Patrol agents divulge how they feel about Kamala

Washington Examiner: Biden could lift border executive action that helped lower migrant crossings

Washington Examiner: White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran

Washington Examiner: Blinken pressed to disclose money to foreign adversaries after $293 million sent to Taliban

Washington Examiner: Senior investigator of House Foreign Affairs Committee resigns over committee’s ‘disappointing lack of courage’

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Expect the White House to criticize Ukraine’s impressive offensive

CBS News: US Troops Suffer Minor Injuries from Drone Attack in Syria, Pentagon Says

AP: A ship in the Red Sea is targeted in a third attack by suspected Houthis

AP: Trump and Musk talk about assassination attempt and deportations during glitchy chat on X

Militarycom: Space Force Guardian’s Historic Launch to ISS Delayed Due to Issues with Stranded Astronauts

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Space Force Payload Launches Aboard Allied Satellite in Historic First

Inside Defense: DSB Recommends Military Use of Commercial PNT Systems

The War Zone: Chinese Cargo Drone Capable of Carrying Two Tons Has Flown

AP: The US Navy’s warship production is in its worst state in 25 years. What’s behind it?

Defense One: National Security Workforce Needs Young People, Former NSA Chief Says

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Surging Demand Has Airmen Interpreters Feeling the Pinch

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force, Boeing Ink $2.5 Billion Deal for First E-7s

Defense News: The US Tried to Fix Its Foreign Military Sales System. Did It Work?

DefenseScoop: Key to the Pentagon’s Concept for Modern War Is Standardization

Air & Space Forces Magazine: F-22s Make Historic Tour Across Three South China Sea Allies

Military.com: Military Families Finally Have a Database for Housing ComplaintsTHE CALENDAR: 

TUESDAY | AUGUST 13

11 a.m.  — Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with  Brunei’s Defense Minister II Halbi bin Mohammad Yussof at the Pentagon.

5 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Houthi Factor: Gaza, the Axis of Resistance, and Middle East Stability,” with Abdulkhaleq Abdullah, nonresident senior fellow, Harvard University Belfer Center for Sciences and International Affairs; Ibrahim Jalal, nonresident scholar, Carnegie Middle East Center; Tamer Badawi, consultant and Ph.D. candidate at Kent University; Afrah Nasser, nonresident fellow at the Arab Center in Washington, D.C.; and Nadwa Al-Dawsari, Middle East Institute nonresident scholar https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-houthi-factor

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14

9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler

9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape

11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea

4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice

2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff

THURSDAY | AUGUST 15

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david

12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control

FRIDAY | AUGUST 16

2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum

2024-08-13 11:20:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpolicy%2Fdefense%2F3119434%2Fputin-accuses-kyiv-of-perpetrating-crimes-and-vows-strong-response-as-ukraine-claims-to-control-almost-400-square-miles-of-russian-territory%2F?w=600&h=450, PUTIN: HOW DARE THEY: In a meeting with his top security and defense officials, Russian President Vladimir Putin put on a display of faux outrage at Ukraine’s audacity in invading and taking over a chunk of Russian territory larger than New York City. “It seems the opponent is aiming to strengthen their negotiating position for,

PUTIN: HOW DARE THEY: In a meeting with his top security and defense officials, Russian President Vladimir Putin put on a display of faux outrage at Ukraine’s audacity in invading and taking over a chunk of Russian territory larger than New York City.

“It seems the opponent is aiming to strengthen their negotiating position for the future. However, what kind of negotiations can we have with those who indiscriminately attack civilians and civilian infrastructure, or pose threats to nuclear power facilities? What is there to discuss with such parties?” Putin said at the start of the meeting, according to the official Kremlin transcript. “These actions clearly aim to achieve a primary military objective: to halt the advance of our forces in their effort to fully liberate the territories of the Lugansk and Donetsk people’s republics, the Novorossiya region.”

Putin maintained the Ukrainian offensive, which surprised and embarrassed Moscow, was having little effect on his war effort and was doomed to failure. “The pace of offensive operations by the Russian Armed Forces, volunteers, and veterans has not only remained steady but has actually increased by fifty percent. Our troops are advancing along the entire front,” Putin said. “The leaders of the Kyiv regime are not only perpetrating crimes against the Russian people but are also, in effect, pursuing the destruction of their own citizens, the Ukrainian people, whom they evidently no longer view as their own.”

“The casualties among the Ukrainian armed forces are rising sharply, including among their most effective units and divisions, which are being redeployed to our borders,” Putin asserted. Meanwhile, Russia’s state-controlled RT network claimed more than 1,300 Ukrainian troops had been “lost” in the operation. “The adversary will undoubtedly face a strong response, and all the objectives we have set will certainly be achieved,” Putin insisted.

PUTIN: UKRAINE RAID INTO RUSSIA COULD EXPAND BEYOND KURSK REGION

ZELENSKY: ‘RUSSIA BROUGHT WAR TO OTHERS, AND NOW IT IS COMING HOME:’ In a video shared on social media, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky could be seen walking briskly into a meeting with his war Cabinet and receiving an update on the week-old surprise attack into Russia from his top commander Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi.

“We continue to conduct an operation in the Kursk region. Currently we have about 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles)under our control,” Syrskyi could seen seen reporting via a video hookup. “The forces are fulfilling their tasks. Fighting is taking place virtually along the entire front. The situation is under our control,” he said.

It was the first official confirmation of the Kursk incursion, which has seen Ukraine capture more territory in a week than Russia was able to gain with its costly offensive along Ukraine’s eastern front. In his nightly video address, Zelensky compared the successful invasion to the 2000 Kursk submarine disaster, in which all 118 Russian crew members perished, including 23 survivors of the initial torpedo explosion, who waited at the bottom of the sea for a rescue that never came.

“We see how Russia really moves in the times of Putin. Twenty-four years ago, there was the Kursk disaster, the symbolic beginning of his rule. And now we can see what the end for him is, and it is also Kursk —the disaster of his war,” Zelesnky said. “Russia brought war to others, and now it is coming home.”

GRAHAM AND BLUMENTHAL: KURSK CAMPAIGN ‘BOLD, BRILLIANT AND BEAUTIFUL’: Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CN) had a private meeting with Zelensky in Kyiv yesterday and afterward urged increased military support for Ukraine, and pledged to introduce a bipartisan bill to codify the bilateral security agreement with Ukraine reached by the Biden administration.

“What do I think about Kursk? Bold, brilliant and beautiful. Keep it up,” Graham said at a press availability. “Putin started this. Kick his ass.”

In a joint statement, both senators called on the Biden administration “to lift restrictions on weapons provided by the United States so they can strike the Russian invaders more effectively.”

“Let these people fight. Give them weapons to fight a war they can’t afford to lose,” Graham said.

“Additionally, President Zelensky told us both that he would be looking to supplement his Air Force by establishing a program to enlist retired NATO F-16 fighter pilots,” the statement said. “We support this effort. Ukraine is already fielding units of freedom fighters on the ground, and this volunteer force should be replicated in the air.”

UN NUCLEAR CHIEF WORRIED UKRAINE’S RAID WILL ENDANGER RUSSIA’S KURSK NUCLEAR PLANT

Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

WHITE HOUSE: IRAN ATTACK COULD COME THIS WEEK: Tension remains high as all signs point to Iran likely conducting a large-scale, coordinated attack against Israel in the days ahead.

“We do share the assessment made by our Israeli counterparts that something could happen as soon as this week by Iran and its proxies,” White House National Security Communications Adviser John Kirby told reporters in a conference call yesterday. “That is a U.S. assessment as well as an Israeli assessment.  Our assessment matches the Israeli assessment.”

The assessment is consistent with the analysis by the Institute for the Study of War, which says Iran and its “Axis of Resistance,” i.e., Iranian proxies, will most likely conduct “a coordinated, large-scale drone and missile attack on Israel in response to Israel killing senior Axis of Resistance leaders.”

While an attack could come at any time, the U.S. is hoping a meeting planned for Thursday in Doha, a last-ditch attempt to reach a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hama, will still take place.

“We fully expect that those talks are going to move forward, and they need to move forward,” Kirby said. “All negotiators should return to the table and bring this deal to a close.  It’s time to do that.  The details are of such a nature that we think they can be hashed out.”

“If something does happen this week, the timing of it can certainly have an impact on these talks,” Kirby said. “But as you and I are sitting here right now, with nothing flying through the air in a significant way, we still believe these talks are important. We want to see them happen on Thursday.“

WHITE HOUSE EXPECTS IRAN TO REPEAT APRIL ROCKET ATTACK ON ISRAEL THIS WEEK

US ASSEMBLES ARMADA OF DETERRENCE: The Pentagon announced yesterday that Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has ordered additional U.S. warships to the region in an effort to send a strong message to Iran that any attack against Israel will be met with a punishing response.

“Reinforcing this commitment, Secretary Austin has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, equipped with F-35C fighters, to accelerate its transit to the Central Command area of responsibility,” spokesman Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder said in a readout of Austin’s phone call with Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant. “Additionally, the secretary has ordered the USS Georgia guided missile submarine to the Central Command region.”

The Lincoln and its escort ships will join the USS Theodore Roosevelt already operating in the Arabian Gulf, providing two full carrier strike groups once it arrives.  

Submarine deployments are usually kept private in order to preserve their stealthy advantage. However, in this case, the cruise missile-firing submarine is meant to send a clear message. While the same size as ballistic missile submarines that carry nuclear-tipped missiles, the Georgia has been converted to carry more than 100 conventional attack missiles and can also deploy special operations forces from a mini-sub.

“These U.S. military posture adjustments are designed to improve U.S. force protection, to increase support for the defense of Israel, and to ensure the United States is prepared to respond to various contingencies,” Ryder said in a meeting with reporters at the Pentagon Monday. “We recognize the tensions in the region. We’re doing everything we can to deter aggression, deter conflict, prevent this from becoming a wider war — while at the same time ensuring that we have the capabilities in the region to be able to protect our own forces [and] also defend Israel, should it be attacked.”

WHITE HOUSE REBUKES ‘DEAD WRONG’ ISRAELI LAWMAKER WHO CALLED CEASEFIRE DEAL A ‘TRAP’

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Putin: Ukraine raid into Russia could expand beyond Kursk region

Washington Examiner: UN nuclear chief worried Ukraine’s raid will endanger Russia’s Kursk nuclear plant

Washington Examiner: White House expects Iran to repeat April rocket attack on Israel this week

Washington Examiner: White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran

Washington Examiner: Chinese-owned ship ‘unintentionally’ behind Baltic pipeline damage: Report

Washington Examiner: White House rebukes ‘dead wrong’ Israeli lawmaker who called ceasefire deal a ‘trap’

Washington Examiner: Wife of American wrongfully detained by Taliban airs frustration

Washington Examiner: Never’ Harris: Border Patrol agents divulge how they feel about Kamala

Washington Examiner: Biden could lift border executive action that helped lower migrant crossings

Washington Examiner: White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran

Washington Examiner: Blinken pressed to disclose money to foreign adversaries after $293 million sent to Taliban

Washington Examiner: Senior investigator of House Foreign Affairs Committee resigns over committee’s ‘disappointing lack of courage’

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Expect the White House to criticize Ukraine’s impressive offensive

CBS News: US Troops Suffer Minor Injuries from Drone Attack in Syria, Pentagon Says

AP: A ship in the Red Sea is targeted in a third attack by suspected Houthis

AP: Trump and Musk talk about assassination attempt and deportations during glitchy chat on X

Militarycom: Space Force Guardian’s Historic Launch to ISS Delayed Due to Issues with Stranded Astronauts

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Space Force Payload Launches Aboard Allied Satellite in Historic First

Inside Defense: DSB Recommends Military Use of Commercial PNT Systems

The War Zone: Chinese Cargo Drone Capable of Carrying Two Tons Has Flown

AP: The US Navy’s warship production is in its worst state in 25 years. What’s behind it?

Defense One: National Security Workforce Needs Young People, Former NSA Chief Says

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Surging Demand Has Airmen Interpreters Feeling the Pinch

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force, Boeing Ink $2.5 Billion Deal for First E-7s

Defense News: The US Tried to Fix Its Foreign Military Sales System. Did It Work?

DefenseScoop: Key to the Pentagon’s Concept for Modern War Is Standardization

Air & Space Forces Magazine: F-22s Make Historic Tour Across Three South China Sea Allies

Military.com: Military Families Finally Have a Database for Housing ComplaintsTHE CALENDAR: 

TUESDAY | AUGUST 13

11 a.m.  — Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with  Brunei’s Defense Minister II Halbi bin Mohammad Yussof at the Pentagon.

5 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Houthi Factor: Gaza, the Axis of Resistance, and Middle East Stability,” with Abdulkhaleq Abdullah, nonresident senior fellow, Harvard University Belfer Center for Sciences and International Affairs; Ibrahim Jalal, nonresident scholar, Carnegie Middle East Center; Tamer Badawi, consultant and Ph.D. candidate at Kent University; Afrah Nasser, nonresident fellow at the Arab Center in Washington, D.C.; and Nadwa Al-Dawsari, Middle East Institute nonresident scholar https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-houthi-factor

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14

9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler

9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape

11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea

4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice

2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff

THURSDAY | AUGUST 15

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david

12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control

FRIDAY | AUGUST 16

2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum

, PUTIN: HOW DARE THEY: In a meeting with his top security and defense officials, Russian President Vladimir Putin put on a display of faux outrage at Ukraine’s audacity in invading and taking over a chunk of Russian territory larger than New York City. “It seems the opponent is aiming to strengthen their negotiating position for the future. However, what kind of negotiations can we have with those who indiscriminately attack civilians and civilian infrastructure, or pose threats to nuclear power facilities? What is there to discuss with such parties?” Putin said at the start of the meeting, according to the official Kremlin transcript. “These actions clearly aim to achieve a primary military objective: to halt the advance of our forces in their effort to fully liberate the territories of the Lugansk and Donetsk people’s republics, the Novorossiya region.” Putin maintained the Ukrainian offensive, which surprised and embarrassed Moscow, was having little effect on his war effort and was doomed to failure. “The pace of offensive operations by the Russian Armed Forces, volunteers, and veterans has not only remained steady but has actually increased by fifty percent. Our troops are advancing along the entire front,” Putin said. “The leaders of the Kyiv regime are not only perpetrating crimes against the Russian people but are also, in effect, pursuing the destruction of their own citizens, the Ukrainian people, whom they evidently no longer view as their own.” “The casualties among the Ukrainian armed forces are rising sharply, including among their most effective units and divisions, which are being redeployed to our borders,” Putin asserted. Meanwhile, Russia’s state-controlled RT network claimed more than 1,300 Ukrainian troops had been “lost” in the operation. “The adversary will undoubtedly face a strong response, and all the objectives we have set will certainly be achieved,” Putin insisted. PUTIN: UKRAINE RAID INTO RUSSIA COULD EXPAND BEYOND KURSK REGION ZELENSKY: ‘RUSSIA BROUGHT WAR TO OTHERS, AND NOW IT IS COMING HOME:’ In a video shared on social media, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky could be seen walking briskly into a meeting with his war Cabinet and receiving an update on the week-old surprise attack into Russia from his top commander Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi. “We continue to conduct an operation in the Kursk region. Currently we have about 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles)under our control,” Syrskyi could seen seen reporting via a video hookup. “The forces are fulfilling their tasks. Fighting is taking place virtually along the entire front. The situation is under our control,” he said. It was the first official confirmation of the Kursk incursion, which has seen Ukraine capture more territory in a week than Russia was able to gain with its costly offensive along Ukraine’s eastern front. In his nightly video address, Zelensky compared the successful invasion to the 2000 Kursk submarine disaster, in which all 118 Russian crew members perished, including 23 survivors of the initial torpedo explosion, who waited at the bottom of the sea for a rescue that never came. “We see how Russia really moves in the times of Putin. Twenty-four years ago, there was the Kursk disaster, the symbolic beginning of his rule. And now we can see what the end for him is, and it is also Kursk —the disaster of his war,” Zelesnky said. “Russia brought war to others, and now it is coming home.” GRAHAM AND BLUMENTHAL: KURSK CAMPAIGN ‘BOLD, BRILLIANT AND BEAUTIFUL’: Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CN) had a private meeting with Zelensky in Kyiv yesterday and afterward urged increased military support for Ukraine, and pledged to introduce a bipartisan bill to codify the bilateral security agreement with Ukraine reached by the Biden administration. “What do I think about Kursk? Bold, brilliant and beautiful. Keep it up,” Graham said at a press availability. “Putin started this. Kick his ass.” In a joint statement, both senators called on the Biden administration “to lift restrictions on weapons provided by the United States so they can strike the Russian invaders more effectively.” “Let these people fight. Give them weapons to fight a war they can’t afford to lose,” Graham said. “Additionally, President Zelensky told us both that he would be looking to supplement his Air Force by establishing a program to enlist retired NATO F-16 fighter pilots,” the statement said. “We support this effort. Ukraine is already fielding units of freedom fighters on the ground, and this volunteer force should be replicated in the air.” UN NUCLEAR CHIEF WORRIED UKRAINE’S RAID WILL ENDANGER RUSSIA’S KURSK NUCLEAR PLANT Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre. CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE WHITE HOUSE: IRAN ATTACK COULD COME THIS WEEK: Tension remains high as all signs point to Iran likely conducting a large-scale, coordinated attack against Israel in the days ahead. “We do share the assessment made by our Israeli counterparts that something could happen as soon as this week by Iran and its proxies,” White House National Security Communications Adviser John Kirby told reporters in a conference call yesterday. “That is a U.S. assessment as well as an Israeli assessment.  Our assessment matches the Israeli assessment.” The assessment is consistent with the analysis by the Institute for the Study of War, which says Iran and its “Axis of Resistance,” i.e., Iranian proxies, will most likely conduct “a coordinated, large-scale drone and missile attack on Israel in response to Israel killing senior Axis of Resistance leaders.” While an attack could come at any time, the U.S. is hoping a meeting planned for Thursday in Doha, a last-ditch attempt to reach a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hama, will still take place. “We fully expect that those talks are going to move forward, and they need to move forward,” Kirby said. “All negotiators should return to the table and bring this deal to a close.  It’s time to do that.  The details are of such a nature that we think they can be hashed out.” “If something does happen this week, the timing of it can certainly have an impact on these talks,” Kirby said. “But as you and I are sitting here right now, with nothing flying through the air in a significant way, we still believe these talks are important. We want to see them happen on Thursday.“ WHITE HOUSE EXPECTS IRAN TO REPEAT APRIL ROCKET ATTACK ON ISRAEL THIS WEEK US ASSEMBLES ARMADA OF DETERRENCE: The Pentagon announced yesterday that Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has ordered additional U.S. warships to the region in an effort to send a strong message to Iran that any attack against Israel will be met with a punishing response. “Reinforcing this commitment, Secretary Austin has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, equipped with F-35C fighters, to accelerate its transit to the Central Command area of responsibility,” spokesman Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder said in a readout of Austin’s phone call with Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant. “Additionally, the secretary has ordered the USS Georgia guided missile submarine to the Central Command region.” The Lincoln and its escort ships will join the USS Theodore Roosevelt already operating in the Arabian Gulf, providing two full carrier strike groups once it arrives.   Submarine deployments are usually kept private in order to preserve their stealthy advantage. However, in this case, the cruise missile-firing submarine is meant to send a clear message. While the same size as ballistic missile submarines that carry nuclear-tipped missiles, the Georgia has been converted to carry more than 100 conventional attack missiles and can also deploy special operations forces from a mini-sub. “These U.S. military posture adjustments are designed to improve U.S. force protection, to increase support for the defense of Israel, and to ensure the United States is prepared to respond to various contingencies,” Ryder said in a meeting with reporters at the Pentagon Monday. “We recognize the tensions in the region. We’re doing everything we can to deter aggression, deter conflict, prevent this from becoming a wider war — while at the same time ensuring that we have the capabilities in the region to be able to protect our own forces [and] also defend Israel, should it be attacked.” WHITE HOUSE REBUKES ‘DEAD WRONG’ ISRAELI LAWMAKER WHO CALLED CEASEFIRE DEAL A ‘TRAP’ THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : Putin: Ukraine raid into Russia could expand beyond Kursk region Washington Examiner : UN nuclear chief worried Ukraine’s raid will endanger Russia’s Kursk nuclear plant Washington Examiner : White House expects Iran to repeat April rocket attack on Israel this week Washington Examiner : White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran Washington Examiner : Chinese-owned ship ‘unintentionally’ behind Baltic pipeline damage: Report Washington Examiner : White House rebukes ‘dead wrong’ Israeli lawmaker who called ceasefire deal a ‘trap’ Washington Examiner : Wife of American wrongfully detained by Taliban airs frustration Washington Examiner : Never’ Harris: Border Patrol agents divulge how they feel about Kamala Washington Examiner : Biden could lift border executive action that helped lower migrant crossings Washington Examiner : White House ‘strongly condemns’ reports of Trump campaign hack by Iran Washington Examiner : Blinken pressed to disclose money to foreign adversaries after $293 million sent to Taliban Washington Examiner : Senior investigator of House Foreign Affairs Committee resigns over committee’s ‘disappointing lack of courage’ Washington Examiner : Opinion: Expect the White House to criticize Ukraine’s impressive offensive CBS News : US Troops Suffer Minor Injuries from Drone Attack in Syria, Pentagon Says AP : A ship in the Red Sea is targeted in a third attack by suspected Houthis AP : Trump and Musk talk about assassination attempt and deportations during glitchy chat on X Militarycom : Space Force Guardian’s Historic Launch to ISS Delayed Due to Issues with Stranded Astronauts Air & Space Forces Magazine : Space Force Payload Launches Aboard Allied Satellite in Historic First Inside Defense : DSB Recommends Military Use of Commercial PNT Systems The War Zone : Chinese Cargo Drone Capable of Carrying Two Tons Has Flown AP : The US Navy’s warship production is in its worst state in 25 years. What’s behind it? Defense One : National Security Workforce Needs Young People, Former NSA Chief Says Air & Space Forces Magazine : Surging Demand Has Airmen Interpreters Feeling the Pinch Air & Space Forces Magazine : Air Force, Boeing Ink $2.5 Billion Deal for First E-7s Defense News : The US Tried to Fix Its Foreign Military Sales System. Did It Work? DefenseScoop : Key to the Pentagon’s Concept for Modern War Is Standardization Air & Space Forces Magazine : F-22s Make Historic Tour Across Three South China Sea Allies Military.com : Military Families Finally Have a Database for Housing ComplaintsTHE CALENDAR:  TUESDAY | AUGUST 13 11 a.m.  — Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with  Brunei’s Defense Minister II Halbi bin Mohammad Yussof at the Pentagon. 5 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Houthi Factor: Gaza, the Axis of Resistance, and Middle East Stability,” with Abdulkhaleq Abdullah, nonresident senior fellow, Harvard University Belfer Center for Sciences and International Affairs; Ibrahim Jalal, nonresident scholar, Carnegie Middle East Center; Tamer Badawi, consultant and Ph.D. candidate at Kent University; Afrah Nasser, nonresident fellow at the Arab Center in Washington, D.C.; and Nadwa Al-Dawsari, Middle East Institute nonresident scholar https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-houthi-factor WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 14 9 a.m. — Intelligence and National Security Alliance virtual discussion: “Top priorities at the Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency,” with DCSA Director David Cattler https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event/2024/08/14/default-calendar/coffee-conversation-with-david-cattler 9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: “Afghanistan’s Evolving Terrorism Landscape under the Taliban,” with Amira Jadoon, assistant professor at Clemson University; Arian Sharifi, lecturer at Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs; Iftikhar Firdous, founder and editor of the Khorasan Diary; and Elizabeth Threlkeld, director of the Stimson South Asia Program https://www.stimson.org/event/afghanistans-evolving-terrorism-landscape 11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Recent Developments in North Korea,” with Bruce Klingner, Heritage Foundation senior research fellow on Northeast Asia; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia and Korea chair https://www.csis.org/events/impossible-live-podcast-recent-developments-north-korea 4:30 p.m. 14th and F Sts. NW — National Press Club hosts “A Concert for Austin Tice,” to mark the 12th anniversary of his abduction in Syria, with country musician Scotty Hastings; Debra Tice, mother of Austin Tice; Tony Hunter, CEO of McClatchy; Robert O’Brien, former White House director of national security; and Emily Wilkins, president of the National Press Club https://www.press.org/events/concert-austin-tice 2 p.m. Omaha, Nebraska — U.S. Strategic Command Deterrence Symposium with keynote remarks by Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff THURSDAY | AUGUST 15 8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Navy Summit, with Nickolas Guertin, assistant Navy secretary for research, development and acquisition; and Franklin Parker, assistant Navy secretary for manpower and reserve affairs https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-annual-navy-summit/ 10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “One Year after Camp David: How Durable Are Trilateral (U.S., Japan and South Korean) Ties?” with Mira Rapp-Hooper, senior director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council; Wooseon Choi, director general of the Korea National Diplomatic Academy’s Department of International Security and Unification Studies (virtual); Myong-hyun Go, director, Institute for National Security Strategy’s Hybrid Threat Research Center (virtual); and Tetsuo Kotani, professor, Meikai University https://www.hudson.org/events/one-year-after-camp-david 12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual book discussion: “Illusions of Control: Dilemmas in Managing U.S. Proxy Forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria,” with author Erica Gaston, head of the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research’s Conflict and Sustaining Peace Programme; Adam Weinstein, deputy middle east director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/book-talk-illusions-of-control FRIDAY | AUGUST 16 2 p.m.  Colorado Springs, Colorado — National Defense Industrial Association “2024 Space Warfighting Forum,” with Space Force Gen. Stephen Whiting, Commander, U.S. Space Command https://www.ndia.org/events/2024/8/14/2024-space-warfighting-forum, , Putin accuses Kyiv of ‘perpetrating crimes’ and vows ‘strong response’ as Ukraine claims to control almost 400 square miles of Russian territory, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

Killer robots have arrived on the battlefield thumbnail

Killer robots have arrived on the battlefield

When it comes to the technology allowing robots to kill people without the need for a human to guide them, as George Allen, the late coach of the Washington football team, now the Commanders, said, “The future is now.”

If there were ever any doubts, the lessons from the war in Ukraine have erased them. The real-world battlefield has become an incubator for the cheap, deadly efficient drone technology that’s being compared to the crossbow, gunpowder, and airplanes for the transformative effect it’s having on how wars are fought now and will be in the future.

In Ukraine, small, off-the-shelf commercial quadcopters have been “MacGyvered” into AI-assisted killing machines that can pursue fleeing soldiers, destroy main battle tanks, knock helicopters out of the sky, and set oil refineries ablaze — all flown by a distant operator using a video game controller.

The New Atlantis
Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP)

Seaborne drones have sunk half of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, revealing a vulnerability that suggests the naval warfare will never be the same.

Drone warfare has been around for decades, but artificial intelligence, computer algorithms that allow machines to think and act like humans, is the real game-changer.

In World War II, for instance, Nazi Germany used V-1 flying “buzz bombs” to terrorize London. The winged bombs, powered by a jet engine, flew until they ran out of fuel, and then fell randomly onto no particular target.

It wasn’t until 2001 that the U.S. military figured out it could outfit a Predator unmanned aircraft with a hellfire missile and thus convert a surveillance drone into a precision weapon of war.

The marriage of artificial intelligence with smaller, cheaper drones is now threatening to render today’s expensive, high-tech weapons and large standing armies anachronistic reminders of a bygone era.

“Future wars will no longer be about who can mass the most people or field the best jets, ships, and tanks,” retired Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt wrote in the Aug. 5 issue of Foreign Affairs. “Instead, they will be dominated by increasingly autonomous weapons systems and powerful algorithms. The next major conflict will likely see the wholesale integration of AI into every aspect of military planning and execution.”

“The use of unmanned weapons is essential for another reason: they are cheap. Drones are a much more affordable class of weapons than are traditional military jets,” Milley and Schmidt argue. “An MQ-9 Reaper drone, for example, costs roughly a fourth as much as an F-35 fighter jet. And the MQ-9 is one of the most expensive such weapons; a simple first-person-view drone can cost just $500. A team of ten of them can immobilize a $10 million Russian tank in Ukraine.”

A cursory search of the internet produces dozens of videos of drones in action in Ukraine, dropping explosives down an open tank hatch, flying into a hangar to destroy a fighter jet, and chasing a soldier on the ground like an angry hornet until he meets his demise.

It’s when the target is moving, or when GPS signals are being jammed, that AI can take over and complete the kill.

“We’re seeing terminal guidance be applied on both the Russian and the Ukrainian side, where the drone can lock onto a target and it can glide into that target on its own,” Ryan Gury, cofounder and CEO of the drone technology company PDW, told the Washington Examiner.

“What we see in Ukraine and Russia is a cat-and-mouse game that will very quickly mature,” Gury said. “There’s wideband heavy spectrum jamming across all front lines, and that means that we have to develop technologies that’ll counter these challenges and allow American warfighters to dominate in a near-peer battlefield.”

In a report from Ukraine last month, Paul Mozur, a global technology correspondent for the New York Times, saw firsthand how artificial intelligence is reshaping warfare.

As Mozur recounted in The Daily podcast, he met with some Ukrainians in their 20s and one in their teens who started a company that makes autonomous drones, and they put on a demo for him.

“They’re not doing something that miraculous. What they’re doing is they’re taking basic code that is around, combined it with some new data from the war, and made it into something entirely different, which is a weapon,” said Mozur, explaining that the autonomous systems overcome the best defense against tiny drones, namely radio jamming.

“It doesn’t matter what the pilot sees,” he continued. “Once they hit that lock, with the help of this AI software, it will keep going. And so, you all of a sudden are completely helpless to stop it unless you shoot it out of the sky.”

Mozur described another weapon, a ground-mounted machine gun, which a Ukrainian commander told him is operated from a video game console, uses AI to identify targets as they come over the horizon, automatically aims, and all the soldier has to do is press the button and shoot.

“He said it was great,” Mozur related. “We could sit back in the trench, drink coffee, smoke cigarettes, and shoot Russians.”

And therein lies the scary dilemma: How hard would it be to just let the algorithm decide when to shoot?

“There’s also the potential for artificial intelligence to be paired with lethal munitions or robots, and then you’ve got a real significant ethical and moral issue on your hands with the potential for that to be used in a bad way,” Milley said at a Future of Defense Forum last month sponsored by Axios.

“The U.S. should ensure that its own military AI is subject to strict controls,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “It should make sure AI systems can distinguish between military and civilian targets. It must keep them under human command.”

The Pentagon has a small program called Replicator, which has the ambitious goal of fielding tens of thousands of small, single-use drones by this time next year.

But the effort is not nearly enough to keep up with Russia, which has gained valuable experience in Ukraine, and China, which controls an estimated 70% of the global commercial drone market and whose authoritarian structure “has proved especially adroit at pushing through changes and adopting new concepts.”

“As a result, the U.S. military risks fighting a war in which its first-rate training and superior conventional weaponry will be rendered less than effective,” Milley and Schmidt warned. “U.S. troops, for example, have not been fully prepared to operate on a battlefield where their every move can be spotted and where they can be rapidly targeted by the drones hovering overhead.”

To catch up, the United States is going to have to go outside the traditional big defense contractors and rely on innovation and creativity from hundreds of small companies such as Gury’s PDW.

“The next generation of small, cheap drones are unlikely to be designed by traditional defense firms, which are incentivized to produce fancy but expensive equipment,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “They are more likely to be created as they were in Ukraine: through a government initiative that supports dozens of small startups.”

Gury is anxious to be a part of the revolution in drone warfare.

His company makes two models of small drones: a one-way “kamikaze” version that costs about $1,000 and a bigger model, still small enough to be folded into a backpack, which functions as a mothership that can be used for surveillance, resupply of troops, or loaded up with small kamikaze drones.

“It’s almost like an aircraft carrier in the sky,” Gury said. “It can hold other small consumable FPV [First Person View] drones, extend their range, and extend the time that they have in the air.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“It’s our job to make sure that the operator has all tools on the table,” he added. “So we make radios that can’t be jammed, we make systems that can overcome GPS, and we use AI in a way that is intelligent, where parts of the mission can be conducted without operators.

“The war in Ukraine has made it clear that small robotics will change the battlefield. And again, it’s up to us that we stay ahead.”

2024-08-09 09:30:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpremium%2F3115240%2Fkiller-robots-have-arrived-battlefield%2F?w=600&h=450, When it comes to the technology allowing robots to kill people without the need for a human to guide them, as George Allen, the late coach of the Washington football team, now the Commanders, said, “The future is now.” If there were ever any doubts, the lessons from the war in Ukraine have erased them.,

When it comes to the technology allowing robots to kill people without the need for a human to guide them, as George Allen, the late coach of the Washington football team, now the Commanders, said, “The future is now.”

If there were ever any doubts, the lessons from the war in Ukraine have erased them. The real-world battlefield has become an incubator for the cheap, deadly efficient drone technology that’s being compared to the crossbow, gunpowder, and airplanes for the transformative effect it’s having on how wars are fought now and will be in the future.

In Ukraine, small, off-the-shelf commercial quadcopters have been “MacGyvered” into AI-assisted killing machines that can pursue fleeing soldiers, destroy main battle tanks, knock helicopters out of the sky, and set oil refineries ablaze — all flown by a distant operator using a video game controller.

The New Atlantis
Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP)

Seaborne drones have sunk half of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, revealing a vulnerability that suggests the naval warfare will never be the same.

Drone warfare has been around for decades, but artificial intelligence, computer algorithms that allow machines to think and act like humans, is the real game-changer.

In World War II, for instance, Nazi Germany used V-1 flying “buzz bombs” to terrorize London. The winged bombs, powered by a jet engine, flew until they ran out of fuel, and then fell randomly onto no particular target.

It wasn’t until 2001 that the U.S. military figured out it could outfit a Predator unmanned aircraft with a hellfire missile and thus convert a surveillance drone into a precision weapon of war.

The marriage of artificial intelligence with smaller, cheaper drones is now threatening to render today’s expensive, high-tech weapons and large standing armies anachronistic reminders of a bygone era.

“Future wars will no longer be about who can mass the most people or field the best jets, ships, and tanks,” retired Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt wrote in the Aug. 5 issue of Foreign Affairs. “Instead, they will be dominated by increasingly autonomous weapons systems and powerful algorithms. The next major conflict will likely see the wholesale integration of AI into every aspect of military planning and execution.”

“The use of unmanned weapons is essential for another reason: they are cheap. Drones are a much more affordable class of weapons than are traditional military jets,” Milley and Schmidt argue. “An MQ-9 Reaper drone, for example, costs roughly a fourth as much as an F-35 fighter jet. And the MQ-9 is one of the most expensive such weapons; a simple first-person-view drone can cost just $500. A team of ten of them can immobilize a $10 million Russian tank in Ukraine.”

A cursory search of the internet produces dozens of videos of drones in action in Ukraine, dropping explosives down an open tank hatch, flying into a hangar to destroy a fighter jet, and chasing a soldier on the ground like an angry hornet until he meets his demise.

It’s when the target is moving, or when GPS signals are being jammed, that AI can take over and complete the kill.

“We’re seeing terminal guidance be applied on both the Russian and the Ukrainian side, where the drone can lock onto a target and it can glide into that target on its own,” Ryan Gury, cofounder and CEO of the drone technology company PDW, told the Washington Examiner.

“What we see in Ukraine and Russia is a cat-and-mouse game that will very quickly mature,” Gury said. “There’s wideband heavy spectrum jamming across all front lines, and that means that we have to develop technologies that’ll counter these challenges and allow American warfighters to dominate in a near-peer battlefield.”

In a report from Ukraine last month, Paul Mozur, a global technology correspondent for the New York Times, saw firsthand how artificial intelligence is reshaping warfare.

As Mozur recounted in The Daily podcast, he met with some Ukrainians in their 20s and one in their teens who started a company that makes autonomous drones, and they put on a demo for him.

“They’re not doing something that miraculous. What they’re doing is they’re taking basic code that is around, combined it with some new data from the war, and made it into something entirely different, which is a weapon,” said Mozur, explaining that the autonomous systems overcome the best defense against tiny drones, namely radio jamming.

“It doesn’t matter what the pilot sees,” he continued. “Once they hit that lock, with the help of this AI software, it will keep going. And so, you all of a sudden are completely helpless to stop it unless you shoot it out of the sky.”

Mozur described another weapon, a ground-mounted machine gun, which a Ukrainian commander told him is operated from a video game console, uses AI to identify targets as they come over the horizon, automatically aims, and all the soldier has to do is press the button and shoot.

“He said it was great,” Mozur related. “We could sit back in the trench, drink coffee, smoke cigarettes, and shoot Russians.”

And therein lies the scary dilemma: How hard would it be to just let the algorithm decide when to shoot?

“There’s also the potential for artificial intelligence to be paired with lethal munitions or robots, and then you’ve got a real significant ethical and moral issue on your hands with the potential for that to be used in a bad way,” Milley said at a Future of Defense Forum last month sponsored by Axios.

“The U.S. should ensure that its own military AI is subject to strict controls,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “It should make sure AI systems can distinguish between military and civilian targets. It must keep them under human command.”

The Pentagon has a small program called Replicator, which has the ambitious goal of fielding tens of thousands of small, single-use drones by this time next year.

But the effort is not nearly enough to keep up with Russia, which has gained valuable experience in Ukraine, and China, which controls an estimated 70% of the global commercial drone market and whose authoritarian structure “has proved especially adroit at pushing through changes and adopting new concepts.”

“As a result, the U.S. military risks fighting a war in which its first-rate training and superior conventional weaponry will be rendered less than effective,” Milley and Schmidt warned. “U.S. troops, for example, have not been fully prepared to operate on a battlefield where their every move can be spotted and where they can be rapidly targeted by the drones hovering overhead.”

To catch up, the United States is going to have to go outside the traditional big defense contractors and rely on innovation and creativity from hundreds of small companies such as Gury’s PDW.

“The next generation of small, cheap drones are unlikely to be designed by traditional defense firms, which are incentivized to produce fancy but expensive equipment,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “They are more likely to be created as they were in Ukraine: through a government initiative that supports dozens of small startups.”

Gury is anxious to be a part of the revolution in drone warfare.

His company makes two models of small drones: a one-way “kamikaze” version that costs about $1,000 and a bigger model, still small enough to be folded into a backpack, which functions as a mothership that can be used for surveillance, resupply of troops, or loaded up with small kamikaze drones.

“It’s almost like an aircraft carrier in the sky,” Gury said. “It can hold other small consumable FPV [First Person View] drones, extend their range, and extend the time that they have in the air.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“It’s our job to make sure that the operator has all tools on the table,” he added. “So we make radios that can’t be jammed, we make systems that can overcome GPS, and we use AI in a way that is intelligent, where parts of the mission can be conducted without operators.

“The war in Ukraine has made it clear that small robotics will change the battlefield. And again, it’s up to us that we stay ahead.”

, When it comes to the technology allowing robots to kill people without the need for a human to guide them, as George Allen, the late coach of the Washington football team, now the Commanders, said, “The future is now.” If there were ever any doubts, the lessons from the war in Ukraine have erased them. The real-world battlefield has become an incubator for the cheap, deadly efficient drone technology that’s being compared to the crossbow, gunpowder, and airplanes for the transformative effect it’s having on how wars are fought now and will be in the future. In Ukraine, small, off-the-shelf commercial quadcopters have been “MacGyvered” into AI-assisted killing machines that can pursue fleeing soldiers, destroy main battle tanks, knock helicopters out of the sky, and set oil refineries ablaze — all flown by a distant operator using a video game controller. Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP) Seaborne drones have sunk half of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, revealing a vulnerability that suggests the naval warfare will never be the same. Drone warfare has been around for decades, but artificial intelligence, computer algorithms that allow machines to think and act like humans, is the real game-changer. In World War II, for instance, Nazi Germany used V-1 flying “buzz bombs” to terrorize London. The winged bombs, powered by a jet engine, flew until they ran out of fuel, and then fell randomly onto no particular target. It wasn’t until 2001 that the U.S. military figured out it could outfit a Predator unmanned aircraft with a hellfire missile and thus convert a surveillance drone into a precision weapon of war. The marriage of artificial intelligence with smaller, cheaper drones is now threatening to render today’s expensive, high-tech weapons and large standing armies anachronistic reminders of a bygone era. “Future wars will no longer be about who can mass the most people or field the best jets, ships, and tanks,” retired Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt wrote in the Aug. 5 issue of Foreign Affairs. “Instead, they will be dominated by increasingly autonomous weapons systems and powerful algorithms. The next major conflict will likely see the wholesale integration of AI into every aspect of military planning and execution.” “The use of unmanned weapons is essential for another reason: they are cheap. Drones are a much more affordable class of weapons than are traditional military jets,” Milley and Schmidt argue. “An MQ-9 Reaper drone, for example, costs roughly a fourth as much as an F-35 fighter jet. And the MQ-9 is one of the most expensive such weapons; a simple first-person-view drone can cost just $500. A team of ten of them can immobilize a $10 million Russian tank in Ukraine.” A cursory search of the internet produces dozens of videos of drones in action in Ukraine, dropping explosives down an open tank hatch, flying into a hangar to destroy a fighter jet, and chasing a soldier on the ground like an angry hornet until he meets his demise. It’s when the target is moving, or when GPS signals are being jammed, that AI can take over and complete the kill. “We’re seeing terminal guidance be applied on both the Russian and the Ukrainian side, where the drone can lock onto a target and it can glide into that target on its own,” Ryan Gury, cofounder and CEO of the drone technology company PDW, told the Washington Examiner. “What we see in Ukraine and Russia is a cat-and-mouse game that will very quickly mature,” Gury said. “There’s wideband heavy spectrum jamming across all front lines, and that means that we have to develop technologies that’ll counter these challenges and allow American warfighters to dominate in a near-peer battlefield.” In a report from Ukraine last month, Paul Mozur, a global technology correspondent for the New York Times, saw firsthand how artificial intelligence is reshaping warfare. As Mozur recounted in The Daily podcast, he met with some Ukrainians in their 20s and one in their teens who started a company that makes autonomous drones, and they put on a demo for him. “They’re not doing something that miraculous. What they’re doing is they’re taking basic code that is around, combined it with some new data from the war, and made it into something entirely different, which is a weapon,” said Mozur, explaining that the autonomous systems overcome the best defense against tiny drones, namely radio jamming. “It doesn’t matter what the pilot sees,” he continued. “Once they hit that lock, with the help of this AI software, it will keep going. And so, you all of a sudden are completely helpless to stop it unless you shoot it out of the sky.” Mozur described another weapon, a ground-mounted machine gun, which a Ukrainian commander told him is operated from a video game console, uses AI to identify targets as they come over the horizon, automatically aims, and all the soldier has to do is press the button and shoot. “He said it was great,” Mozur related. “We could sit back in the trench, drink coffee, smoke cigarettes, and shoot Russians.” And therein lies the scary dilemma: How hard would it be to just let the algorithm decide when to shoot? “There’s also the potential for artificial intelligence to be paired with lethal munitions or robots, and then you’ve got a real significant ethical and moral issue on your hands with the potential for that to be used in a bad way,” Milley said at a Future of Defense Forum last month sponsored by Axios. “The U.S. should ensure that its own military AI is subject to strict controls,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “It should make sure AI systems can distinguish between military and civilian targets. It must keep them under human command.” The Pentagon has a small program called Replicator, which has the ambitious goal of fielding tens of thousands of small, single-use drones by this time next year. But the effort is not nearly enough to keep up with Russia, which has gained valuable experience in Ukraine, and China, which controls an estimated 70% of the global commercial drone market and whose authoritarian structure “has proved especially adroit at pushing through changes and adopting new concepts.” “As a result, the U.S. military risks fighting a war in which its first-rate training and superior conventional weaponry will be rendered less than effective,” Milley and Schmidt warned. “U.S. troops, for example, have not been fully prepared to operate on a battlefield where their every move can be spotted and where they can be rapidly targeted by the drones hovering overhead.” To catch up, the United States is going to have to go outside the traditional big defense contractors and rely on innovation and creativity from hundreds of small companies such as Gury’s PDW. “The next generation of small, cheap drones are unlikely to be designed by traditional defense firms, which are incentivized to produce fancy but expensive equipment,” Milley and Schmidt wrote. “They are more likely to be created as they were in Ukraine: through a government initiative that supports dozens of small startups.” Gury is anxious to be a part of the revolution in drone warfare. His company makes two models of small drones: a one-way “kamikaze” version that costs about $1,000 and a bigger model, still small enough to be folded into a backpack, which functions as a mothership that can be used for surveillance, resupply of troops, or loaded up with small kamikaze drones. “It’s almost like an aircraft carrier in the sky,” Gury said. “It can hold other small consumable FPV [First Person View] drones, extend their range, and extend the time that they have in the air.” CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER “It’s our job to make sure that the operator has all tools on the table,” he added. “So we make radios that can’t be jammed, we make systems that can overcome GPS, and we use AI in a way that is intelligent, where parts of the mission can be conducted without operators. “The war in Ukraine has made it clear that small robotics will change the battlefield. And again, it’s up to us that we stay ahead.”, , Killer robots have arrived on the battlefield, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/WB.Defense-073124.webp, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

‘No delays, no excuses’ — frustrated Blinken says ceasefire deal only path to avoiding wider war in Middle East thumbnail

‘No delays, no excuses’ — frustrated Blinken says ceasefire deal only path to avoiding wider war in Middle East

‘NO DELAYS, NO EXCUSES’: As Iran’s foreign minister attends an emergency meeting of Islamic ministers in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, convened at Tehran’s request, the United States continues to work to avoid the kind of military action that could escalate into a regional war.

Taking questions from reporters in Annapolis, Maryland, after a daylong meeting with Australian counterparts, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there is still time to implement the ceasefire deal proposed by President Joe Biden, which would lower tensions and prevent the crisis from spinning out of control.

“We believe based on the work that’s been done, based on the very practical issues that are at stake, that there is no reason that this should not be concluded and concluded quickly,” Blinken said. “So this is really a time for all of the parties involved to close this out — no delays, no excuses, no reasons why we can’t do something, focus on getting to yes.”

“This is the decisive moment. The negotiations have reached their final stage, and we believe strongly that they should come across the finish line very, very soon,” Blinken said. “This ceasefire is profoundly in the interests of everyone. It’s in the interest of Israelis. It’s in the interest, of course, of the hostages, their families around the world, including in the United States. It’s manifestly in the interest of the Palestinian children, women, and men who are suffering every day.”

BLINKEN PITCHES CEASEFIRE DEAL AS OFF-RAMP FROM IRAN-ISRAEL CRISIS

SINWAR’S RISE: ‘IT REALLY IS ON HIM’: While some accuse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of seeking to prolong the campaign in Gaza to accomplish his stated goal of destroying Hamas, Blinken said the onus now falls squarely on Yahya Sinwar, the newly named political leader of Hamas after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, to take the deal on the table.

“The fact that it is really on him to decide whether to move forward with a ceasefire that manifestly will help so many Palestinians in desperate need, women, children, men who are caught in a crossfire of Hamas’s making in Gaza, whether we can put Gaza and the region more broadly onto a more peaceful and secure path,” Blinken said.

After a contentious phone call between Biden and Netanyahu, in which Biden reportedly accused Netanyahu of “BSing” him about support for the ceasefire deal, White House officials said after Israel’s success in eliminating Hezbollah and Hamas leaders, Netanyahu appears to have caved to U.S pressure to sign on to the plan.

“We have seen under this president what happens when you have diplomacy, when you talk to your partners and allies,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said yesterday. “We have to continue. We have to continue to have these conversations. The president’s going to do that, as you have seen the last two days.”

HAMAS CHOOSES YAHYA SINWAR AS NEW POLITICAL LEADER

‘WHEN IT COMES TO DEFENDING ISRAEL, WE ARE RESOLUTE’: Meanwhile, the Biden administration continues to signal to Iran that another major attack on Israel will be met with the full might of U.S. military forces now arrayed across the region.

“When it comes to defending Israel, we are resolute. We’ll remain resolute in making sure that we do everything possible to defend it against any attacks,” Blinken said.

“I’m not going to speculate on any Iranian actions going forward,” said Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the same press conference. “What I’ve been focused on is making sure that we’re doing everything we can to put measures in place to protect our troops and also make sure that we’re in a good position to aid in the defense of Israel if called upon to do that.”

“We’ve adjusted our military posture to strengthen our force protection and to reinforce our ironclad commitment to the defense of Israel,” Austin said. “To maintain our carrier strike group presence in the Middle East, I have ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln to replace the USS Theodore Roosevelt later this month. I’ve also ordered more cruisers and destroyers capable of ballistic missile defense to the region, and I’ve ordered the deployment of another fighter squadron to the Middle East to reinforce our defensive air support capabilities there.”

WHITE HOUSE PRESSED ON RISING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Vice President Kamala Harris hits the campaign trail today with rallies in two battleground states, Wisconsin and Michigan. Having named Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) her running mate, Harris has an event planned tonight in Detroit, following an afternoon appearance in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.

TURNER: MURDER-FOR-HIRE PLAN ANOTHER SECRET SERVICE FAILURE: The announcement by the Justice Department yesterday that a Pakistani national with ties to Iran has been charged in connection with a foiled plot to assassinate a U.S. politician or government official has prompted another rebuke from Rep. Mike Turner (OH-10), chairman of the House Intelligence Committee. 

Yesterday, the Justice Department unsealed an indictment against Asif Merchant, who was arrested in the U.S. after meetings with a “hit man” who was actually an undercover FBI agent. “This dangerous murder-for-hire plot exposed in today’s complaint allegedly was orchestrated by a Pakistani national with close ties to Iran and is straight out of the Iranian playbook,” said FBI Director Christopher Wray.

“The failure of the Secret Service in Butler, Pennsylvania, is even more outrageous in light of suspected Iranian-backed assassins targeting former Trump administration officials, including President Trump himself. That day, the threat of sniper attacks was even higher than normal,” said Turner.

“I was previously briefed concerning the Iranian threat and the circumstances of Mr. Merchant’s arrest and questioned then-Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle on whether she had reviewed the intelligence concerning the Iranian threat. She confirmed to me that she read the intelligence and was aware of this Iranian murder-for-hire plot,” Turner said. “Director Cheatle acknowledged she knew the threat and still did not provide President Trump the protection he needed, almost costing him his life.”

PAKISTANI MAN WITH IRANIAN TIES CHARGED IN PLOT TO ASSASSINATE US OFFICIALS

AUSTIN: 9/11 CASES SHOULD GO FORWARD: While some military legal experts have suggested Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s decision to revoke the plea deals prosecutors reached with Khalid Shaikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices in the 9/11 terrorist attacks could run afoul of the ban on “unlawful command influence,” Austin defended his actions in his first public comments yesterday.

“I would just say that there’s not a day that goes by when I don’t think of 9/11 and the Americans that were murdered that day, also those who died trying to save lives and the troops and their families who gave so much for this country in the years following that,” Austin said. “I’m deeply mindful of my duty to all those whose lives were lost or changed forever on 9/11, and I fully understand that no measure of justice can ever make up for their loss.”

“So this wasn’t a decision that I took lightly, but I have long believed that the families of the victims, our service members, and the American public deserve the opportunity to see military commission trials carried out in this case, and I’ll leave it at that,” he said.

J. Wells Dixon, a staff lawyer at the Center for Constitutional Rights, has suggested in interviews that Austin’s action could allow defense attorneys for the accused terrorists to request charges be dropped under the doctrine of unlawful command influence as outlined in the Uniform Code of Military Justice.

IRANIAN MILITIA CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY FOR ATTACK ON US TROOPS: The Iranian-backed militia al Thawriyyun claimed responsibility for the Monday rocket attack that injured at least five U.S. personnel at the al Asad Air Base in Iraq.

“In terms of who was behind the attack on al Asad, we’re sure that it was an Iranian-backed Shia militia group,” Austin said yesterday. “Specifically which group, we’re still investigating to determine that.”

“Make no mistake, the United States will not tolerate attacks on our personnel in the region,” Austin said. “And we remain ready to deploy on short notice to meet the evolving threats to our security, our partners, or our interests.”

SEVEN INJURED IN ATTACK ON US TROOPS IN IRAQ

UKRAINE MOUNTS CROSS-BORDER ATTACK INTO RUSSIA: While Russian forces have been making small but steady advances along the eastern front in Ukraine, a small contingent of Ukrainian troops and tanks made an incursion into Russian territory, in the area of Kursk.

“Russian Ministry of Defense and Federal Security Service claimed on August 6 that Russian border troops and FSB personnel repelled several raids by Ukrainian forces equipped with roughly a battalion’s worth of tanks and armored vehicles against Russian positions near Nikolayevo-Darino and Oleshnya, Kursk Oblast,” the Institute for the Study of War said in its daily assessment of the Ukraine war.

“The Russian MoD claimed that Russian forces destroyed 16 Ukrainian armored vehicles during the supposed raids,” the ISW said. “​​Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian military personnel and members of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) were involved in the raids, but ISW has not observed confirmation of these claims.”

CODEL DOWN UNDER: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, is leading a small bipartisan congressional delegation to the Philippines and Australia. “As China continues its aggression in the Indo-Pacific, it is critical the United States strengthen our relationships in the region,” McCaul said in a statement. “I look forward to meeting with officials in both the Philippines and Australia to learn how America can best help our partners in the region, including deepening our economic ties and expanding both our military and diplomatic cooperation.”

The delegation includes Reps. Young Kim (R-CA), Joe Wilson (R-SC), and Jimmy Panetta (D-CA). 

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Blinken pitches ceasefire deal as off-ramp from Iran-Israel crisis

Washington Examiner: White House pressed on rising Middle East tensions

Washington Examiner: Hamas chooses Yahya Sinwar as new political leader

Washington Examiner: Pakistani man with Iranian ties charged in plot to assassinate US officials

Washington Examiner: Seven injured in attack on US troops in Iraq

Washington Examiner: Ultra-Orthodox protesters break into IDF base to protest draft

Washington Examiner: Tim Walz’s immigration record in Minnesota shows support for sanctuary policies

Washington Examiner: How the Navy’s Middle East deployments undermine China deterrence

Washington Examiner: More than a dozen charged over Jan. 6 since last month, DOJ announces

Military.com: Tim Walz, Who Spent Decades as an Enlisted Soldier, Brings Years of Work on Vets Issues to Dem Ticket

Washington Post: Most Americans oppose sending U.S. troops to defend Israel, poll finds

The War Zone: Aftermath of Ukrainian Attack on Russian Su-34 Fullback Base Emerges

AP: Weak spots in metal may have led to fatal Osprey crash off Japan, documents obtained by AP reveal

AP: Turkey to submit request to join genocide case against Israel in UN court

Soldier of Fortune: Putin and the Assassin: The Calculated Gamble of Hostage-Taking Still Works

National Security Journal: The Ukraine War Proves Russia’s Air Force Still Packs a Punch 

National Security Journal: The M1 Abrams Tank Is No Rockstar in Ukraine War 

Breaking Defense: ‘Space Fires’ to Enable ‘Space Superiority’ Are Top SPACECOM Priorities for FY27

Air & Space Forces Magazine: New Weather Satellites Will Start Feeding Data to Warfighters This Fall

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force Tries Out New Pylon on B-1, Transforming Bomber into ‘Hypersonic Testbed’

DefenseScoop: Report: Air Force CCA Program Still Faces Cost, Bureaucratic Hurdles Despite Positive Movement

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Austin: USAF Will Increase Bomber Deployments to Australia

Air Force Times: First Huey Replacement Helicopter Delivered to US Air Force

Defense News: Push for Self-Reliance Drives Defense Revenue Surge Among Top 100

SpaceNews: US Army Seeks to Expand Space Expertise Among Soldiers

Breaking Defense: Space Force Asks Industry to Critique Draft Civil Reserve Framework, Including ‘Incentives’

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Staff Sergeant Promotions Surge, Reversing 5-Year Slump

National Security Journal: Iran Is Upgrading America’s Old M60 Main Battle Tank 

Wall Street Journal: Lindsey Graham: Opinion: Three Ways to Confront Iran

National Security Journal: Opinion: Washington Must Prevent a Saudi Nuclear Program

THE CALENDAR: 

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea

10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister

11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register

12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp

THURSDAY | AUGUST 8

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return

1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink

3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for US-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward

FRIDAY | AUGUST 9

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Grady https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

2024-08-07 13:28:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fdaily-on-defense%2F3113477%2Fno-delays-no-excuses-frustrated-blinken-says-ceasefire-deal-only-path-to-avoiding-wider-war-in-middle-east%2F?w=600&h=450, ‘NO DELAYS, NO EXCUSES’: As Iran’s foreign minister attends an emergency meeting of Islamic ministers in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, convened at Tehran’s request, the United States continues to work to avoid the kind of military action that could escalate into a regional war. Taking questions from reporters in Annapolis, Maryland, after a daylong meeting with,

‘NO DELAYS, NO EXCUSES’: As Iran’s foreign minister attends an emergency meeting of Islamic ministers in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, convened at Tehran’s request, the United States continues to work to avoid the kind of military action that could escalate into a regional war.

Taking questions from reporters in Annapolis, Maryland, after a daylong meeting with Australian counterparts, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there is still time to implement the ceasefire deal proposed by President Joe Biden, which would lower tensions and prevent the crisis from spinning out of control.

“We believe based on the work that’s been done, based on the very practical issues that are at stake, that there is no reason that this should not be concluded and concluded quickly,” Blinken said. “So this is really a time for all of the parties involved to close this out — no delays, no excuses, no reasons why we can’t do something, focus on getting to yes.”

“This is the decisive moment. The negotiations have reached their final stage, and we believe strongly that they should come across the finish line very, very soon,” Blinken said. “This ceasefire is profoundly in the interests of everyone. It’s in the interest of Israelis. It’s in the interest, of course, of the hostages, their families around the world, including in the United States. It’s manifestly in the interest of the Palestinian children, women, and men who are suffering every day.”

BLINKEN PITCHES CEASEFIRE DEAL AS OFF-RAMP FROM IRAN-ISRAEL CRISIS

SINWAR’S RISE: ‘IT REALLY IS ON HIM’: While some accuse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of seeking to prolong the campaign in Gaza to accomplish his stated goal of destroying Hamas, Blinken said the onus now falls squarely on Yahya Sinwar, the newly named political leader of Hamas after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, to take the deal on the table.

“The fact that it is really on him to decide whether to move forward with a ceasefire that manifestly will help so many Palestinians in desperate need, women, children, men who are caught in a crossfire of Hamas’s making in Gaza, whether we can put Gaza and the region more broadly onto a more peaceful and secure path,” Blinken said.

After a contentious phone call between Biden and Netanyahu, in which Biden reportedly accused Netanyahu of “BSing” him about support for the ceasefire deal, White House officials said after Israel’s success in eliminating Hezbollah and Hamas leaders, Netanyahu appears to have caved to U.S pressure to sign on to the plan.

“We have seen under this president what happens when you have diplomacy, when you talk to your partners and allies,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said yesterday. “We have to continue. We have to continue to have these conversations. The president’s going to do that, as you have seen the last two days.”

HAMAS CHOOSES YAHYA SINWAR AS NEW POLITICAL LEADER

‘WHEN IT COMES TO DEFENDING ISRAEL, WE ARE RESOLUTE’: Meanwhile, the Biden administration continues to signal to Iran that another major attack on Israel will be met with the full might of U.S. military forces now arrayed across the region.

“When it comes to defending Israel, we are resolute. We’ll remain resolute in making sure that we do everything possible to defend it against any attacks,” Blinken said.

“I’m not going to speculate on any Iranian actions going forward,” said Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the same press conference. “What I’ve been focused on is making sure that we’re doing everything we can to put measures in place to protect our troops and also make sure that we’re in a good position to aid in the defense of Israel if called upon to do that.”

“We’ve adjusted our military posture to strengthen our force protection and to reinforce our ironclad commitment to the defense of Israel,” Austin said. “To maintain our carrier strike group presence in the Middle East, I have ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln to replace the USS Theodore Roosevelt later this month. I’ve also ordered more cruisers and destroyers capable of ballistic missile defense to the region, and I’ve ordered the deployment of another fighter squadron to the Middle East to reinforce our defensive air support capabilities there.”

WHITE HOUSE PRESSED ON RISING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Vice President Kamala Harris hits the campaign trail today with rallies in two battleground states, Wisconsin and Michigan. Having named Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) her running mate, Harris has an event planned tonight in Detroit, following an afternoon appearance in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.

TURNER: MURDER-FOR-HIRE PLAN ANOTHER SECRET SERVICE FAILURE: The announcement by the Justice Department yesterday that a Pakistani national with ties to Iran has been charged in connection with a foiled plot to assassinate a U.S. politician or government official has prompted another rebuke from Rep. Mike Turner (OH-10), chairman of the House Intelligence Committee. 

Yesterday, the Justice Department unsealed an indictment against Asif Merchant, who was arrested in the U.S. after meetings with a “hit man” who was actually an undercover FBI agent. “This dangerous murder-for-hire plot exposed in today’s complaint allegedly was orchestrated by a Pakistani national with close ties to Iran and is straight out of the Iranian playbook,” said FBI Director Christopher Wray.

“The failure of the Secret Service in Butler, Pennsylvania, is even more outrageous in light of suspected Iranian-backed assassins targeting former Trump administration officials, including President Trump himself. That day, the threat of sniper attacks was even higher than normal,” said Turner.

“I was previously briefed concerning the Iranian threat and the circumstances of Mr. Merchant’s arrest and questioned then-Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle on whether she had reviewed the intelligence concerning the Iranian threat. She confirmed to me that she read the intelligence and was aware of this Iranian murder-for-hire plot,” Turner said. “Director Cheatle acknowledged she knew the threat and still did not provide President Trump the protection he needed, almost costing him his life.”

PAKISTANI MAN WITH IRANIAN TIES CHARGED IN PLOT TO ASSASSINATE US OFFICIALS

AUSTIN: 9/11 CASES SHOULD GO FORWARD: While some military legal experts have suggested Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s decision to revoke the plea deals prosecutors reached with Khalid Shaikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices in the 9/11 terrorist attacks could run afoul of the ban on “unlawful command influence,” Austin defended his actions in his first public comments yesterday.

“I would just say that there’s not a day that goes by when I don’t think of 9/11 and the Americans that were murdered that day, also those who died trying to save lives and the troops and their families who gave so much for this country in the years following that,” Austin said. “I’m deeply mindful of my duty to all those whose lives were lost or changed forever on 9/11, and I fully understand that no measure of justice can ever make up for their loss.”

“So this wasn’t a decision that I took lightly, but I have long believed that the families of the victims, our service members, and the American public deserve the opportunity to see military commission trials carried out in this case, and I’ll leave it at that,” he said.

J. Wells Dixon, a staff lawyer at the Center for Constitutional Rights, has suggested in interviews that Austin’s action could allow defense attorneys for the accused terrorists to request charges be dropped under the doctrine of unlawful command influence as outlined in the Uniform Code of Military Justice.

IRANIAN MILITIA CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY FOR ATTACK ON US TROOPS: The Iranian-backed militia al Thawriyyun claimed responsibility for the Monday rocket attack that injured at least five U.S. personnel at the al Asad Air Base in Iraq.

“In terms of who was behind the attack on al Asad, we’re sure that it was an Iranian-backed Shia militia group,” Austin said yesterday. “Specifically which group, we’re still investigating to determine that.”

“Make no mistake, the United States will not tolerate attacks on our personnel in the region,” Austin said. “And we remain ready to deploy on short notice to meet the evolving threats to our security, our partners, or our interests.”

SEVEN INJURED IN ATTACK ON US TROOPS IN IRAQ

UKRAINE MOUNTS CROSS-BORDER ATTACK INTO RUSSIA: While Russian forces have been making small but steady advances along the eastern front in Ukraine, a small contingent of Ukrainian troops and tanks made an incursion into Russian territory, in the area of Kursk.

“Russian Ministry of Defense and Federal Security Service claimed on August 6 that Russian border troops and FSB personnel repelled several raids by Ukrainian forces equipped with roughly a battalion’s worth of tanks and armored vehicles against Russian positions near Nikolayevo-Darino and Oleshnya, Kursk Oblast,” the Institute for the Study of War said in its daily assessment of the Ukraine war.

“The Russian MoD claimed that Russian forces destroyed 16 Ukrainian armored vehicles during the supposed raids,” the ISW said. “​​Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian military personnel and members of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) were involved in the raids, but ISW has not observed confirmation of these claims.”

CODEL DOWN UNDER: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, is leading a small bipartisan congressional delegation to the Philippines and Australia. “As China continues its aggression in the Indo-Pacific, it is critical the United States strengthen our relationships in the region,” McCaul said in a statement. “I look forward to meeting with officials in both the Philippines and Australia to learn how America can best help our partners in the region, including deepening our economic ties and expanding both our military and diplomatic cooperation.”

The delegation includes Reps. Young Kim (R-CA), Joe Wilson (R-SC), and Jimmy Panetta (D-CA). 

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Blinken pitches ceasefire deal as off-ramp from Iran-Israel crisis

Washington Examiner: White House pressed on rising Middle East tensions

Washington Examiner: Hamas chooses Yahya Sinwar as new political leader

Washington Examiner: Pakistani man with Iranian ties charged in plot to assassinate US officials

Washington Examiner: Seven injured in attack on US troops in Iraq

Washington Examiner: Ultra-Orthodox protesters break into IDF base to protest draft

Washington Examiner: Tim Walz’s immigration record in Minnesota shows support for sanctuary policies

Washington Examiner: How the Navy’s Middle East deployments undermine China deterrence

Washington Examiner: More than a dozen charged over Jan. 6 since last month, DOJ announces

Military.com: Tim Walz, Who Spent Decades as an Enlisted Soldier, Brings Years of Work on Vets Issues to Dem Ticket

Washington Post: Most Americans oppose sending U.S. troops to defend Israel, poll finds

The War Zone: Aftermath of Ukrainian Attack on Russian Su-34 Fullback Base Emerges

AP: Weak spots in metal may have led to fatal Osprey crash off Japan, documents obtained by AP reveal

AP: Turkey to submit request to join genocide case against Israel in UN court

Soldier of Fortune: Putin and the Assassin: The Calculated Gamble of Hostage-Taking Still Works

National Security Journal: The Ukraine War Proves Russia’s Air Force Still Packs a Punch 

National Security Journal: The M1 Abrams Tank Is No Rockstar in Ukraine War 

Breaking Defense: ‘Space Fires’ to Enable ‘Space Superiority’ Are Top SPACECOM Priorities for FY27

Air & Space Forces Magazine: New Weather Satellites Will Start Feeding Data to Warfighters This Fall

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force Tries Out New Pylon on B-1, Transforming Bomber into ‘Hypersonic Testbed’

DefenseScoop: Report: Air Force CCA Program Still Faces Cost, Bureaucratic Hurdles Despite Positive Movement

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Austin: USAF Will Increase Bomber Deployments to Australia

Air Force Times: First Huey Replacement Helicopter Delivered to US Air Force

Defense News: Push for Self-Reliance Drives Defense Revenue Surge Among Top 100

SpaceNews: US Army Seeks to Expand Space Expertise Among Soldiers

Breaking Defense: Space Force Asks Industry to Critique Draft Civil Reserve Framework, Including ‘Incentives’

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Staff Sergeant Promotions Surge, Reversing 5-Year Slump

National Security Journal: Iran Is Upgrading America’s Old M60 Main Battle Tank 

Wall Street Journal: Lindsey Graham: Opinion: Three Ways to Confront Iran

National Security Journal: Opinion: Washington Must Prevent a Saudi Nuclear Program

THE CALENDAR: 

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea

10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister

11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register

12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp

THURSDAY | AUGUST 8

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return

1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink

3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for US-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward

FRIDAY | AUGUST 9

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Grady https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

, ‘NO DELAYS, NO EXCUSES’: As Iran’s foreign minister attends an emergency meeting of Islamic ministers in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, convened at Tehran’s request, the United States continues to work to avoid the kind of military action that could escalate into a regional war. Taking questions from reporters in Annapolis, Maryland, after a daylong meeting with Australian counterparts, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there is still time to implement the ceasefire deal proposed by President Joe Biden, which would lower tensions and prevent the crisis from spinning out of control. “We believe based on the work that’s been done, based on the very practical issues that are at stake, that there is no reason that this should not be concluded and concluded quickly,” Blinken said. “So this is really a time for all of the parties involved to close this out — no delays, no excuses, no reasons why we can’t do something, focus on getting to yes.” “This is the decisive moment. The negotiations have reached their final stage, and we believe strongly that they should come across the finish line very, very soon,” Blinken said. “This ceasefire is profoundly in the interests of everyone. It’s in the interest of Israelis. It’s in the interest, of course, of the hostages, their families around the world, including in the United States. It’s manifestly in the interest of the Palestinian children, women, and men who are suffering every day.” BLINKEN PITCHES CEASEFIRE DEAL AS OFF-RAMP FROM IRAN-ISRAEL CRISIS SINWAR’S RISE: ‘IT REALLY IS ON HIM’: While some accuse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of seeking to prolong the campaign in Gaza to accomplish his stated goal of destroying Hamas, Blinken said the onus now falls squarely on Yahya Sinwar, the newly named political leader of Hamas after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, to take the deal on the table. “The fact that it is really on him to decide whether to move forward with a ceasefire that manifestly will help so many Palestinians in desperate need, women, children, men who are caught in a crossfire of Hamas’s making in Gaza, whether we can put Gaza and the region more broadly onto a more peaceful and secure path,” Blinken said. After a contentious phone call between Biden and Netanyahu, in which Biden reportedly accused Netanyahu of “BSing” him about support for the ceasefire deal, White House officials said after Israel’s success in eliminating Hezbollah and Hamas leaders, Netanyahu appears to have caved to U.S pressure to sign on to the plan. “We have seen under this president what happens when you have diplomacy, when you talk to your partners and allies,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said yesterday. “We have to continue. We have to continue to have these conversations. The president’s going to do that, as you have seen the last two days.” HAMAS CHOOSES YAHYA SINWAR AS NEW POLITICAL LEADER ‘WHEN IT COMES TO DEFENDING ISRAEL, WE ARE RESOLUTE’: Meanwhile, the Biden administration continues to signal to Iran that another major attack on Israel will be met with the full might of U.S. military forces now arrayed across the region. “When it comes to defending Israel, we are resolute. We’ll remain resolute in making sure that we do everything possible to defend it against any attacks,” Blinken said. “I’m not going to speculate on any Iranian actions going forward,” said Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the same press conference. “What I’ve been focused on is making sure that we’re doing everything we can to put measures in place to protect our troops and also make sure that we’re in a good position to aid in the defense of Israel if called upon to do that.” “We’ve adjusted our military posture to strengthen our force protection and to reinforce our ironclad commitment to the defense of Israel,” Austin said. “To maintain our carrier strike group presence in the Middle East, I have ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln to replace the USS Theodore Roosevelt later this month. I’ve also ordered more cruisers and destroyers capable of ballistic missile defense to the region, and I’ve ordered the deployment of another fighter squadron to the Middle East to reinforce our defensive air support capabilities there.” WHITE HOUSE PRESSED ON RISING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE HAPPENING TODAY: Vice President Kamala Harris hits the campaign trail today with rallies in two battleground states, Wisconsin and Michigan. Having named Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) her running mate, Harris has an event planned tonight in Detroit, following an afternoon appearance in Eau Claire, Wisconsin. TURNER: MURDER-FOR-HIRE PLAN ANOTHER SECRET SERVICE FAILURE: The announcement by the Justice Department yesterday that a Pakistani national with ties to Iran has been charged in connection with a foiled plot to assassinate a U.S. politician or government official has prompted another rebuke from Rep. Mike Turner (OH-10), chairman of the House Intelligence Committee.  Yesterday, the Justice Department unsealed an indictment against Asif Merchant, who was arrested in the U.S. after meetings with a “hit man” who was actually an undercover FBI agent. “This dangerous murder-for-hire plot exposed in today’s complaint allegedly was orchestrated by a Pakistani national with close ties to Iran and is straight out of the Iranian playbook,” said FBI Director Christopher Wray. “The failure of the Secret Service in Butler, Pennsylvania, is even more outrageous in light of suspected Iranian-backed assassins targeting former Trump administration officials, including President Trump himself. That day, the threat of sniper attacks was even higher than normal,” said Turner. “I was previously briefed concerning the Iranian threat and the circumstances of Mr. Merchant’s arrest and questioned then-Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle on whether she had reviewed the intelligence concerning the Iranian threat. She confirmed to me that she read the intelligence and was aware of this Iranian murder-for-hire plot,” Turner said. “Director Cheatle acknowledged she knew the threat and still did not provide President Trump the protection he needed, almost costing him his life.” PAKISTANI MAN WITH IRANIAN TIES CHARGED IN PLOT TO ASSASSINATE US OFFICIALS AUSTIN: 9/11 CASES SHOULD GO FORWARD: While some military legal experts have suggested Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s decision to revoke the plea deals prosecutors reached with Khalid Shaikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices in the 9/11 terrorist attacks could run afoul of the ban on “unlawful command influence,” Austin defended his actions in his first public comments yesterday. “I would just say that there’s not a day that goes by when I don’t think of 9/11 and the Americans that were murdered that day, also those who died trying to save lives and the troops and their families who gave so much for this country in the years following that,” Austin said. “I’m deeply mindful of my duty to all those whose lives were lost or changed forever on 9/11, and I fully understand that no measure of justice can ever make up for their loss.” “So this wasn’t a decision that I took lightly, but I have long believed that the families of the victims, our service members, and the American public deserve the opportunity to see military commission trials carried out in this case, and I’ll leave it at that,” he said. J. Wells Dixon, a staff lawyer at the Center for Constitutional Rights, has suggested in interviews that Austin’s action could allow defense attorneys for the accused terrorists to request charges be dropped under the doctrine of unlawful command influence as outlined in the Uniform Code of Military Justice. IRANIAN MILITIA CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY FOR ATTACK ON US TROOPS: The Iranian-backed militia al Thawriyyun claimed responsibility for the Monday rocket attack that injured at least five U.S. personnel at the al Asad Air Base in Iraq. “In terms of who was behind the attack on al Asad, we’re sure that it was an Iranian-backed Shia militia group,” Austin said yesterday. “Specifically which group, we’re still investigating to determine that.” “Make no mistake, the United States will not tolerate attacks on our personnel in the region,” Austin said. “And we remain ready to deploy on short notice to meet the evolving threats to our security, our partners, or our interests.” SEVEN INJURED IN ATTACK ON US TROOPS IN IRAQ UKRAINE MOUNTS CROSS-BORDER ATTACK INTO RUSSIA: While Russian forces have been making small but steady advances along the eastern front in Ukraine, a small contingent of Ukrainian troops and tanks made an incursion into Russian territory, in the area of Kursk. “Russian Ministry of Defense and Federal Security Service claimed on August 6 that Russian border troops and FSB personnel repelled several raids by Ukrainian forces equipped with roughly a battalion’s worth of tanks and armored vehicles against Russian positions near Nikolayevo-Darino and Oleshnya, Kursk Oblast,” the Institute for the Study of War said in its daily assessment of the Ukraine war. “The Russian MoD claimed that Russian forces destroyed 16 Ukrainian armored vehicles during the supposed raids,” the ISW said. “​​Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian military personnel and members of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) were involved in the raids, but ISW has not observed confirmation of these claims.” CODEL DOWN UNDER: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, is leading a small bipartisan congressional delegation to the Philippines and Australia. “As China continues its aggression in the Indo-Pacific, it is critical the United States strengthen our relationships in the region,” McCaul said in a statement. “I look forward to meeting with officials in both the Philippines and Australia to learn how America can best help our partners in the region, including deepening our economic ties and expanding both our military and diplomatic cooperation.” The delegation includes Reps. Young Kim (R-CA), Joe Wilson (R-SC), and Jimmy Panetta (D-CA).  CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : Blinken pitches ceasefire deal as off-ramp from Iran-Israel crisis Washington Examiner : White House pressed on rising Middle East tensions Washington Examiner : Hamas chooses Yahya Sinwar as new political leader Washington Examiner : Pakistani man with Iranian ties charged in plot to assassinate US officials Washington Examiner : Seven injured in attack on US troops in Iraq Washington Examiner : Ultra-Orthodox protesters break into IDF base to protest draft Washington Examiner : Tim Walz’s immigration record in Minnesota shows support for sanctuary policies Washington Examiner : How the Navy’s Middle East deployments undermine China deterrence Washington Examiner : More than a dozen charged over Jan. 6 since last month, DOJ announces Military.com : Tim Walz, Who Spent Decades as an Enlisted Soldier, Brings Years of Work on Vets Issues to Dem Ticket Washington Post : Most Americans oppose sending U.S. troops to defend Israel, poll finds The War Zone : Aftermath of Ukrainian Attack on Russian Su-34 Fullback Base Emerges AP : Weak spots in metal may have led to fatal Osprey crash off Japan, documents obtained by AP reveal AP : Turkey to submit request to join genocide case against Israel in UN court Soldier of Fortune : Putin and the Assassin: The Calculated Gamble of Hostage-Taking Still Works National Security Journal : The Ukraine War Proves Russia’s Air Force Still Packs a Punch  National Security Journal : The M1 Abrams Tank Is No Rockstar in Ukraine War  Breaking Defense : ‘Space Fires’ to Enable ‘Space Superiority’ Are Top SPACECOM Priorities for FY27 Air & Space Forces Magazine : New Weather Satellites Will Start Feeding Data to Warfighters This Fall Air & Space Forces Magazine : Air Force Tries Out New Pylon on B-1, Transforming Bomber into ‘Hypersonic Testbed’ DefenseScoop : Report: Air Force CCA Program Still Faces Cost, Bureaucratic Hurdles Despite Positive Movement Air & Space Forces Magazine : Austin: USAF Will Increase Bomber Deployments to Australia Air Force Times : First Huey Replacement Helicopter Delivered to US Air Force Defense News : Push for Self-Reliance Drives Defense Revenue Surge Among Top 100 SpaceNews : US Army Seeks to Expand Space Expertise Among Soldiers Breaking Defense : Space Force Asks Industry to Critique Draft Civil Reserve Framework, Including ‘Incentives’ Air & Space Forces Magazine : Staff Sergeant Promotions Surge, Reversing 5-Year Slump National Security Journal : Iran Is Upgrading America’s Old M60 Main Battle Tank  Wall Street Journal : Lindsey Graham: Opinion: Three Ways to Confront Iran National Security Journal : Opinion: Washington Must Prevent a Saudi Nuclear Program THE CALENDAR:  WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/ 10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea 10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister 11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register 12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp THURSDAY | AUGUST 8 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/ 10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return 1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink 3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for US-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward FRIDAY | AUGUST 9 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Grady https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/, , ‘No delays, no excuses’ — frustrated Blinken says ceasefire deal only path to avoiding wider war in Middle East, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

US prepares for war, as Biden warns Israel to end escalatory cycle with Iran thumbnail

US prepares for war, as Biden warns Israel to end escalatory cycle with Iran

BIDEN ‘STOP BSing ME’: President Joe Biden returns to the White House from his Delaware home this afternoon to convene a meeting of his national security team, including presumptive presidential nominee Kamala Harris, to review the spiraling events in the Middle East, where Iran is threatening a major attack on Israel in retaliation for the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last week.

Israel has not confirmed it was responsible for the assassination, which initial reports suggested was carried out by a remote-controlled bomb planted in a guest house where Haniyeh was staying. Still, Iran says it was the result of a “short-range projectile” fired from outside the guest house.

Today’s 2:15 p.m. situation room meeting comes after Biden had what he called a “very direct” conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Thursday in which he indicated the assassination undercut his efforts to bring an end to the war on Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. “It’s not helped,” Boiden said at Joint Base Andrews Thursday.  “We had the basis for a ceasefire. He should move on it and should move on it now.”

The phone call was described as tense by Israel’s Channel 12 news, which reported that at one point, Biden told Netanyahu to “stop bullshitting me” and warned him not to take U.S. support for granted.

Biden has a phone call scheduled this morning with Jordan’s King Abdullah II, whose military helped intercept Iranian missiles and drones fired toward Israel in April.

BIDEN WILL MEET WITH NATIONAL SECURITY TEAM AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS MOUNT

NETANYAHU: ISRAEL IN ‘A MULTI-FRONT WAR’: As the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia launched a drone attack on northern Israel today, Netanyahu says Israel is ready for whatever comes next, as the region appears poised on the brink of a wider war.

“The state of Israel is in a multi-front war against Iran’s axis of evil. We are striking every one of its arms with great force. We are prepared for any scenario – both offensively and defensively,” Netanyahu told his Cabinet yesterday. “I reiterate and tell our enemies: We will respond, and we will exact a heavy price for any act of aggression against us, from whatever quarter.”

Meanwhile, the U.S. is working furiously behind the scenes to keep the conflict from boiling over. “We still believe a ceasefire deal is the best way to bring this war to an end. It’s also, we believe, very possible. We still believe the gaps are narrow enough to close,” John Kirby, White House national security communications adviser, said on Fox News Sunday. 

Kirby says while working to prevent the war from escalating to become a broader, regional war, the Biden administration is making sure Israel has what it needs to defend itself.

“Look, when the supreme leader says he’s going to avenge, we have to take that seriously,” Kirby said. “Now, I don’t know what they’re going to do or when they’re going to do it, but we got to make darn sure that we’re ready and that we have the capabilities in the region to help Israel defend itself and quite frankly defend our own people, our own facilities, our own national security interests.”

US AND ALLIES PREPARE TO DEFEND ISRAEL AS NETANYAHU SAYS IT’S ALREADY IN ‘MULTI-FRONT WAR’ WITH IRAN

US DISPATCHES CARRIER, MISSILE DEFENSES, F-22S: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin spokes by phone yesterday with his Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant to “reiterate ironclad U.S. support for Israel’s security and right to self-defense against threats from Iran,” according to a Pentagon readout of the call.

“They discussed U.S. force posture moves that the department is taking to bolster protection for U.S. forces, support the defense of Israel, and deter and de-escalate broader tensions in the region,” the Pentagon said.

In a statement Friday, Sabrina Singh, the Pentagon’s deputy press secretary, said Austin has ordered additional U.S. assets to be deployed to the region, including the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which arrived in the Arabian Gulf over the weekend. 

“Additionally, Secretary Austin has ordered additional ballistic missile defense-capable cruisers and destroyers to the U.S. European Command and U.S. Central Command regions,” Singh said. “The secretary has also ordered the deployment of an additional fighter squadron to the Middle East, reinforcing our defensive air support capability.”

According to several reports, a squadron of U.S. Air Force F-22s will forward deploy in the region.

US ANNOUNCES NEW MILITARY DEPLOYMENTS TO AID ISRAELI DEFENSE

Good Monday morning, and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles at the Pentagon this afternoon.  The 4 p.m. meeting is a prelude to tomorrow’s Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations, known as AUSMIN, to be held in Annapolis, Maryland.

Austin and Secretary of State Antony Blinken will host Marles and Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong for the daylong talks. “The ministerial and related bilateral meetings will build on the commitments made during the official visit of Prime Minister Albanese to the United States in October 2023 and last year’s AUSMIN,” the State Department said in a statement

WARGAMING THE IRAN ATTACK SCENARIO: Washington-based think tank The Institute for the Study of War is suggesting that Iran may mount a more robust attack on Israel, compared to April when Israel, the U.S., and other allies effectively neutralized Iran’s air assault by shooting down almost all of the 170 drones, 120 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles launched at Israel.

“Iran and the Axis of Resistance will probably conduct an attack that is more escalatory than the drone and missile attack that Iran conducted against Israel in April 2024,” the ISW said in its latest Iran update, outlining four possible scenarios.

  • Iran could increase the volume of projectiles fired at Israel. Iran could fire more drones and missiles from Iranian territory or instruct its proxy and partner militias across the Middle East to fire more. Drones and missiles fired from Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria would be much harder to intercept than those launched from Iran, given the shorter distances and flight times to Israel. U.S. and Israeli forces would have significantly less time than they did in April 2024 to intercept those projectiles.
  • Iran could change the number of locations in Israel that it targets. Iran targeted two remote locations in Israel in the April 2024 attack.  Iran could exploit the short flight times from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria to concentrate fire on a single target rather than against two. Shorter flight times for drones from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria could make it easier to coordinate them with ballistic missiles fired from Iran. Tehran could alternatively attack a greater number of targets across Israel.
  • Iran could order simultaneous attacks on U.S. forces, especially in eastern Syria. Iran only targeted Israeli targets in the April 2024 attack. Iranian-backed militia attacks attacking U.S. positions could, in some circumstances, pull American attention and resources away from identifying and intercepting projectiles bound for Israel.  Iranian leaders may calculate that their projectiles have a higher likelihood of penetrating Israeli air defenses if the United States has to focus on defending its own forces.
  • Iran and its allies could conduct a series of drone and missile attacks over several days. The April 2024 attack consisted of only one large volley of drones and missiles fired from Iran. But Iran and its allies could fire multiple volleys over an extended period in the next attack. Stretching attacks over this period could enable Iran and the Axis of Resistance to learn and adjust their attacks as they observe how successful each volley is.

The ISW assessment notes that as additional U.S. assets are moving into the region, Iran has “a shrinking window of opportunity” to attack Israel.

BIDEN HOPES IRAN WILL STAND DOWN AMID TENSE WEEK IN MIDDLE EAST

ABOUT-FACE ON 9/11 PLOTTERS PLEA DEAL: Facing a fierce backlash from families of those killed in the 9/11 terrorist attacks and outrage from members of Congress, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin invoked his authority to negate a plea deal that would have allowed alleged mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices to avoid the death penalty.

“I have determined that, in light of the significance of the decision to enter into pretrial agreements with the accused in the above-referenced case, responsibility for such a decision should rest with me as the superior convening authority under the Military Commissions Act of 2009,” Austin said in a memorandum he issued Friday. “Effective immediately, I hereby withdraw your authority in the above-referenced case to enter into a pretrial agreement and reserve such authority to myself.”

Austin’s action came after House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) requested documents to determine what role the Biden administration played in the plea deal, and Mike Rogers (R-AL) chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, fired off an angry letter calling the plea deals reached by military prosecutors “unconscionable.”

“Deals like this give hope to terrorists throughout the world that America is not willing to hold the worst of the worst accountable for their wicked crimes. In short, this deal signals willingness to negotiate with terrorists who deliberately harm Americans,” Rogers wrote.

“This was a decision made by the secretary of defense,” spokesman John Kirby said on Fox in response to whether Biden asked Austin to intervene. “It was an independent decision by him, certainly within his authorities, as in the chain of command at the Defense Department.”

LLOYD AUSTIN REVOKES PLEA AGREEMENT FOR 9/11 MASTERMIND, FIRES OFFICIAL IN CHARGE OF MILITARY COMMISSIONS

‘NO APOLOGIES ABOUT MAKING THIS DEAL’: The Biden administration is pushing back against criticism about its prisoner swap deal with Russia that freed political prisoners in exchange for eight Russians held in five other countries.  

“We will make no apologies about bringing innocent people home. Far better to have those folks home than rotting in a Russian jail for crimes they didn’t commit,” Kirby said during his Fox appearance. “So, no apologies about making this deal, and for all the arguments about whether it was good or bad, the previous administration did it, too — twice with Iran, with Turkey, with the Houthis.”

At his Atlanta rally Saturday, former President Donald Trump insisted he would have freed the unjustly held prisoners without making any concessions.

“I’d like to congratulate Vladimir Putin for having made yet another great deal. Did you see the deal we made?” Trump said. “Now, look, we want to get people in. You know, we got 59 hostages, I never paid anything. They released some of the greatest killers anywhere in the world, some of the most evil killers they got.”

“Those Trump claims are untrue. Another way to say it more directly is, once again, Donald Trump is lying to the American people,” Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) said on CNN. “He traded the release of very high-ranking Taliban officials, three of them for one American and one Australian. In the case of the Houthis, he authorized Oman, the country of Oman, to release 250 Houthi prisoners for two Americans.”

“I think that President Trump’s struck the appropriate accord. For the families, for the hostages, absolute victory and for Americans. We’re glad that they’re back home on American soil,” said Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL) on Fox. “We took back people that were wrongfully detained and we released individuals that were very justifiably detained.  It was unbalanced, and President Trump, knowing him well, he wants us to get back to making deals that are unbalanced but in the favor of the United States of America.”

“It just reinforces the value of the Russian government detaining—wrongfully—Americans in Russia to use for trades like this,” John Sullivan, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, said on CBS Sunday Morning. “It was important to celebrate the return of our fellow Americans, but having been involved in these matters for as long as I have been, I know the serious side of this and the fact that Russia will continue to do this.”

“My concern now is that other countries are gonna see what the Russians have been able to do. So, this is becoming not just a Russian problem; it’s a global problem,” Sullivan said.

“While I’m glad for the individuals released, trading innocents for criminals and spies with hostile states incentivizes our enemies to detain American citizens wrongfully,” said former national security adviser John Bolton in an interview with Newsweek. “If people think we’ll deal with hostages, they’ll take hostages …the deal itself is a bad idea.”

“You have to think about the concern for the people who are being held today, but the president should also think about the risk to Americans tomorrow and the day after that,” Bolton said.

THE HEARTBREAKING RATIONALE FOR NOT PAYING RANSOM TO FREE US HOSTAGES

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Biden will meet with national security team as Middle East tensions mount

Washington Examiner: US announces new military deployments to aid Israeli defense

Washington Examiner: US and allies prepare to defend Israel as Netanyahu says it’s already in ‘multi-front war’ with Iran

Washington Examiner: Biden hopes Iran will stand down amid tense week in Middle East

Washington Examiner: Lloyd Austin revokes plea agreement for 9/11 mastermind, fires official in charge of military commissions

Washington Examiner: Trump Jan. 6 case to resume after presidential immunity ruling

Washington Examiner: Senators introduce bipartisan bill to end military draft

Washington Examiner: Kirby says Biden had no say in defense secretary’s revoking of plea deal with 9/11 mastermind

Washington Examiner: The implications of the wide-ranging Russia prisoner deal

Washington Examiner: White House ‘had been working’ to include Alexei Navalny in prison swap deal before his death

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Thank the CIA director, not Harris, for Russia prisoner swap

Washington Examiner: The Whelan family’s nightmare ends

Washington Examiner: Children of freed Russian spies learned of heritage on returning flight

Washington Examiner: Biden’s border turnaround? Illegal immigration drops to Trump-era levels

Washington Examiner: Biden DHS halts immigration program amid fraud claims after admitting 500,000 migrants

Washington Examiner: Biden DOJ secures likely delay in Texas border buoy trial

Air & Space Forces Magazine: US Deploying F-22s to Middle East as Iran Seeks Revenge on Israel

New York Times: With Smugglers and Front Companies, China Is Skirting American AI Bans

AP: North Korean leader marks the delivery of 250 nuclear-capable missile launchers to frontline units

Voice of America: Taiwan’s ‘Zero Day’ depicts Chinese invasion, stirring debate

Nikkei Asia: China on Edge Over Prolonged US Missile Deployment in Asia

AP: Vietnam’s coast guard visits Philippines for joint drills as both face maritime tensions with China

Defense One: The US Is Helping the Philippines Modernize Its Military

Inside Defense: Senate Appropriators Advance Bill to Increase Defense Budget Above Spending Cap

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Senate Committee Adds More Fighters, Boosts USAF and USSF Budget

Military.com: Funding for 5.5 Percent Junior Enlisted Pay Raise Included in Senate’s Pentagon Spending Bill

Air & Space Forces Magazine: ‘A New Reality’: Ukraine Unveils Its First F-16 Fighters

The War Zone: More Top Secret F-35 Stealth Fighter Data Given to NATO Members

Military.com: Attorney Says Air Force’s Osprey Accident Report ‘Adds to the Deep Pain’ of Gold Star Families by Blaming Crew

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Gearbox Failure Caused Air Force V-22 Osprey Crash, Investigation Finds

Soldier of Fortune: In Prisoner Swap, Moscow Recoups Street Creds Within Ranks of Expeditionary Hitmen and Arms Dealers

Washington Post: Putin’s Arrest Tactics Pay Off as Russia Brings Home Its Own—Even a Killer

Breaking Defense: Air Mobility Command Tries AI to Speed Up Airlift Planning

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force Relieves Group Commander for Loss of Confidence After B-1 Crash

Colorado Springs Gazette: New Air Force Academy Superintendent Promises a ‘More Demanding’ Experience for Cadets

Air & Space Forces Magazine: New DOD Suicide Report Falls Short in Key Areas

Forbes: Opinion: Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. David Deptula: The Ground in Gaza: What I Saw of Israel’s Military Operations

National Security Journal: The Russian Navy’s Decline Won’t Be Easy to Stop

 AP: High jumper Yaroslava Mahuchikh wins Ukraine’s 1st individual gold of the Paris Olympic

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | AUGUST 5

11 a.m. 2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group coffee-conversation with Elizabeth Allen, the undersecretary of state for public diplomacy RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu

11 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “Russia’s big prisoner swap, political repression, and regressive foreign policy,” with Leonid Gozman, Russian opposition politician (virtual); Christian Caryl, former editor of the Washington Post Opinion Section; Evgenia Kara-Murza, advocacy director of the Free Russia Foundation and wife of Russian opposition leader Vladimir Kara-Murza; and former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/russias-big-prisoner-swap

TUESDAY | AUGUST 6

TBA — Annapolis, Maryland — The 34th Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations (AUSMIN), with Secretary of State Antony Blinken; Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin; Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong; and Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Marles https://www.state.gov/2024-australia-u-s-ministerial-consultations/

9 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Electronics Division meeting, with the theme “Market Pull: The Express Bus past the Valley of Death,” with Nick Martin, director, Defense Microelectronics Activity; and Scott Bukofsky, director of capabilities, Commerce Department CHIPS National Semiconductor Technology Center Program RSVP:  Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea

10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister

11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register

12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp

THURSDAY | AUGUST 8

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return

1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink

3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for U.S.-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward

FRIDAY | AUGUST 9

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Gradyhttps://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

2024-08-05 11:24:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpolicy%2Fdefense%2F3110449%2Fus-prepares-for-war-as-biden-warns-israel-to-end-escalatory-cycle-with-iran%2F?w=600&h=450, BIDEN ‘STOP BSing ME’: President Joe Biden returns to the White House from his Delaware home this afternoon to convene a meeting of his national security team, including presumptive presidential nominee Kamala Harris, to review the spiraling events in the Middle East, where Iran is threatening a major attack on Israel in retaliation for the,

BIDEN ‘STOP BSing ME’: President Joe Biden returns to the White House from his Delaware home this afternoon to convene a meeting of his national security team, including presumptive presidential nominee Kamala Harris, to review the spiraling events in the Middle East, where Iran is threatening a major attack on Israel in retaliation for the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last week.

Israel has not confirmed it was responsible for the assassination, which initial reports suggested was carried out by a remote-controlled bomb planted in a guest house where Haniyeh was staying. Still, Iran says it was the result of a “short-range projectile” fired from outside the guest house.

Today’s 2:15 p.m. situation room meeting comes after Biden had what he called a “very direct” conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Thursday in which he indicated the assassination undercut his efforts to bring an end to the war on Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. “It’s not helped,” Boiden said at Joint Base Andrews Thursday.  “We had the basis for a ceasefire. He should move on it and should move on it now.”

The phone call was described as tense by Israel’s Channel 12 news, which reported that at one point, Biden told Netanyahu to “stop bullshitting me” and warned him not to take U.S. support for granted.

Biden has a phone call scheduled this morning with Jordan’s King Abdullah II, whose military helped intercept Iranian missiles and drones fired toward Israel in April.

BIDEN WILL MEET WITH NATIONAL SECURITY TEAM AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS MOUNT

NETANYAHU: ISRAEL IN ‘A MULTI-FRONT WAR’: As the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia launched a drone attack on northern Israel today, Netanyahu says Israel is ready for whatever comes next, as the region appears poised on the brink of a wider war.

“The state of Israel is in a multi-front war against Iran’s axis of evil. We are striking every one of its arms with great force. We are prepared for any scenario – both offensively and defensively,” Netanyahu told his Cabinet yesterday. “I reiterate and tell our enemies: We will respond, and we will exact a heavy price for any act of aggression against us, from whatever quarter.”

Meanwhile, the U.S. is working furiously behind the scenes to keep the conflict from boiling over. “We still believe a ceasefire deal is the best way to bring this war to an end. It’s also, we believe, very possible. We still believe the gaps are narrow enough to close,” John Kirby, White House national security communications adviser, said on Fox News Sunday. 

Kirby says while working to prevent the war from escalating to become a broader, regional war, the Biden administration is making sure Israel has what it needs to defend itself.

“Look, when the supreme leader says he’s going to avenge, we have to take that seriously,” Kirby said. “Now, I don’t know what they’re going to do or when they’re going to do it, but we got to make darn sure that we’re ready and that we have the capabilities in the region to help Israel defend itself and quite frankly defend our own people, our own facilities, our own national security interests.”

US AND ALLIES PREPARE TO DEFEND ISRAEL AS NETANYAHU SAYS IT’S ALREADY IN ‘MULTI-FRONT WAR’ WITH IRAN

US DISPATCHES CARRIER, MISSILE DEFENSES, F-22S: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin spokes by phone yesterday with his Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant to “reiterate ironclad U.S. support for Israel’s security and right to self-defense against threats from Iran,” according to a Pentagon readout of the call.

“They discussed U.S. force posture moves that the department is taking to bolster protection for U.S. forces, support the defense of Israel, and deter and de-escalate broader tensions in the region,” the Pentagon said.

In a statement Friday, Sabrina Singh, the Pentagon’s deputy press secretary, said Austin has ordered additional U.S. assets to be deployed to the region, including the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which arrived in the Arabian Gulf over the weekend. 

“Additionally, Secretary Austin has ordered additional ballistic missile defense-capable cruisers and destroyers to the U.S. European Command and U.S. Central Command regions,” Singh said. “The secretary has also ordered the deployment of an additional fighter squadron to the Middle East, reinforcing our defensive air support capability.”

According to several reports, a squadron of U.S. Air Force F-22s will forward deploy in the region.

US ANNOUNCES NEW MILITARY DEPLOYMENTS TO AID ISRAELI DEFENSE

Good Monday morning, and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre.

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HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles at the Pentagon this afternoon.  The 4 p.m. meeting is a prelude to tomorrow’s Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations, known as AUSMIN, to be held in Annapolis, Maryland.

Austin and Secretary of State Antony Blinken will host Marles and Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong for the daylong talks. “The ministerial and related bilateral meetings will build on the commitments made during the official visit of Prime Minister Albanese to the United States in October 2023 and last year’s AUSMIN,” the State Department said in a statement

WARGAMING THE IRAN ATTACK SCENARIO: Washington-based think tank The Institute for the Study of War is suggesting that Iran may mount a more robust attack on Israel, compared to April when Israel, the U.S., and other allies effectively neutralized Iran’s air assault by shooting down almost all of the 170 drones, 120 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles launched at Israel.

“Iran and the Axis of Resistance will probably conduct an attack that is more escalatory than the drone and missile attack that Iran conducted against Israel in April 2024,” the ISW said in its latest Iran update, outlining four possible scenarios.

  • Iran could increase the volume of projectiles fired at Israel. Iran could fire more drones and missiles from Iranian territory or instruct its proxy and partner militias across the Middle East to fire more. Drones and missiles fired from Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria would be much harder to intercept than those launched from Iran, given the shorter distances and flight times to Israel. U.S. and Israeli forces would have significantly less time than they did in April 2024 to intercept those projectiles.
  • Iran could change the number of locations in Israel that it targets. Iran targeted two remote locations in Israel in the April 2024 attack.  Iran could exploit the short flight times from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria to concentrate fire on a single target rather than against two. Shorter flight times for drones from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria could make it easier to coordinate them with ballistic missiles fired from Iran. Tehran could alternatively attack a greater number of targets across Israel.
  • Iran could order simultaneous attacks on U.S. forces, especially in eastern Syria. Iran only targeted Israeli targets in the April 2024 attack. Iranian-backed militia attacks attacking U.S. positions could, in some circumstances, pull American attention and resources away from identifying and intercepting projectiles bound for Israel.  Iranian leaders may calculate that their projectiles have a higher likelihood of penetrating Israeli air defenses if the United States has to focus on defending its own forces.
  • Iran and its allies could conduct a series of drone and missile attacks over several days. The April 2024 attack consisted of only one large volley of drones and missiles fired from Iran. But Iran and its allies could fire multiple volleys over an extended period in the next attack. Stretching attacks over this period could enable Iran and the Axis of Resistance to learn and adjust their attacks as they observe how successful each volley is.

The ISW assessment notes that as additional U.S. assets are moving into the region, Iran has “a shrinking window of opportunity” to attack Israel.

BIDEN HOPES IRAN WILL STAND DOWN AMID TENSE WEEK IN MIDDLE EAST

ABOUT-FACE ON 9/11 PLOTTERS PLEA DEAL: Facing a fierce backlash from families of those killed in the 9/11 terrorist attacks and outrage from members of Congress, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin invoked his authority to negate a plea deal that would have allowed alleged mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices to avoid the death penalty.

“I have determined that, in light of the significance of the decision to enter into pretrial agreements with the accused in the above-referenced case, responsibility for such a decision should rest with me as the superior convening authority under the Military Commissions Act of 2009,” Austin said in a memorandum he issued Friday. “Effective immediately, I hereby withdraw your authority in the above-referenced case to enter into a pretrial agreement and reserve such authority to myself.”

Austin’s action came after House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) requested documents to determine what role the Biden administration played in the plea deal, and Mike Rogers (R-AL) chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, fired off an angry letter calling the plea deals reached by military prosecutors “unconscionable.”

“Deals like this give hope to terrorists throughout the world that America is not willing to hold the worst of the worst accountable for their wicked crimes. In short, this deal signals willingness to negotiate with terrorists who deliberately harm Americans,” Rogers wrote.

“This was a decision made by the secretary of defense,” spokesman John Kirby said on Fox in response to whether Biden asked Austin to intervene. “It was an independent decision by him, certainly within his authorities, as in the chain of command at the Defense Department.”

LLOYD AUSTIN REVOKES PLEA AGREEMENT FOR 9/11 MASTERMIND, FIRES OFFICIAL IN CHARGE OF MILITARY COMMISSIONS

‘NO APOLOGIES ABOUT MAKING THIS DEAL’: The Biden administration is pushing back against criticism about its prisoner swap deal with Russia that freed political prisoners in exchange for eight Russians held in five other countries.  

“We will make no apologies about bringing innocent people home. Far better to have those folks home than rotting in a Russian jail for crimes they didn’t commit,” Kirby said during his Fox appearance. “So, no apologies about making this deal, and for all the arguments about whether it was good or bad, the previous administration did it, too — twice with Iran, with Turkey, with the Houthis.”

At his Atlanta rally Saturday, former President Donald Trump insisted he would have freed the unjustly held prisoners without making any concessions.

“I’d like to congratulate Vladimir Putin for having made yet another great deal. Did you see the deal we made?” Trump said. “Now, look, we want to get people in. You know, we got 59 hostages, I never paid anything. They released some of the greatest killers anywhere in the world, some of the most evil killers they got.”

“Those Trump claims are untrue. Another way to say it more directly is, once again, Donald Trump is lying to the American people,” Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) said on CNN. “He traded the release of very high-ranking Taliban officials, three of them for one American and one Australian. In the case of the Houthis, he authorized Oman, the country of Oman, to release 250 Houthi prisoners for two Americans.”

“I think that President Trump’s struck the appropriate accord. For the families, for the hostages, absolute victory and for Americans. We’re glad that they’re back home on American soil,” said Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL) on Fox. “We took back people that were wrongfully detained and we released individuals that were very justifiably detained.  It was unbalanced, and President Trump, knowing him well, he wants us to get back to making deals that are unbalanced but in the favor of the United States of America.”

“It just reinforces the value of the Russian government detaining—wrongfully—Americans in Russia to use for trades like this,” John Sullivan, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, said on CBS Sunday Morning. “It was important to celebrate the return of our fellow Americans, but having been involved in these matters for as long as I have been, I know the serious side of this and the fact that Russia will continue to do this.”

“My concern now is that other countries are gonna see what the Russians have been able to do. So, this is becoming not just a Russian problem; it’s a global problem,” Sullivan said.

“While I’m glad for the individuals released, trading innocents for criminals and spies with hostile states incentivizes our enemies to detain American citizens wrongfully,” said former national security adviser John Bolton in an interview with Newsweek. “If people think we’ll deal with hostages, they’ll take hostages …the deal itself is a bad idea.”

“You have to think about the concern for the people who are being held today, but the president should also think about the risk to Americans tomorrow and the day after that,” Bolton said.

THE HEARTBREAKING RATIONALE FOR NOT PAYING RANSOM TO FREE US HOSTAGES

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Biden will meet with national security team as Middle East tensions mount

Washington Examiner: US announces new military deployments to aid Israeli defense

Washington Examiner: US and allies prepare to defend Israel as Netanyahu says it’s already in ‘multi-front war’ with Iran

Washington Examiner: Biden hopes Iran will stand down amid tense week in Middle East

Washington Examiner: Lloyd Austin revokes plea agreement for 9/11 mastermind, fires official in charge of military commissions

Washington Examiner: Trump Jan. 6 case to resume after presidential immunity ruling

Washington Examiner: Senators introduce bipartisan bill to end military draft

Washington Examiner: Kirby says Biden had no say in defense secretary’s revoking of plea deal with 9/11 mastermind

Washington Examiner: The implications of the wide-ranging Russia prisoner deal

Washington Examiner: White House ‘had been working’ to include Alexei Navalny in prison swap deal before his death

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Thank the CIA director, not Harris, for Russia prisoner swap

Washington Examiner: The Whelan family’s nightmare ends

Washington Examiner: Children of freed Russian spies learned of heritage on returning flight

Washington Examiner: Biden’s border turnaround? Illegal immigration drops to Trump-era levels

Washington Examiner: Biden DHS halts immigration program amid fraud claims after admitting 500,000 migrants

Washington Examiner: Biden DOJ secures likely delay in Texas border buoy trial

Air & Space Forces Magazine: US Deploying F-22s to Middle East as Iran Seeks Revenge on Israel

New York Times: With Smugglers and Front Companies, China Is Skirting American AI Bans

AP: North Korean leader marks the delivery of 250 nuclear-capable missile launchers to frontline units

Voice of America: Taiwan’s ‘Zero Day’ depicts Chinese invasion, stirring debate

Nikkei Asia: China on Edge Over Prolonged US Missile Deployment in Asia

AP: Vietnam’s coast guard visits Philippines for joint drills as both face maritime tensions with China

Defense One: The US Is Helping the Philippines Modernize Its Military

Inside Defense: Senate Appropriators Advance Bill to Increase Defense Budget Above Spending Cap

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Senate Committee Adds More Fighters, Boosts USAF and USSF Budget

Military.com: Funding for 5.5 Percent Junior Enlisted Pay Raise Included in Senate’s Pentagon Spending Bill

Air & Space Forces Magazine: ‘A New Reality’: Ukraine Unveils Its First F-16 Fighters

The War Zone: More Top Secret F-35 Stealth Fighter Data Given to NATO Members

Military.com: Attorney Says Air Force’s Osprey Accident Report ‘Adds to the Deep Pain’ of Gold Star Families by Blaming Crew

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Gearbox Failure Caused Air Force V-22 Osprey Crash, Investigation Finds

Soldier of Fortune: In Prisoner Swap, Moscow Recoups Street Creds Within Ranks of Expeditionary Hitmen and Arms Dealers

Washington Post: Putin’s Arrest Tactics Pay Off as Russia Brings Home Its Own—Even a Killer

Breaking Defense: Air Mobility Command Tries AI to Speed Up Airlift Planning

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Air Force Relieves Group Commander for Loss of Confidence After B-1 Crash

Colorado Springs Gazette: New Air Force Academy Superintendent Promises a ‘More Demanding’ Experience for Cadets

Air & Space Forces Magazine: New DOD Suicide Report Falls Short in Key Areas

Forbes: Opinion: Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. David Deptula: The Ground in Gaza: What I Saw of Israel’s Military Operations

National Security Journal: The Russian Navy’s Decline Won’t Be Easy to Stop

 AP: High jumper Yaroslava Mahuchikh wins Ukraine’s 1st individual gold of the Paris Olympic

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | AUGUST 5

11 a.m. 2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group coffee-conversation with Elizabeth Allen, the undersecretary of state for public diplomacy RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu

11 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “Russia’s big prisoner swap, political repression, and regressive foreign policy,” with Leonid Gozman, Russian opposition politician (virtual); Christian Caryl, former editor of the Washington Post Opinion Section; Evgenia Kara-Murza, advocacy director of the Free Russia Foundation and wife of Russian opposition leader Vladimir Kara-Murza; and former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/russias-big-prisoner-swap

TUESDAY | AUGUST 6

TBA — Annapolis, Maryland — The 34th Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations (AUSMIN), with Secretary of State Antony Blinken; Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin; Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong; and Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Marles https://www.state.gov/2024-australia-u-s-ministerial-consultations/

9 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Electronics Division meeting, with the theme “Market Pull: The Express Bus past the Valley of Death,” with Nick Martin, director, Defense Microelectronics Activity; and Scott Bukofsky, director of capabilities, Commerce Department CHIPS National Semiconductor Technology Center Program RSVP:  Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea

10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister

11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register

12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp

THURSDAY | AUGUST 8

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return

1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink

3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for U.S.-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward

FRIDAY | AUGUST 9

8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Gradyhttps://www.ndiatechexpo.org/

, BIDEN ‘STOP BSing ME’: President Joe Biden returns to the White House from his Delaware home this afternoon to convene a meeting of his national security team, including presumptive presidential nominee Kamala Harris, to review the spiraling events in the Middle East, where Iran is threatening a major attack on Israel in retaliation for the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last week. Israel has not confirmed it was responsible for the assassination, which initial reports suggested was carried out by a remote-controlled bomb planted in a guest house where Haniyeh was staying. Still, Iran says it was the result of a “short-range projectile” fired from outside the guest house. Today’s 2:15 p.m. situation room meeting comes after Biden had what he called a “very direct” conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Thursday in which he indicated the assassination undercut his efforts to bring an end to the war on Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. “It’s not helped,” Boiden said at Joint Base Andrews Thursday.  “We had the basis for a ceasefire. He should move on it and should move on it now.” The phone call was described as tense by Israel’s Channel 12 news, which reported that at one point, Biden told Netanyahu to “stop bullshitting me” and warned him not to take U.S. support for granted. Biden has a phone call scheduled this morning with Jordan’s King Abdullah II, whose military helped intercept Iranian missiles and drones fired toward Israel in April. BIDEN WILL MEET WITH NATIONAL SECURITY TEAM AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS MOUNT NETANYAHU: ISRAEL IN ‘A MULTI-FRONT WAR’: As the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia launched a drone attack on northern Israel today, Netanyahu says Israel is ready for whatever comes next, as the region appears poised on the brink of a wider war. “The state of Israel is in a multi-front war against Iran’s axis of evil. We are striking every one of its arms with great force. We are prepared for any scenario – both offensively and defensively,” Netanyahu told his Cabinet yesterday. “I reiterate and tell our enemies: We will respond, and we will exact a heavy price for any act of aggression against us, from whatever quarter.” Meanwhile, the U.S. is working furiously behind the scenes to keep the conflict from boiling over. “We still believe a ceasefire deal is the best way to bring this war to an end. It’s also, we believe, very possible. We still believe the gaps are narrow enough to close,” John Kirby, White House national security communications adviser, said on Fox News Sunday.  Kirby says while working to prevent the war from escalating to become a broader, regional war, the Biden administration is making sure Israel has what it needs to defend itself. “Look, when the supreme leader says he’s going to avenge, we have to take that seriously,” Kirby said. “Now, I don’t know what they’re going to do or when they’re going to do it, but we got to make darn sure that we’re ready and that we have the capabilities in the region to help Israel defend itself and quite frankly defend our own people, our own facilities, our own national security interests.” US AND ALLIES PREPARE TO DEFEND ISRAEL AS NETANYAHU SAYS IT’S ALREADY IN ‘MULTI-FRONT WAR’ WITH IRAN US DISPATCHES CARRIER, MISSILE DEFENSES, F-22S: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin spokes by phone yesterday with his Israeli counterpart Yoav Gallant to “reiterate ironclad U.S. support for Israel’s security and right to self-defense against threats from Iran,” according to a Pentagon readout of the call. “They discussed U.S. force posture moves that the department is taking to bolster protection for U.S. forces, support the defense of Israel, and deter and de-escalate broader tensions in the region,” the Pentagon said. In a statement Friday, Sabrina Singh, the Pentagon’s deputy press secretary, said Austin has ordered additional U.S. assets to be deployed to the region, including the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which arrived in the Arabian Gulf over the weekend.  “Additionally, Secretary Austin has ordered additional ballistic missile defense-capable cruisers and destroyers to the U.S. European Command and U.S. Central Command regions,” Singh said. “The secretary has also ordered the deployment of an additional fighter squadron to the Middle East, reinforcing our defensive air support capability.” According to several reports, a squadron of U.S. Air Force F-22s will forward deploy in the region. US ANNOUNCES NEW MILITARY DEPLOYMENTS TO AID ISRAELI DEFENSE Good Monday morning, and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre. CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles at the Pentagon this afternoon.  The 4 p.m. meeting is a prelude to tomorrow’s Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations, known as AUSMIN, to be held in Annapolis, Maryland. Austin and Secretary of State Antony Blinken will host Marles and Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong for the daylong talks. “The ministerial and related bilateral meetings will build on the commitments made during the official visit of Prime Minister Albanese to the United States in October 2023 and last year’s AUSMIN,” the State Department said in a statement.  WARGAMING THE IRAN ATTACK SCENARIO: Washington-based think tank The Institute for the Study of War is suggesting that Iran may mount a more robust attack on Israel, compared to April when Israel, the U.S., and other allies effectively neutralized Iran’s air assault by shooting down almost all of the 170 drones, 120 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles launched at Israel. “Iran and the Axis of Resistance will probably conduct an attack that is more escalatory than the drone and missile attack that Iran conducted against Israel in April 2024,” the ISW said in its latest Iran update, outlining four possible scenarios. Iran could increase the volume of projectiles fired at Israel. Iran could fire more drones and missiles from Iranian territory or instruct its proxy and partner militias across the Middle East to fire more. Drones and missiles fired from Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria would be much harder to intercept than those launched from Iran, given the shorter distances and flight times to Israel. U.S. and Israeli forces would have significantly less time than they did in April 2024 to intercept those projectiles. Iran could change the number of locations in Israel that it targets. Iran targeted two remote locations in Israel in the April 2024 attack.  Iran could exploit the short flight times from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria to concentrate fire on a single target rather than against two. Shorter flight times for drones from Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria could make it easier to coordinate them with ballistic missiles fired from Iran. Tehran could alternatively attack a greater number of targets across Israel. Iran could order simultaneous attacks on U.S. forces, especially in eastern Syria. Iran only targeted Israeli targets in the April 2024 attack. Iranian-backed militia attacks attacking U.S. positions could, in some circumstances, pull American attention and resources away from identifying and intercepting projectiles bound for Israel.  Iranian leaders may calculate that their projectiles have a higher likelihood of penetrating Israeli air defenses if the United States has to focus on defending its own forces. Iran and its allies could conduct a series of drone and missile attacks over several days. The April 2024 attack consisted of only one large volley of drones and missiles fired from Iran. But Iran and its allies could fire multiple volleys over an extended period in the next attack. Stretching attacks over this period could enable Iran and the Axis of Resistance to learn and adjust their attacks as they observe how successful each volley is. The ISW assessment notes that as additional U.S. assets are moving into the region, Iran has “a shrinking window of opportunity” to attack Israel. BIDEN HOPES IRAN WILL STAND DOWN AMID TENSE WEEK IN MIDDLE EAST ABOUT-FACE ON 9/11 PLOTTERS PLEA DEAL: Facing a fierce backlash from families of those killed in the 9/11 terrorist attacks and outrage from members of Congress, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin invoked his authority to negate a plea deal that would have allowed alleged mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and two of his accomplices to avoid the death penalty. “I have determined that, in light of the significance of the decision to enter into pretrial agreements with the accused in the above-referenced case, responsibility for such a decision should rest with me as the superior convening authority under the Military Commissions Act of 2009,” Austin said in a memorandum he issued Friday. “Effective immediately, I hereby withdraw your authority in the above-referenced case to enter into a pretrial agreement and reserve such authority to myself.” Austin’s action came after House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) requested documents to determine what role the Biden administration played in the plea deal, and Mike Rogers (R-AL) chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, fired off an angry letter calling the plea deals reached by military prosecutors “unconscionable.” “Deals like this give hope to terrorists throughout the world that America is not willing to hold the worst of the worst accountable for their wicked crimes. In short, this deal signals willingness to negotiate with terrorists who deliberately harm Americans,” Rogers wrote. “This was a decision made by the secretary of defense,” spokesman John Kirby said on Fox in response to whether Biden asked Austin to intervene. “It was an independent decision by him, certainly within his authorities, as in the chain of command at the Defense Department.” LLOYD AUSTIN REVOKES PLEA AGREEMENT FOR 9/11 MASTERMIND, FIRES OFFICIAL IN CHARGE OF MILITARY COMMISSIONS ‘NO APOLOGIES ABOUT MAKING THIS DEAL’: The Biden administration is pushing back against criticism about its prisoner swap deal with Russia that freed political prisoners in exchange for eight Russians held in five other countries.   “We will make no apologies about bringing innocent people home. Far better to have those folks home than rotting in a Russian jail for crimes they didn’t commit,” Kirby said during his Fox appearance. “So, no apologies about making this deal, and for all the arguments about whether it was good or bad, the previous administration did it, too — twice with Iran, with Turkey, with the Houthis.” At his Atlanta rally Saturday, former President Donald Trump insisted he would have freed the unjustly held prisoners without making any concessions. “I’d like to congratulate Vladimir Putin for having made yet another great deal. Did you see the deal we made?” Trump said. “Now, look, we want to get people in. You know, we got 59 hostages, I never paid anything. They released some of the greatest killers anywhere in the world, some of the most evil killers they got.” “Those Trump claims are untrue. Another way to say it more directly is, once again, Donald Trump is lying to the American people,” Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) said on CNN. “He traded the release of very high-ranking Taliban officials, three of them for one American and one Australian. In the case of the Houthis, he authorized Oman, the country of Oman, to release 250 Houthi prisoners for two Americans.” “I think that President Trump’s struck the appropriate accord. For the families, for the hostages, absolute victory and for Americans. We’re glad that they’re back home on American soil,” said Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL) on Fox. “We took back people that were wrongfully detained and we released individuals that were very justifiably detained.  It was unbalanced, and President Trump, knowing him well, he wants us to get back to making deals that are unbalanced but in the favor of the United States of America.” “It just reinforces the value of the Russian government detaining—wrongfully—Americans in Russia to use for trades like this,” John Sullivan, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia, said on CBS Sunday Morning. “It was important to celebrate the return of our fellow Americans, but having been involved in these matters for as long as I have been, I know the serious side of this and the fact that Russia will continue to do this.” “My concern now is that other countries are gonna see what the Russians have been able to do. So, this is becoming not just a Russian problem; it’s a global problem,” Sullivan said. “While I’m glad for the individuals released, trading innocents for criminals and spies with hostile states incentivizes our enemies to detain American citizens wrongfully,” said former national security adviser John Bolton in an interview with Newsweek. “If people think we’ll deal with hostages, they’ll take hostages …the deal itself is a bad idea.” “You have to think about the concern for the people who are being held today, but the president should also think about the risk to Americans tomorrow and the day after that,” Bolton said. THE HEARTBREAKING RATIONALE FOR NOT PAYING RANSOM TO FREE US HOSTAGES THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : Biden will meet with national security team as Middle East tensions mount Washington Examiner : US announces new military deployments to aid Israeli defense Washington Examiner : US and allies prepare to defend Israel as Netanyahu says it’s already in ‘multi-front war’ with Iran Washington Examiner : Biden hopes Iran will stand down amid tense week in Middle East Washington Examiner : Lloyd Austin revokes plea agreement for 9/11 mastermind, fires official in charge of military commissions Washington Examiner : Trump Jan. 6 case to resume after presidential immunity ruling Washington Examiner : Senators introduce bipartisan bill to end military draft Washington Examiner : Kirby says Biden had no say in defense secretary’s revoking of plea deal with 9/11 mastermind Washington Examiner : The implications of the wide-ranging Russia prisoner deal Washington Examiner : White House ‘had been working’ to include Alexei Navalny in prison swap deal before his death Washington Examiner : Opinion: Thank the CIA director, not Harris, for Russia prisoner swap Washington Examiner : The Whelan family’s nightmare ends Washington Examiner : Children of freed Russian spies learned of heritage on returning flight Washington Examiner : Biden’s border turnaround? Illegal immigration drops to Trump-era levels Washington Examiner : Biden DHS halts immigration program amid fraud claims after admitting 500,000 migrants Washington Examiner : Biden DOJ secures likely delay in Texas border buoy trial Air & Space Forces Magazine : US Deploying F-22s to Middle East as Iran Seeks Revenge on Israel New York Times : With Smugglers and Front Companies, China Is Skirting American AI Bans AP : North Korean leader marks the delivery of 250 nuclear-capable missile launchers to frontline units Voice of America : Taiwan’s ‘Zero Day’ depicts Chinese invasion, stirring debate Nikkei Asia : China on Edge Over Prolonged US Missile Deployment in Asia AP : Vietnam’s coast guard visits Philippines for joint drills as both face maritime tensions with China Defense One : The US Is Helping the Philippines Modernize Its Military Inside Defense : Senate Appropriators Advance Bill to Increase Defense Budget Above Spending Cap Air & Space Forces Magazine : Senate Committee Adds More Fighters, Boosts USAF and USSF Budget Military.com : Funding for 5.5 Percent Junior Enlisted Pay Raise Included in Senate’s Pentagon Spending Bill Air & Space Forces Magazine : ‘A New Reality’: Ukraine Unveils Its First F-16 Fighters The War Zone : More Top Secret F-35 Stealth Fighter Data Given to NATO Members Military.com : Attorney Says Air Force’s Osprey Accident Report ‘Adds to the Deep Pain’ of Gold Star Families by Blaming Crew Air & Space Forces Magazine : Gearbox Failure Caused Air Force V-22 Osprey Crash, Investigation Finds Soldier of Fortune : In Prisoner Swap, Moscow Recoups Street Creds Within Ranks of Expeditionary Hitmen and Arms Dealers Washington Post : Putin’s Arrest Tactics Pay Off as Russia Brings Home Its Own—Even a Killer Breaking Defense : Air Mobility Command Tries AI to Speed Up Airlift Planning Air & Space Forces Magazine : Air Force Relieves Group Commander for Loss of Confidence After B-1 Crash Colorado Springs Gazette : New Air Force Academy Superintendent Promises a ‘More Demanding’ Experience for Cadets Air & Space Forces Magazine : New DOD Suicide Report Falls Short in Key Areas Forbes : Opinion: Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. David Deptula: The Ground in Gaza: What I Saw of Israel’s Military Operations National Security Journal : The Russian Navy’s Decline Won’t Be Easy to Stop   AP : High jumper Yaroslava Mahuchikh wins Ukraine’s 1st individual gold of the Paris Olympic THE CALENDAR:  MONDAY | AUGUST 5 11 a.m. 2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group coffee-conversation with Elizabeth Allen, the undersecretary of state for public diplomacy RSVP: alaysia.mckenzie@gwu.edu 11 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “Russia’s big prisoner swap, political repression, and regressive foreign policy,” with Leonid Gozman, Russian opposition politician (virtual); Christian Caryl, former editor of the Washington Post Opinion Section; Evgenia Kara-Murza, advocacy director of the Free Russia Foundation and wife of Russian opposition leader Vladimir Kara-Murza; and former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/russias-big-prisoner-swap TUESDAY | AUGUST 6 TBA — Annapolis, Maryland — The 34th Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations (AUSMIN), with Secretary of State Antony Blinken; Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin; Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong; and Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Marles https://www.state.gov/2024-australia-u-s-ministerial-consultations/ 9 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Electronics Division meeting, with the theme “Market Pull: The Express Bus past the Valley of Death,” with Nick Martin, director, Defense Microelectronics Activity; and Scott Bukofsky, director of capabilities, Commerce Department CHIPS National Semiconductor Technology Center Program RSVP:  Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/ WEDNESDAY | AUGUST 7 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Arati Prabhakar, director, Office of Science and Technology Policy; Christopher Lawman, assistant secretary of defense for sustainment; Army Lt. Gen. Mark Simerly, director, Defense Logistics Agency; Lt. Gen. Heidi Hoyle, Army deputy chief of staff for logistics; Daniel Fri, Air Force assistant deputy chief of staff; William LaPlante, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment; Nickolas Guertin, Assistant Navy Secretary for Research, Development and Acquisition; Andrew Hunter, assistant Air Force secretary for acquisition, technology and logistics; Frank Calvelli, assistant Air Force secretary for space acquisition and integration; and Young Bang, assistant Army Secretary for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology RSVP: Evamarie Socha, esocha@ndia.org  https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/ 10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “Navigating Global Challenges,” with Coast Guard Vice Commandant Adm. Kevin Lunday https://www.brookings.edu/events/navigating-global-challenges 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW— Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program and U.S. Naval Institute in-person and virtual Maritime Security Dialogue: “Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from 5th Fleet Commander,” with Vice Adm. George Wikoff, commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer, CEO and publisher, U.S. Naval Institute; and Seth Jones, CSIS senior vice president https://www.csis.org/events/preserving-free-flow-commerce-red-sea 10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “The Future of the U.S.-Australia Alliance,” with Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-australian-deputy-prime-minister 11 a.m. — Washington Institute for Near East Policy virtual forum: “Mapping Iranian External Operations Worldwide,” with Hans-Georg Engelke, state secretary of the German Ministry of the Interior and Community; Magnus Ranstorp, strategic adviser at the Swedish Defense University’s Center for Societal Security; Norman Roule, nonresident senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Matthew Levitt, director of the WINEP Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence https://washingtoninstitute-org.zoom.us/webinar/register 12 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The Middle East on the Cusp of a Regional War,” with Amos Harel, Haaretz military correspondent https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/the-middle-east-on-the-cusp THURSDAY | AUGUST 8 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with David Honey, deputy undersecretary of defense for research and engineering;  Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli, commander of U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe; Undersecretary of the Army Gabe Camarillo; and former Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work deliver remarks on “Service Perspectives” https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/ 10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Assad’s Return: Regional Changes, and Future Outlook,” with Sawsan Abou Zainedin, CEO of Madaniya; Maria Fantappie, head of the IAI Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa Program; Abdullah Baabood, CEIP nonresident senior scholar; Armenak Tokmajyan, CEIP nonresident scholar; and Sinan Ulgen, CEIP senior fellow https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/08/assads-return 1 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC (People’s Republic of China) Conflict,” with Austin Long, deputy director for strategic stability for the Joint Staff; Justin Anderson, senior policy fellow at the National Defense University’s Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Andrew Metrick, fellow at the CNAS Defense Program; and Stacie Pettyjohn, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-over-the-brink 3:30 p.m. — Wilson Center Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy, Wilson Center Indo-Pacific Program and Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program virtual discussion: “One Year Later: The Path Forward for U.S.-ROK-Japan Trilateral Relations,” with Dayna Barnes, associate professor at the National Defense University; Sung-Yoon Lee, fellow and professor of Korean studies and assistant professor at Tufts University’s Fletcher School; Hayoun Ryou-Ellison, assistant professor of the National Defense University; and Kayla Irta, senior associate at the Hyundai-Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/one-year-later-path-forward FRIDAY | AUGUST 9 8 a.m. Washington Convention Center — National Defense Industrial Association Emerging Technologies for Defense Conference and Exhibition,” with Heidi Shyu, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering; Maryna Bezrukova, director, Defense Procurement Agency; and Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Adm. Christopher Grady https://www.ndiatechexpo.org/, , US prepares for war, as Biden warns Israel to end escalatory cycle with Iran, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

US to establish warfighting command in Japan as threat from China, North Korea grows thumbnail

US to establish warfighting command in Japan as threat from China, North Korea grows

‘A HISTORIC DECISION’: The U.S. is upgrading the command structure for its forward-deployed troops in Japan to what’s known as a “Joint Force Headquarters,” significantly expanding its “missions and operational responsibilities,” with an eye on the growing threat from China and North Korea.

“This will be the most significant change to U.S. Forces Japan since its creation and one of the strongest improvements in our military ties with Japan in 70 years,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said. He made what he called a “historic decision” after a “2+2” ministerial meeting in Tokyo that included Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Japan’s foreign and defense ministers.

The gradual upgrading of the command will put it on more of a war footing. However, Blinken emphasized the goal is increased deterrence. “Our alliance, the other alliances that we’re engaged in — each and every one of them is defensive in nature,” Blinken said. 

“They have no ambitions toward anyone else and never have been, never will be offensive in nature,” Blinken said, noting that “unfortunately, these threats are increasing,” requiring “our alliances, our partnerships” to get “deeper, stronger, and more effective.”

“Our decision to move in this direction is not based upon any threat from China,” Austin said. “It’s based on our desire and our ability to work closer together and to be more effective.”

A THREE-STAR COMMAND FOR NOW: As the U.S. begins to transition to a higher level of coordination with Japan, the new headquarters will be led, at least initially, by a three-star officer who will report to the commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command.

Asked at a news conference if he’s ruled out eventually making the new headquarters a four-star command, Austin said. “ No, we haven’t ruled that out.”

“It’s a phased approach because, standing up a joint headquarters, you can’t snap your fingers and do that overnight,” Austin said. “The idea is to remake the new headquarters into a complement to Japan’s new Joint Operations Command, which Austin said will allow U.S. and Japanese militaries “to work together more closely than ever.”

“The U.S. will have a direct leadership role in planning and leading U.S. forces in both peacetime and in potential crises,” Austin said. “The speed of action, the speed of activity that we can expect to see in the future, is such that we need to do everything we can to streamline things, to make sure that we remain relevant and decisive in the battlespace as we work together as allies.”

“A PROFOUND LEVEL OF GLOBAL THREATS’: In a joint communique released by the four ministers, the U.S. and Japan cited a “profound level of global threats” to the “free and open international order based on the rule of law,” citing an “increasingly severe security environment caused by recent moves of regional actors.”

“The People’s Republic of China’s foreign policy seeks to reshape the international order for its own benefit at the expense of others,” the communique stated. “The Ministers reiterated their strong opposition to the PRC’s intensifying attempts to unilaterally change the status quo by force or coercion in the East China Sea, including through actions that seek to undermine Japan’s longstanding and peaceful administration of the Senkaku Island.”

“I reaffirmed our ironclad commitment to defend Japan with the full range of our capabilities, including our nuclear capabilities,” Austin said. “And let me again underscore that Article 5 of the Mutual Security Treaty applies to the Senkaku Islands.”

The ministers also “strongly condemned North Korea’s continued conduct of reckless ballistic missile launches,” as well as “Russia’s brutal, unprovoked, and unjustifiable war against Ukraine.”

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Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

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HAPPENING TODAY: Austin and Blinken are in Manila, meeting with their counterparts in another “2+2 Ministerial” such as the one in Tokyo.  

“They will discuss ways to deepen coordination on shared challenges, including in the South China Sea, and advance our bilateral economic agenda,” the State Department said. “Blinken and Austin will also meet with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr., to explore additional ways to capitalize on the unprecedented momentum in the United States-Philippines alliance.”

US ADMITS ‘MISSTEP’ WITH SECRET ANTI-VACCINATION PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN IN PHILIPPINES

ISRAEL CONTEMPLATES ‘PRICE” HEZBOLLAH MUST PAY: Israel struck Hezbollah targets inside Lebanon yesterday, as its security Cabinet met last night to weigh the next step in response to the Saturday rocket attack that killed 12 Israeli children and teenagers in the Israel-controlled Golan Heights.

“The members of the Cabinet authorized the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister to decide on the manner and timing of the response against the Hezbollah terrorist organization,” said a post on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Facebook account.

Hezbollah has denied responsibility for the attack, but Israel and the U.S. said the evidence is clear.

“This attack was conducted by Lebanese Hezbollah. It was their rocket, and launched from an area they control,” the White House said in a statement. “It should be universally condemned.”

Netanyahu has vowed Hezbollah will “pay a heavy price” for the deaths of young children he said were playing soccer when the rockets hit. “I can say that the state of Israel will not let this pass in silence. We will not overlook this,” he said.

“We’re in conversations with the Government of Israel. And again, I emphasize its right to defend its citizens and our determination to make sure that they’re able to do that, but we also don’t want to see the conflict escalate. We don’t want to see it spread,” Blinken said in Tokyo. “That has been one of our goals from day one.”

“The best way to do that in a sustained way is to get the ceasefire in Gaza that we’re working so hard on virtually every minute of the day,” he said.

“The United States is also working on a diplomatic solution along the Blue Line that will end all attacks once and for all, and allow citizens on both sides of the border to safely return to their homes,” the White House statement said. 

ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR LOOMS OVER OLYMPICS

MOVIN’ UP: Over the past few days, the Pentagon has announced a number of presidential nominations for senior military posts, including Vice Adm. Alvin Holsey to be promoted to admiral and take over as commander, U.S. Southern Command.

Air Force Lt. Gen. John Lamontagne has been picked to become commander, Air Mobility Command. He is currently deputy commander, U.S. Air Forces in Europe and Africa. Meanwhile current Deputy Air Mobility Commander, Air Force Lt. Gen. Randall Reed would take over the U.S. Transportation Command. Both positions are four-star commands.

If confirmed, the newest member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff will be Air Force Lt. Gen. Steven Nordhaus, who would pin on a fourth star to become chief of the National Guard Bureau.

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has picked Maj. Gen. Jennifer Short to receive her third star and serve as his senior military assistant, replacing Lt. Gen. Ronald Clark, who is nominated for promotion to general and a new assignment as commanding general, U.S. Army Pacific.

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AP: Maduro locked in standoff with opponents as each side claims victory in presidential elections

AP: Blinken says US has ‘serious concerns’ about announced result of Venezuelan election

New York Times: Gunman at Trump Rally Was Often a Step Ahead of the Secret Service

New York Times: As F-16s Arrive, Ukraine Still Faces Steep Challenges in the Skies

AP: Russia’s Putin vows ‘mirror measures’ in response to US missiles in Germany

New York Times: A Mysterious Plot Prompts A Rare Call From Russia To The Pentagon

Breaking Defense: When AI Makes a Fatal Mistake, Who’s to Blame? Air Force Secretary Weighs Morality and Reality

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Secretary of Air Force Stands Up New Integrated Capabilities Office

Air & Space Forces Magazine: B-52 Traverses Middle East as US Troops in Iraq and Syria Are Attacked

Defense News: Space Force Mulling Nuclear Protection for Missile-Tracking Satellites

The War Zone: Networked Sniper Pod Will Let 4th-Generation Fighters Create ‘Kill Webs’ With F-35s

Breaking Defense: F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Contract in Limbo for Now: Lockheed Official

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Space Force Offers Up to $180,000 for Select Guardians to Reenlist

Air & Space Forces Magazine: JBSA-Randolph Bids Farewell to T-1 Jayhawk and Prepares for T-7

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JULY 29

9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies “Aerospace Nation” webinar with Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. James Slife https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event

2 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution in-person and virtual discussion: “Strengthening Air and Space Power,” with Undersecretary of the Air Force Melissa Dalton; and Michael O’Hanlon, director of research at the Brookings Institution Foreign Policy Program, director, Brookings Institution Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings DATE: July 29, 2024 https://www.brookings.edu/events/strengthening-air-and-space-power

TUESDAY | JULY 30

10 a.m. G-50 Dirksen — Senate Judiciary Committee and Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee joint hearing: “Examination of the Security Failures Leading to the Assassination Attempt on Former President Trump,” with testimony from Ronald Rowe, acting director of the U.S. Secret Service; and Deputy FBI Director Paul Abbate http://www.hsgac.senate.gov

10 a.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing: “Strategic Competition with the PRC: Assessing U.S. Competitiveness Beyond the Indo-Pacific,” with testimony from Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell http://foreign.senate.gov

11 a.m. — Heritage Foundation virtual discussion: “Nuclear Posture Review: Building Our Strength in 2025,” with Sen. Deb Fischer (R-NB); Matthew Kroenig, professor of government and foreign service at Georgetown University; and Robert Peters, Heritage research fellow on nuclear deterrence and missile defense https://www.heritage.org/missile-defense/event

2 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Association of the U.S. Army virtual and in-person Strategic Landpower Dialogue: “The Defense of Guam,” with Lt. Gen. Robert Rasch, director, Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office and executive officer, Joint Program Office for the Guam Defense System; and Brig. Gen. Frank Lozano, program executive officer, Missiles and Space https://www.csis.org/events/defense-guam

2:30 p.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Europe and Regional Security Cooperation Subcommittee hearing: “The Future of Europe,” with testimony from Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs James O’Brien http://foreign.senate.gov

5:30 p.m. 920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Intelligence and National Security Alliance discussion of “Issues including election security, great power competition, cyber threats to critical infrastructure, U.S. Cyber Command 2.0, AI/ML and defense industrial base defense,” with Air Force Gen. Timothy Haugh, commander of the U.S. Cyber Command, director of the National Security Agency and chief of the Central Security Service https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event

WEDNESDAY | JULY 31

8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Navy Operational Energy Director James Caley; and Puesh Kumar, director of the Energy Department Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response https://power.dsigroup.org/register/

8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza, Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute 2024 Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Rear Adm. Michael Donnelly, director of air warfare in the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/

9:30 a.m. —  Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Rebuilding America’s Maritime Strength,” with Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) and Rep. Michael Waltz (R-FL). https://www.csis.org/events/rebuilding-americas-maritime-strength

11 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “The Future of Ukraine’s Economic Recovery,” with former Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker, special representative for Ukraine’s economic recovery, State Department; Ukrainian Ambassador to the U.S. Oksana Markarova; Constanze Stelzenmuller, director, Brookings Center on the U.S. and Europe; and Ben Harris, Brookings vice president and director of economic studies https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-future-of-ukraines-economic-recovery/

THURSDAY | AUGUST 1

7:45 a.m. 1700 Army Navy Dr., Arlington, Virginia — National Defense Industrial Association Senior Defense Leaders Forum, with Defense Undersecretary for Research and Engineering Heidi Shyu; and former Deputy Defense Secretary David Norquist, NDIA president and CEO https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2024-aug-1-ndia

8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Paul Farnan, principal deputy assistant Army secretary for installations, energy and environment https://power.dsigroup.org/register/

8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Arthur Huber, executive director of the Air Force Test Center https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Nuclear Threats and the Role of Allies,” with Acting Secretary of Defense for Space Policy Vipin Narang https://www.csis.org/events/nuclear-threats-and-role-allies

4 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies media conference call briefing: “Previewing the Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations,” with Charles Edel, CSIS Australia chair; Kathryn Paik, CSIS Australia chair; Cynthia Cook, director of the CSIS Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group; and Rory Medcalf, CSIS nonresident adjunct fellow RSVP: Sam Cestari at scestari@csis.org.

2024-07-29 11:05:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpolicy%2Fdefense%2F3102360%2Fus-to-establish-warfighting-command-in-japan-as-threat-from-china-north-korea-grows%2F?w=600&h=450, ‘A HISTORIC DECISION’: The U.S. is upgrading the command structure for its forward-deployed troops in Japan to what’s known as a “Joint Force Headquarters,” significantly expanding its “missions and operational responsibilities,” with an eye on the growing threat from China and North Korea. “This will be the most significant change to U.S. Forces Japan since,

‘A HISTORIC DECISION’: The U.S. is upgrading the command structure for its forward-deployed troops in Japan to what’s known as a “Joint Force Headquarters,” significantly expanding its “missions and operational responsibilities,” with an eye on the growing threat from China and North Korea.

“This will be the most significant change to U.S. Forces Japan since its creation and one of the strongest improvements in our military ties with Japan in 70 years,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said. He made what he called a “historic decision” after a “2+2” ministerial meeting in Tokyo that included Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Japan’s foreign and defense ministers.

The gradual upgrading of the command will put it on more of a war footing. However, Blinken emphasized the goal is increased deterrence. “Our alliance, the other alliances that we’re engaged in — each and every one of them is defensive in nature,” Blinken said. 

“They have no ambitions toward anyone else and never have been, never will be offensive in nature,” Blinken said, noting that “unfortunately, these threats are increasing,” requiring “our alliances, our partnerships” to get “deeper, stronger, and more effective.”

“Our decision to move in this direction is not based upon any threat from China,” Austin said. “It’s based on our desire and our ability to work closer together and to be more effective.”

A THREE-STAR COMMAND FOR NOW: As the U.S. begins to transition to a higher level of coordination with Japan, the new headquarters will be led, at least initially, by a three-star officer who will report to the commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command.

Asked at a news conference if he’s ruled out eventually making the new headquarters a four-star command, Austin said. “ No, we haven’t ruled that out.”

“It’s a phased approach because, standing up a joint headquarters, you can’t snap your fingers and do that overnight,” Austin said. “The idea is to remake the new headquarters into a complement to Japan’s new Joint Operations Command, which Austin said will allow U.S. and Japanese militaries “to work together more closely than ever.”

“The U.S. will have a direct leadership role in planning and leading U.S. forces in both peacetime and in potential crises,” Austin said. “The speed of action, the speed of activity that we can expect to see in the future, is such that we need to do everything we can to streamline things, to make sure that we remain relevant and decisive in the battlespace as we work together as allies.”

“A PROFOUND LEVEL OF GLOBAL THREATS’: In a joint communique released by the four ministers, the U.S. and Japan cited a “profound level of global threats” to the “free and open international order based on the rule of law,” citing an “increasingly severe security environment caused by recent moves of regional actors.”

“The People’s Republic of China’s foreign policy seeks to reshape the international order for its own benefit at the expense of others,” the communique stated. “The Ministers reiterated their strong opposition to the PRC’s intensifying attempts to unilaterally change the status quo by force or coercion in the East China Sea, including through actions that seek to undermine Japan’s longstanding and peaceful administration of the Senkaku Island.”

“I reaffirmed our ironclad commitment to defend Japan with the full range of our capabilities, including our nuclear capabilities,” Austin said. “And let me again underscore that Article 5 of the Mutual Security Treaty applies to the Senkaku Islands.”

The ministers also “strongly condemned North Korea’s continued conduct of reckless ballistic missile launches,” as well as “Russia’s brutal, unprovoked, and unjustifiable war against Ukraine.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

HAPPENING TODAY: Austin and Blinken are in Manila, meeting with their counterparts in another “2+2 Ministerial” such as the one in Tokyo.  

“They will discuss ways to deepen coordination on shared challenges, including in the South China Sea, and advance our bilateral economic agenda,” the State Department said. “Blinken and Austin will also meet with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr., to explore additional ways to capitalize on the unprecedented momentum in the United States-Philippines alliance.”

US ADMITS ‘MISSTEP’ WITH SECRET ANTI-VACCINATION PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN IN PHILIPPINES

ISRAEL CONTEMPLATES ‘PRICE” HEZBOLLAH MUST PAY: Israel struck Hezbollah targets inside Lebanon yesterday, as its security Cabinet met last night to weigh the next step in response to the Saturday rocket attack that killed 12 Israeli children and teenagers in the Israel-controlled Golan Heights.

“The members of the Cabinet authorized the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister to decide on the manner and timing of the response against the Hezbollah terrorist organization,” said a post on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Facebook account.

Hezbollah has denied responsibility for the attack, but Israel and the U.S. said the evidence is clear.

“This attack was conducted by Lebanese Hezbollah. It was their rocket, and launched from an area they control,” the White House said in a statement. “It should be universally condemned.”

Netanyahu has vowed Hezbollah will “pay a heavy price” for the deaths of young children he said were playing soccer when the rockets hit. “I can say that the state of Israel will not let this pass in silence. We will not overlook this,” he said.

“We’re in conversations with the Government of Israel. And again, I emphasize its right to defend its citizens and our determination to make sure that they’re able to do that, but we also don’t want to see the conflict escalate. We don’t want to see it spread,” Blinken said in Tokyo. “That has been one of our goals from day one.”

“The best way to do that in a sustained way is to get the ceasefire in Gaza that we’re working so hard on virtually every minute of the day,” he said.

“The United States is also working on a diplomatic solution along the Blue Line that will end all attacks once and for all, and allow citizens on both sides of the border to safely return to their homes,” the White House statement said. 

ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR LOOMS OVER OLYMPICS

MOVIN’ UP: Over the past few days, the Pentagon has announced a number of presidential nominations for senior military posts, including Vice Adm. Alvin Holsey to be promoted to admiral and take over as commander, U.S. Southern Command.

Air Force Lt. Gen. John Lamontagne has been picked to become commander, Air Mobility Command. He is currently deputy commander, U.S. Air Forces in Europe and Africa. Meanwhile current Deputy Air Mobility Commander, Air Force Lt. Gen. Randall Reed would take over the U.S. Transportation Command. Both positions are four-star commands.

If confirmed, the newest member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff will be Air Force Lt. Gen. Steven Nordhaus, who would pin on a fourth star to become chief of the National Guard Bureau.

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has picked Maj. Gen. Jennifer Short to receive her third star and serve as his senior military assistant, replacing Lt. Gen. Ronald Clark, who is nominated for promotion to general and a new assignment as commanding general, U.S. Army Pacific.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Israel-Hamas war looms over Olympics

Washington Examiner: US admits ‘misstep’ with secret anti-vaccination propaganda campaign in Philippines

Washington Examiner: Israeli official warns Harris remarks could hamper ceasefire hostage deal

Washington Examiner: Trump: Israel has to end the war ‘fast’

Washington Examiner: NORAD intercepts Russian and Chinese aircraft operating together near Alaska

Washington Examiner: The messages behind China-Russia strategic bomber exercise

Washington Examiner: Ukraine war may be headed to dreaded ‘frozen conflict’ zone

Washington Examiner: Everything to know about capture of ‘El Mayo’ and son of Sinaloa cartel founder ‘El Chapo’

Washington Examiner: Appeals court sets schedule for DOJ bid to revive Trump classified documents case

Washington Examiner: Editorial: Bring the national defense bill to the Senate floor

AP: Maduro locked in standoff with opponents as each side claims victory in presidential elections

AP: Blinken says US has ‘serious concerns’ about announced result of Venezuelan election

New York Times: Gunman at Trump Rally Was Often a Step Ahead of the Secret Service

New York Times: As F-16s Arrive, Ukraine Still Faces Steep Challenges in the Skies

AP: Russia’s Putin vows ‘mirror measures’ in response to US missiles in Germany

New York Times: A Mysterious Plot Prompts A Rare Call From Russia To The Pentagon

Breaking Defense: When AI Makes a Fatal Mistake, Who’s to Blame? Air Force Secretary Weighs Morality and Reality

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Secretary of Air Force Stands Up New Integrated Capabilities Office

Air & Space Forces Magazine: B-52 Traverses Middle East as US Troops in Iraq and Syria Are Attacked

Defense News: Space Force Mulling Nuclear Protection for Missile-Tracking Satellites

The War Zone: Networked Sniper Pod Will Let 4th-Generation Fighters Create ‘Kill Webs’ With F-35s

Breaking Defense: F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Contract in Limbo for Now: Lockheed Official

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Space Force Offers Up to $180,000 for Select Guardians to Reenlist

Air & Space Forces Magazine: JBSA-Randolph Bids Farewell to T-1 Jayhawk and Prepares for T-7

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JULY 29

9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies “Aerospace Nation” webinar with Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. James Slife https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event

2 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution in-person and virtual discussion: “Strengthening Air and Space Power,” with Undersecretary of the Air Force Melissa Dalton; and Michael O’Hanlon, director of research at the Brookings Institution Foreign Policy Program, director, Brookings Institution Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings DATE: July 29, 2024 https://www.brookings.edu/events/strengthening-air-and-space-power

TUESDAY | JULY 30

10 a.m. G-50 Dirksen — Senate Judiciary Committee and Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee joint hearing: “Examination of the Security Failures Leading to the Assassination Attempt on Former President Trump,” with testimony from Ronald Rowe, acting director of the U.S. Secret Service; and Deputy FBI Director Paul Abbate http://www.hsgac.senate.gov

10 a.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing: “Strategic Competition with the PRC: Assessing U.S. Competitiveness Beyond the Indo-Pacific,” with testimony from Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell http://foreign.senate.gov

11 a.m. — Heritage Foundation virtual discussion: “Nuclear Posture Review: Building Our Strength in 2025,” with Sen. Deb Fischer (R-NB); Matthew Kroenig, professor of government and foreign service at Georgetown University; and Robert Peters, Heritage research fellow on nuclear deterrence and missile defense https://www.heritage.org/missile-defense/event

2 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Association of the U.S. Army virtual and in-person Strategic Landpower Dialogue: “The Defense of Guam,” with Lt. Gen. Robert Rasch, director, Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office and executive officer, Joint Program Office for the Guam Defense System; and Brig. Gen. Frank Lozano, program executive officer, Missiles and Space https://www.csis.org/events/defense-guam

2:30 p.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Europe and Regional Security Cooperation Subcommittee hearing: “The Future of Europe,” with testimony from Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs James O’Brien http://foreign.senate.gov

5:30 p.m. 920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Intelligence and National Security Alliance discussion of “Issues including election security, great power competition, cyber threats to critical infrastructure, U.S. Cyber Command 2.0, AI/ML and defense industrial base defense,” with Air Force Gen. Timothy Haugh, commander of the U.S. Cyber Command, director of the National Security Agency and chief of the Central Security Service https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event

WEDNESDAY | JULY 31

8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Navy Operational Energy Director James Caley; and Puesh Kumar, director of the Energy Department Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response https://power.dsigroup.org/register/

8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza, Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute 2024 Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Rear Adm. Michael Donnelly, director of air warfare in the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/

9:30 a.m. —  Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Rebuilding America’s Maritime Strength,” with Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) and Rep. Michael Waltz (R-FL). https://www.csis.org/events/rebuilding-americas-maritime-strength

11 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “The Future of Ukraine’s Economic Recovery,” with former Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker, special representative for Ukraine’s economic recovery, State Department; Ukrainian Ambassador to the U.S. Oksana Markarova; Constanze Stelzenmuller, director, Brookings Center on the U.S. and Europe; and Ben Harris, Brookings vice president and director of economic studies https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-future-of-ukraines-economic-recovery/

THURSDAY | AUGUST 1

7:45 a.m. 1700 Army Navy Dr., Arlington, Virginia — National Defense Industrial Association Senior Defense Leaders Forum, with Defense Undersecretary for Research and Engineering Heidi Shyu; and former Deputy Defense Secretary David Norquist, NDIA president and CEO https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2024-aug-1-ndia

8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Paul Farnan, principal deputy assistant Army secretary for installations, energy and environment https://power.dsigroup.org/register/

8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Arthur Huber, executive director of the Air Force Test Center https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Nuclear Threats and the Role of Allies,” with Acting Secretary of Defense for Space Policy Vipin Narang https://www.csis.org/events/nuclear-threats-and-role-allies

4 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies media conference call briefing: “Previewing the Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations,” with Charles Edel, CSIS Australia chair; Kathryn Paik, CSIS Australia chair; Cynthia Cook, director of the CSIS Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group; and Rory Medcalf, CSIS nonresident adjunct fellow RSVP: Sam Cestari at scestari@csis.org.

, ‘A HISTORIC DECISION’: The U.S. is upgrading the command structure for its forward-deployed troops in Japan to what’s known as a “Joint Force Headquarters,” significantly expanding its “missions and operational responsibilities,” with an eye on the growing threat from China and North Korea. “This will be the most significant change to U.S. Forces Japan since its creation and one of the strongest improvements in our military ties with Japan in 70 years,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said. He made what he called a “historic decision” after a “2+2” ministerial meeting in Tokyo that included Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Japan’s foreign and defense ministers. The gradual upgrading of the command will put it on more of a war footing. However, Blinken emphasized the goal is increased deterrence. “Our alliance, the other alliances that we’re engaged in — each and every one of them is defensive in nature,” Blinken said.  “They have no ambitions toward anyone else and never have been, never will be offensive in nature,” Blinken said, noting that “unfortunately, these threats are increasing,” requiring “our alliances, our partnerships” to get “deeper, stronger, and more effective.” “Our decision to move in this direction is not based upon any threat from China,” Austin said. “It’s based on our desire and our ability to work closer together and to be more effective.” A THREE-STAR COMMAND FOR NOW: As the U.S. begins to transition to a higher level of coordination with Japan, the new headquarters will be led, at least initially, by a three-star officer who will report to the commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command. Asked at a news conference if he’s ruled out eventually making the new headquarters a four-star command, Austin said. “ No, we haven’t ruled that out.” “It’s a phased approach because, standing up a joint headquarters, you can’t snap your fingers and do that overnight,” Austin said. “The idea is to remake the new headquarters into a complement to Japan’s new Joint Operations Command, which Austin said will allow U.S. and Japanese militaries “to work together more closely than ever.” “The U.S. will have a direct leadership role in planning and leading U.S. forces in both peacetime and in potential crises,” Austin said. “The speed of action, the speed of activity that we can expect to see in the future, is such that we need to do everything we can to streamline things, to make sure that we remain relevant and decisive in the battlespace as we work together as allies.” “A PROFOUND LEVEL OF GLOBAL THREATS’: In a joint communique released by the four ministers, the U.S. and Japan cited a “profound level of global threats” to the “free and open international order based on the rule of law,” citing an “increasingly severe security environment caused by recent moves of regional actors.” “The People’s Republic of China’s foreign policy seeks to reshape the international order for its own benefit at the expense of others,” the communique stated. “The Ministers reiterated their strong opposition to the PRC’s intensifying attempts to unilaterally change the status quo by force or coercion in the East China Sea, including through actions that seek to undermine Japan’s longstanding and peaceful administration of the Senkaku Island.” “I reaffirmed our ironclad commitment to defend Japan with the full range of our capabilities, including our nuclear capabilities,” Austin said. “And let me again underscore that Article 5 of the Mutual Security Treaty applies to the Senkaku Islands.” The ministers also “strongly condemned North Korea’s continued conduct of reckless ballistic missile launches,” as well as “Russia’s brutal, unprovoked, and unjustifiable war against Ukraine.” CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email, and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE HAPPENING TODAY: Austin and Blinken are in Manila, meeting with their counterparts in another “2+2 Ministerial” such as the one in Tokyo.   “They will discuss ways to deepen coordination on shared challenges, including in the South China Sea, and advance our bilateral economic agenda,” the State Department said. “Blinken and Austin will also meet with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr., to explore additional ways to capitalize on the unprecedented momentum in the United States-Philippines alliance.” US ADMITS ‘MISSTEP’ WITH SECRET ANTI-VACCINATION PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN IN PHILIPPINES ISRAEL CONTEMPLATES ‘PRICE” HEZBOLLAH MUST PAY: Israel struck Hezbollah targets inside Lebanon yesterday, as its security Cabinet met last night to weigh the next step in response to the Saturday rocket attack that killed 12 Israeli children and teenagers in the Israel-controlled Golan Heights. “The members of the Cabinet authorized the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister to decide on the manner and timing of the response against the Hezbollah terrorist organization,” said a post on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Facebook account. Hezbollah has denied responsibility for the attack, but Israel and the U.S. said the evidence is clear. “This attack was conducted by Lebanese Hezbollah. It was their rocket, and launched from an area they control,” the White House said in a statement. “It should be universally condemned.” Netanyahu has vowed Hezbollah will “pay a heavy price” for the deaths of young children he said were playing soccer when the rockets hit. “I can say that the state of Israel will not let this pass in silence. We will not overlook this,” he said. “We’re in conversations with the Government of Israel. And again, I emphasize its right to defend its citizens and our determination to make sure that they’re able to do that, but we also don’t want to see the conflict escalate. We don’t want to see it spread,” Blinken said in Tokyo. “That has been one of our goals from day one.” “The best way to do that in a sustained way is to get the ceasefire in Gaza that we’re working so hard on virtually every minute of the day,” he said. “The United States is also working on a diplomatic solution along the Blue Line that will end all attacks once and for all, and allow citizens on both sides of the border to safely return to their homes,” the White House statement said.  ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR LOOMS OVER OLYMPICS MOVIN’ UP: Over the past few days, the Pentagon has announced a number of presidential nominations for senior military posts, including Vice Adm. Alvin Holsey to be promoted to admiral and take over as commander, U.S. Southern Command. Air Force Lt. Gen. John Lamontagne has been picked to become commander, Air Mobility Command. He is currently deputy commander, U.S. Air Forces in Europe and Africa. Meanwhile current Deputy Air Mobility Commander, Air Force Lt. Gen. Randall Reed would take over the U.S. Transportation Command. Both positions are four-star commands. If confirmed, the newest member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff will be Air Force Lt. Gen. Steven Nordhaus, who would pin on a fourth star to become chief of the National Guard Bureau. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has picked Maj. Gen. Jennifer Short to receive her third star and serve as his senior military assistant, replacing Lt. Gen. Ronald Clark, who is nominated for promotion to general and a new assignment as commanding general, U.S. Army Pacific. CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : Israel-Hamas war looms over Olympics Washington Examiner : US admits ‘misstep’ with secret anti-vaccination propaganda campaign in Philippines Washington Examiner : Israeli official warns Harris remarks could hamper ceasefire hostage deal Washington Examiner : Trump: Israel has to end the war ‘fast’ Washington Examiner : NORAD intercepts Russian and Chinese aircraft operating together near Alaska Washington Examiner : The messages behind China-Russia strategic bomber exercise Washington Examiner : Ukraine war may be headed to dreaded ‘frozen conflict’ zone Washington Examiner : Everything to know about capture of ‘El Mayo’ and son of Sinaloa cartel founder ‘El Chapo’ Washington Examiner : Appeals court sets schedule for DOJ bid to revive Trump classified documents case Washington Examiner : Editorial: Bring the national defense bill to the Senate floor AP : Maduro locked in standoff with opponents as each side claims victory in presidential elections AP : Blinken says US has ‘serious concerns’ about announced result of Venezuelan election New York Times : Gunman at Trump Rally Was Often a Step Ahead of the Secret Service New York Times : As F-16s Arrive, Ukraine Still Faces Steep Challenges in the Skies AP : Russia’s Putin vows ‘mirror measures’ in response to US missiles in Germany New York Times : A Mysterious Plot Prompts A Rare Call From Russia To The Pentagon Breaking Defense : When AI Makes a Fatal Mistake, Who’s to Blame? Air Force Secretary Weighs Morality and Reality Air & Space Forces Magazine : Secretary of Air Force Stands Up New Integrated Capabilities Office Air & Space Forces Magazine : B-52 Traverses Middle East as US Troops in Iraq and Syria Are Attacked Defense News : Space Force Mulling Nuclear Protection for Missile-Tracking Satellites The War Zone : Networked Sniper Pod Will Let 4th-Generation Fighters Create ‘Kill Webs’ With F-35s Breaking Defense : F-35 Performance-Based Logistics Contract in Limbo for Now: Lockheed Official Air & Space Forces Magazine : Space Force Offers Up to $180,000 for Select Guardians to Reenlist Air & Space Forces Magazine : JBSA-Randolph Bids Farewell to T-1 Jayhawk and Prepares for T-7 THE CALENDAR:  MONDAY | JULY 29 9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies “Aerospace Nation” webinar with Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. James Slife https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event 2 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution in-person and virtual discussion: “Strengthening Air and Space Power,” with Undersecretary of the Air Force Melissa Dalton; and Michael O’Hanlon, director of research at the Brookings Institution Foreign Policy Program, director, Brookings Institution Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings DATE: July 29, 2024 https://www.brookings.edu/events/strengthening-air-and-space-power TUESDAY | JULY 30 10 a.m. G-50 Dirksen — Senate Judiciary Committee and Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee joint hearing: “Examination of the Security Failures Leading to the Assassination Attempt on Former President Trump,” with testimony from Ronald Rowe, acting director of the U.S. Secret Service; and Deputy FBI Director Paul Abbate http://www.hsgac.senate.gov 10 a.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing: “Strategic Competition with the PRC: Assessing U.S. Competitiveness Beyond the Indo-Pacific,” with testimony from Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell http://foreign.senate.gov 11 a.m. — Heritage Foundation virtual discussion: “Nuclear Posture Review: Building Our Strength in 2025,” with Sen. Deb Fischer (R-NB); Matthew Kroenig, professor of government and foreign service at Georgetown University; and Robert Peters, Heritage research fellow on nuclear deterrence and missile defense https://www.heritage.org/missile-defense/event 2 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Association of the U.S. Army virtual and in-person Strategic Landpower Dialogue: “The Defense of Guam,” with Lt. Gen. Robert Rasch, director, Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office and executive officer, Joint Program Office for the Guam Defense System; and Brig. Gen. Frank Lozano, program executive officer, Missiles and Space https://www.csis.org/events/defense-guam 2:30 p.m. 419 Dirksen — Senate Foreign Relations Europe and Regional Security Cooperation Subcommittee hearing: “The Future of Europe,” with testimony from Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs James O’Brien http://foreign.senate.gov 5:30 p.m. 920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Virginia — Intelligence and National Security Alliance discussion of “Issues including election security, great power competition, cyber threats to critical infrastructure, U.S. Cyber Command 2.0, AI/ML and defense industrial base defense,” with Air Force Gen. Timothy Haugh, commander of the U.S. Cyber Command, director of the National Security Agency and chief of the Central Security Service https://www.insaonline.org/detail-pages/event WEDNESDAY | JULY 31 8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Navy Operational Energy Director James Caley; and Puesh Kumar, director of the Energy Department Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response https://power.dsigroup.org/register/ 8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza, Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute 2024 Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Rear Adm. Michael Donnelly, director of air warfare in the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/ 9:30 a.m. —  Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Rebuilding America’s Maritime Strength,” with Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) and Rep. Michael Waltz (R-FL). https://www.csis.org/events/rebuilding-americas-maritime-strength 11 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: “The Future of Ukraine’s Economic Recovery,” with former Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker, special representative for Ukraine’s economic recovery, State Department; Ukrainian Ambassador to the U.S. Oksana Markarova; Constanze Stelzenmuller, director, Brookings Center on the U.S. and Europe; and Ben Harris, Brookings vice president and director of economic studies https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-future-of-ukraines-economic-recovery/ THURSDAY | AUGUST 1 7:45 a.m. 1700 Army Navy Dr., Arlington, Virginia — National Defense Industrial Association Senior Defense Leaders Forum, with Defense Undersecretary for Research and Engineering Heidi Shyu; and former Deputy Defense Secretary David Norquist, NDIA president and CEO https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2024-aug-1-ndia 8:30 a.m. 1201 15th St. NW — Defense Strategies Institute DOD Energy and Power Summit, with Paul Farnan, principal deputy assistant Army secretary for installations, energy and environment https://power.dsigroup.org/register/ 8:45 a.m. 137 National Plaza Oxon Hill, Maryland — Defense Strategies Institute Joint Air Survivability Summit, with Arthur Huber, executive director of the Air Force Test Center https://airsurvivability.dsigroup.org/ 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Nuclear Threats and the Role of Allies,” with Acting Secretary of Defense for Space Policy Vipin Narang https://www.csis.org/events/nuclear-threats-and-role-allies 4 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies media conference call briefing: “Previewing the Australia-U.S. Ministerial Consultations,” with Charles Edel, CSIS Australia chair; Kathryn Paik, CSIS Australia chair; Cynthia Cook, director of the CSIS Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group; and Rory Medcalf, CSIS nonresident adjunct fellow RSVP: Sam Cestari at scestari@csis.org., , US to establish warfighting command in Japan as threat from China, North Korea grows, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

Ukraine war may be headed to dreaded ‘frozen conflict’ zone thumbnail

Ukraine war may be headed to dreaded ‘frozen conflict’ zone

If the war in Ukraine has demonstrated anything, it’s that it’s easier to play defense than offense.

Ukraine scored dramatic gains in the first year of the war when Russia’s three-day plan to take Kyiv and install a puppet government was upended stunningly by Ukraine’s fierce defense, which forced battered and demoralized Russian troops into an ignominious retreat.

The New Atlantis
Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP)

Ukraine stunned Russian President Vladimir Putin’s army and surprised the world by retaking 50% of the territory Russia occupied in its initial invasion, thanks to sheer grit and Western weapons, including U.S.-supplied Javelin tank-killing missiles and deadly accurate HIMARS artillery rockets. 

But then came Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive last summer, followed by Russia’s failed counter-counteroffensive.

In 2 1/2 years of fighting, both sides have suffered heavy losses but have also adapted, with the war settling into a horrifically destructive and deadly battle of attrition with no military resolution in sight.

“Wars are hard to predict in general, but as they go on, they become harder and harder to predict,” Army Gen. Chris Cavoli, U.S. European commander and NATO’s top general, said at a recent Aspen Security Forum. “In modern wars, you either win fast, up front, or you’re in for a long slog full of unpredictable twists and turns. And that’s where we are right now.”

Ukraine’s drone warfare has effectively defeated Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, and after a six-month delay, fresh supplies of American ammunition and artillery shells have slowed Russia’s modest advances in the east.

Ukraine, however, remains handicapped by the Biden administration’s limits on the use of long-range weapons to strike targets deep in Russia and the agonizing slow place of providing Ukraine with F-16s it needs to take control of its skies.

Running low on munitions itself, Russia figured out how to convert its stockpile of old Soviet-era dumb bombs into glide bombs by adding wings and GPS guidance systems.

They have used the powerful glide bombs with impunity to kill civilians and cripple Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, knocking out half of its generation capacity ahead of winter.

Putin’s superpower, though, is his absolute indifference to the appallingly high battlefield casualties his troops sustain as they are forced to conduct “meatgrinder” assaults against dug-in Ukrainian defense in pursuit of meager, strategically insignificant gains.  

“Poorly trained Russian soldiers are being used as cannon fodder in an attempt to overwhelm strong Ukrainian defenses,” according to a British intelligence assessment, which estimates Russian casualties at over half a million, with an average of more than 1,000 a day in May and June, the highest toll in the war to date.

But both sides are dug in, not just physically but psychologically.

As a precondition for peace talks, Putin wants to keep Crimea, which he illegally annexed in 2014, as well as all four of the eastern Ukrainian provinces he now only partially occupies, and he is also demanding Ukraine give up its aspirations of NATO membership.

It’s a deal Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says he can never accept, as it would lead to a “frozen conflict,” a war that never ends, is never won, and in which Ukraine is never safe. 

“Who says a frozen conflict would work? Who says Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days,” Zelensky told the BBC during a visit to London in mid-July.

“If he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who says he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted?” he said.

Zelensky desperately wants Ukraine to be given an invitation to join the NATO alliance, the one thing that might convince Putin he can’t win, but at the July Washington Summit, he had to settle for a nonbinding declaration that Ukraine is on an “irreversible path” to NATO membership.

“We are not NATO members. We don’t have such an umbrella,” Zelensky said in an interview with Fox News while in Washington. “And that’s why we need Putin to lose. We don’t want him to be on our territory because, anyway, it’s a frozen conflict.”

In his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention the following week, former President Donald Trump repeated his assertion that he can broker a quick end to the fighting. Trump, the 2024 Republican presidential nominee, claimed he has the persuasive power to “stop wars with just a telephone call.”

The next day, after what he called a “very good phone call” with Zelensky, Trump boasted, “I, as your next president of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families.”

“Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform.

Zelensky, well aware that he may have to deal with Trump as the next U.S. president and equally aware that Trump is likely to pressure him to make peace with Putin, is ruling out any forced surrender of Ukrainian territory.

Trump may be the one person in the world who can stop the war in 24 hours, Zelensky told the BBC, but he said, “The question is, what is the price? And who will pay?”

“If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay because it’s understandable how. It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land, Putin will be [given] a victory for his society,” Zelensky said. 

“We will never go [for] this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” he said.

Meanwhile, Putin’s putative peace plan is being undercut in Russian media by comments from former President Dmitry Medvedev, who, as deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, performs the role of Putin’s attack dog.

Medvedev was quoted as promising that Russia will complete its objective to destroy Ukrainian statehood within a decade and that Ukraine as a sovereign nation will cease to exist by 2034.

“This Russian narrative also directly and strongly undermines select Kremlin officials’ separate attempts to suggest that Russia is willing to ‘negotiate’ for ‘peace’ with Ukraine and further emphasizes that the Kremlin’s only desired end-state for the war is the complete destruction of the Ukrainian state and people,” the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in a recent assessment.

“The outcome on the ground in Ukraine is terribly, terribly important to future European and global security,” says Cavoli, who, as NATO’s top commander, is intimately involved in the alliance effort to keep Ukraine in the fight.

“The Ukrainians right now, for this past few months, have been focused on defending what they have in the east, denying Russia the free use of Crimea and southern Ukraine to attack Ukraine, preserving their access to the Black Sea, and generating force,” Cavoli said at the Aspen forum. “I think they’ve got a great strategy. It’s just a matter of prosecuting it.”

“We can’t be under any illusions,” he warned. “At the end of the conflict in Ukraine, however it concludes, we are going to have a very big Russia problem. We are going to have a situation where Russia’s reconstituting its force, is located on the borders of NATO, is led by largely the same people as it is right now, is convinced that we’re the adversary, and is very, very angry.”

There was more than one four-star general at the Aspen forum, including Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“If, collectively, we stopped supporting Ukraine, Putin wins. OK. And what that allows is it also emboldens others,” Brown said. “We have credibility that’s at stake, not just the United States, but NATO, the West. If we just back away, that opens the door for Xi Jinping and others who want to do unprovoked aggression.”

“So, I think it’s important that we continue to provide support to Ukraine,” he said. “Our leadership matters. It gets watched.”

2024-07-26 09:20:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpremium%2F3097029%2Fukraine-war-may-be-headed-to-dreaded-frozen-conflict-zone%2F?w=600&h=450, If the war in Ukraine has demonstrated anything, it’s that it’s easier to play defense than offense. Ukraine scored dramatic gains in the first year of the war when Russia’s three-day plan to take Kyiv and install a puppet government was upended stunningly by Ukraine’s fierce defense, which forced battered and demoralized Russian troops into,

If the war in Ukraine has demonstrated anything, it’s that it’s easier to play defense than offense.

Ukraine scored dramatic gains in the first year of the war when Russia’s three-day plan to take Kyiv and install a puppet government was upended stunningly by Ukraine’s fierce defense, which forced battered and demoralized Russian troops into an ignominious retreat.

The New Atlantis
Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP)

Ukraine stunned Russian President Vladimir Putin’s army and surprised the world by retaking 50% of the territory Russia occupied in its initial invasion, thanks to sheer grit and Western weapons, including U.S.-supplied Javelin tank-killing missiles and deadly accurate HIMARS artillery rockets. 

But then came Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive last summer, followed by Russia’s failed counter-counteroffensive.

In 2 1/2 years of fighting, both sides have suffered heavy losses but have also adapted, with the war settling into a horrifically destructive and deadly battle of attrition with no military resolution in sight.

“Wars are hard to predict in general, but as they go on, they become harder and harder to predict,” Army Gen. Chris Cavoli, U.S. European commander and NATO’s top general, said at a recent Aspen Security Forum. “In modern wars, you either win fast, up front, or you’re in for a long slog full of unpredictable twists and turns. And that’s where we are right now.”

Ukraine’s drone warfare has effectively defeated Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, and after a six-month delay, fresh supplies of American ammunition and artillery shells have slowed Russia’s modest advances in the east.

Ukraine, however, remains handicapped by the Biden administration’s limits on the use of long-range weapons to strike targets deep in Russia and the agonizing slow place of providing Ukraine with F-16s it needs to take control of its skies.

Running low on munitions itself, Russia figured out how to convert its stockpile of old Soviet-era dumb bombs into glide bombs by adding wings and GPS guidance systems.

They have used the powerful glide bombs with impunity to kill civilians and cripple Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, knocking out half of its generation capacity ahead of winter.

Putin’s superpower, though, is his absolute indifference to the appallingly high battlefield casualties his troops sustain as they are forced to conduct “meatgrinder” assaults against dug-in Ukrainian defense in pursuit of meager, strategically insignificant gains.  

“Poorly trained Russian soldiers are being used as cannon fodder in an attempt to overwhelm strong Ukrainian defenses,” according to a British intelligence assessment, which estimates Russian casualties at over half a million, with an average of more than 1,000 a day in May and June, the highest toll in the war to date.

But both sides are dug in, not just physically but psychologically.

As a precondition for peace talks, Putin wants to keep Crimea, which he illegally annexed in 2014, as well as all four of the eastern Ukrainian provinces he now only partially occupies, and he is also demanding Ukraine give up its aspirations of NATO membership.

It’s a deal Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says he can never accept, as it would lead to a “frozen conflict,” a war that never ends, is never won, and in which Ukraine is never safe. 

“Who says a frozen conflict would work? Who says Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days,” Zelensky told the BBC during a visit to London in mid-July.

“If he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who says he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted?” he said.

Zelensky desperately wants Ukraine to be given an invitation to join the NATO alliance, the one thing that might convince Putin he can’t win, but at the July Washington Summit, he had to settle for a nonbinding declaration that Ukraine is on an “irreversible path” to NATO membership.

“We are not NATO members. We don’t have such an umbrella,” Zelensky said in an interview with Fox News while in Washington. “And that’s why we need Putin to lose. We don’t want him to be on our territory because, anyway, it’s a frozen conflict.”

In his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention the following week, former President Donald Trump repeated his assertion that he can broker a quick end to the fighting. Trump, the 2024 Republican presidential nominee, claimed he has the persuasive power to “stop wars with just a telephone call.”

The next day, after what he called a “very good phone call” with Zelensky, Trump boasted, “I, as your next president of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families.”

“Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform.

Zelensky, well aware that he may have to deal with Trump as the next U.S. president and equally aware that Trump is likely to pressure him to make peace with Putin, is ruling out any forced surrender of Ukrainian territory.

Trump may be the one person in the world who can stop the war in 24 hours, Zelensky told the BBC, but he said, “The question is, what is the price? And who will pay?”

“If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay because it’s understandable how. It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land, Putin will be [given] a victory for his society,” Zelensky said. 

“We will never go [for] this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” he said.

Meanwhile, Putin’s putative peace plan is being undercut in Russian media by comments from former President Dmitry Medvedev, who, as deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, performs the role of Putin’s attack dog.

Medvedev was quoted as promising that Russia will complete its objective to destroy Ukrainian statehood within a decade and that Ukraine as a sovereign nation will cease to exist by 2034.

“This Russian narrative also directly and strongly undermines select Kremlin officials’ separate attempts to suggest that Russia is willing to ‘negotiate’ for ‘peace’ with Ukraine and further emphasizes that the Kremlin’s only desired end-state for the war is the complete destruction of the Ukrainian state and people,” the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in a recent assessment.

“The outcome on the ground in Ukraine is terribly, terribly important to future European and global security,” says Cavoli, who, as NATO’s top commander, is intimately involved in the alliance effort to keep Ukraine in the fight.

“The Ukrainians right now, for this past few months, have been focused on defending what they have in the east, denying Russia the free use of Crimea and southern Ukraine to attack Ukraine, preserving their access to the Black Sea, and generating force,” Cavoli said at the Aspen forum. “I think they’ve got a great strategy. It’s just a matter of prosecuting it.”

“We can’t be under any illusions,” he warned. “At the end of the conflict in Ukraine, however it concludes, we are going to have a very big Russia problem. We are going to have a situation where Russia’s reconstituting its force, is located on the borders of NATO, is led by largely the same people as it is right now, is convinced that we’re the adversary, and is very, very angry.”

There was more than one four-star general at the Aspen forum, including Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“If, collectively, we stopped supporting Ukraine, Putin wins. OK. And what that allows is it also emboldens others,” Brown said. “We have credibility that’s at stake, not just the United States, but NATO, the West. If we just back away, that opens the door for Xi Jinping and others who want to do unprovoked aggression.”

“So, I think it’s important that we continue to provide support to Ukraine,” he said. “Our leadership matters. It gets watched.”

, If the war in Ukraine has demonstrated anything, it’s that it’s easier to play defense than offense. Ukraine scored dramatic gains in the first year of the war when Russia’s three-day plan to take Kyiv and install a puppet government was upended stunningly by Ukraine’s fierce defense, which forced battered and demoralized Russian troops into an ignominious retreat. Debris is seen in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike on July 8, 2024, near the Lukianivska metro station in Kyiv, Ukraine. (Anton Shtuka/AP) Ukraine stunned Russian President Vladimir Putin’s army and surprised the world by retaking 50% of the territory Russia occupied in its initial invasion, thanks to sheer grit and Western weapons, including U.S.-supplied Javelin tank-killing missiles and deadly accurate HIMARS artillery rockets.  But then came Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive last summer, followed by Russia’s failed counter-counteroffensive. In 2 1/2 years of fighting, both sides have suffered heavy losses but have also adapted, with the war settling into a horrifically destructive and deadly battle of attrition with no military resolution in sight. “Wars are hard to predict in general, but as they go on, they become harder and harder to predict,” Army Gen. Chris Cavoli, U.S. European commander and NATO’s top general, said at a recent Aspen Security Forum. “In modern wars, you either win fast, up front, or you’re in for a long slog full of unpredictable twists and turns. And that’s where we are right now.” Ukraine’s drone warfare has effectively defeated Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, and after a six-month delay, fresh supplies of American ammunition and artillery shells have slowed Russia’s modest advances in the east. Ukraine, however, remains handicapped by the Biden administration’s limits on the use of long-range weapons to strike targets deep in Russia and the agonizing slow place of providing Ukraine with F-16s it needs to take control of its skies. Running low on munitions itself, Russia figured out how to convert its stockpile of old Soviet-era dumb bombs into glide bombs by adding wings and GPS guidance systems. They have used the powerful glide bombs with impunity to kill civilians and cripple Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, knocking out half of its generation capacity ahead of winter. Putin’s superpower, though, is his absolute indifference to the appallingly high battlefield casualties his troops sustain as they are forced to conduct “meatgrinder” assaults against dug-in Ukrainian defense in pursuit of meager, strategically insignificant gains.   “Poorly trained Russian soldiers are being used as cannon fodder in an attempt to overwhelm strong Ukrainian defenses,” according to a British intelligence assessment, which estimates Russian casualties at over half a million, with an average of more than 1,000 a day in May and June, the highest toll in the war to date. But both sides are dug in, not just physically but psychologically. As a precondition for peace talks, Putin wants to keep Crimea, which he illegally annexed in 2014, as well as all four of the eastern Ukrainian provinces he now only partially occupies, and he is also demanding Ukraine give up its aspirations of NATO membership. It’s a deal Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says he can never accept, as it would lead to a “frozen conflict,” a war that never ends, is never won, and in which Ukraine is never safe.  “Who says a frozen conflict would work? Who says Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days,” Zelensky told the BBC during a visit to London in mid-July. “If he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who says he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted?” he said. Zelensky desperately wants Ukraine to be given an invitation to join the NATO alliance, the one thing that might convince Putin he can’t win, but at the July Washington Summit, he had to settle for a nonbinding declaration that Ukraine is on an “irreversible path” to NATO membership. “We are not NATO members. We don’t have such an umbrella,” Zelensky said in an interview with Fox News while in Washington. “And that’s why we need Putin to lose. We don’t want him to be on our territory because, anyway, it’s a frozen conflict.” In his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention the following week, former President Donald Trump repeated his assertion that he can broker a quick end to the fighting. Trump, the 2024 Republican presidential nominee, claimed he has the persuasive power to “stop wars with just a telephone call.” The next day, after what he called a “very good phone call” with Zelensky, Trump boasted, “I, as your next president of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families.” “Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform. Zelensky, well aware that he may have to deal with Trump as the next U.S. president and equally aware that Trump is likely to pressure him to make peace with Putin, is ruling out any forced surrender of Ukrainian territory. Trump may be the one person in the world who can stop the war in 24 hours, Zelensky told the BBC, but he said, “The question is, what is the price? And who will pay?” “If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay because it’s understandable how. It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land, Putin will be [given] a victory for his society,” Zelensky said.  “We will never go [for] this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” he said. Meanwhile, Putin’s putative peace plan is being undercut in Russian media by comments from former President Dmitry Medvedev, who, as deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, performs the role of Putin’s attack dog. Medvedev was quoted as promising that Russia will complete its objective to destroy Ukrainian statehood within a decade and that Ukraine as a sovereign nation will cease to exist by 2034. “This Russian narrative also directly and strongly undermines select Kremlin officials’ separate attempts to suggest that Russia is willing to ‘negotiate’ for ‘peace’ with Ukraine and further emphasizes that the Kremlin’s only desired end-state for the war is the complete destruction of the Ukrainian state and people,” the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in a recent assessment. “The outcome on the ground in Ukraine is terribly, terribly important to future European and global security,” says Cavoli, who, as NATO’s top commander, is intimately involved in the alliance effort to keep Ukraine in the fight. “The Ukrainians right now, for this past few months, have been focused on defending what they have in the east, denying Russia the free use of Crimea and southern Ukraine to attack Ukraine, preserving their access to the Black Sea, and generating force,” Cavoli said at the Aspen forum. “I think they’ve got a great strategy. It’s just a matter of prosecuting it.” “We can’t be under any illusions,” he warned. “At the end of the conflict in Ukraine, however it concludes, we are going to have a very big Russia problem. We are going to have a situation where Russia’s reconstituting its force, is located on the borders of NATO, is led by largely the same people as it is right now, is convinced that we’re the adversary, and is very, very angry.” There was more than one four-star general at the Aspen forum, including Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER “If, collectively, we stopped supporting Ukraine, Putin wins. OK. And what that allows is it also emboldens others,” Brown said. “We have credibility that’s at stake, not just the United States, but NATO, the West. If we just back away, that opens the door for Xi Jinping and others who want to do unprovoked aggression.” “So, I think it’s important that we continue to provide support to Ukraine,” he said. “Our leadership matters. It gets watched.”, , Ukraine war may be headed to dreaded ‘frozen conflict’ zone, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/WB.Defense-073124.webp, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

‘There is no guy in the world who can push us to do it’: Zelensky vows Trump won’t force Ukraine to surrender thumbnail

‘There is no guy in the world who can push us to do it’: Zelensky vows Trump won’t force Ukraine to surrender

‘THERE IS NO GUY IN THE WORLD WHO CAN PUSH US TO DO IT’: In an interview following the Republican National Convention, where former President Donald Trump repeated his claim he can quickly end the war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky questioned Trump’s plan, and insisted Ukraine will not be pressured to make large territorial concessions to Russia.

“The question is, what is the price? And who will pay? So do you think you might pay?” Zelensky told the BBC during his visit to London on Friday. “If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay… It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land.”

“We will never go on this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” Zelensky said.

HOW CAN THIS PERSON BE TRUSTED? Zelensky said he is often asked, “What is more important for you, territory or people?” and his answer is “people,” but adds “people are important but it doesn’t mean we can give them 30% of our land.”

“First, it’s our land. Secondly, who says they won’t go further,” Zelensky said, according to a BBC translation during the portion of the interview in which Zelensky spoke Ukrainian. “Who said Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days. That’s his plan. And if he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who said he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted? I don’t think so.”

ON CALL, TWO READOUTS: Zelensky had a phone conversation with Trump the day after his nomination last week to congratulate him and wish him well after the failed attempt on his life. 

“President Zelensky of Ukraine and I had a very good phone call earlier today,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform.

“I appreciate President Zelensky for reaching out because I, as your next President of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families,” Trump said. “Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity.”

Zelensky was a bit more circumspect, saying on X that while condemning “the shocking assassination attempt in Pennsylvania” and wishing him “strength and absolute safety in the future,” he also noted the “vital bipartisan and bicameral American support for protecting our nation’s freedom and independence.”

“Ukraine will always be grateful to the United States for its help in strengthening our ability to resist Russian terror,” Zelensky said. “We agreed with President Trump to discuss at a personal meeting what steps can make peace fair and truly lasting.”

In the BBC interview, Zelensky was asked about the views of Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, who has advocated an end to U.S. aid to Ukraine and, in 2022, said he didn’t care what happened to Ukraine “one way or another.”

“Maybe he really doesn’t understand what goes on in Ukraine,” Zelensky said. “So for us, we have to work with the United States and if a new team will come, we have to work with them. We need their support.”

TRUMP’S PICK OF JD VANCE AS RUNNING MATE COULD SEAL UKRAINE’S FATEGood Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

NOTE TO READERS: Daily on Defense will take a two-day break this week, and won’t publish on Thursday July 25, and Friday July 26. We’ll be back in your inbox and online Monday July 29. 

HAPPENING TODAY: Secret Service Director Kim Cheatle is scheduled to testify at 10 a.m. before the House Oversight and Accountability Committee, the first of several committees demanding answers and accountability for security lapses that allowed an attempted assassin to get a clear head shot that almost killed former President Donald Trump.

“Every American can tell that there should have never been allowed anyone on that roof and the fact that there are videos showing that people were trying to notify the authorities, that there was a person on the roof with a gun and nothing was done about it and that shooter was allowed to get that many shots off at President Trump. That’s unacceptable,” Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) said on Fox News Sunday. “We want to know who’s at fault for what happened.”

There are dozens of questions swirling around the attempt, which killed one spectator and critically wounded two others. This includes a Washington Post report that senior Secret Service officials repeatedly rejected requests from Trump’s security detail for more manpower and gear at events, at times citing a lack of resources.

“Look, the Secret Service has a budget of $3.1 billion. They have thousands of employees. There aren’t that many people that require Secret Service protection. There aren’t that many events that the Secret Service have to secure,” Comer told Fox. “So the budget is more than enough to provide adequate protection for the presidential candidate. So we have a lot of questions as to how they’re managing their money.”

“Our question for the Director Cheatle is, are you competent to run the Secret Service?” Comer said. “She’s going to have about a six-hour hearing, and she’s going to have hundreds of questions that she’s going to have to answer, and the American people will be watching that hearing.”

SECRET SERVICE ADMITS SOME REQUESTS FROM TRUMP DETAIL WERE DENIED

MAYORKAS NAMES INDEPENDENT PROBE: Meanwhile, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas announced yesterday he’s appointed a bipartisan, independent panel “to conduct a 45-day independent review of the planning for and actions taken by the U.S. Secret Service and state and local authorities before, during, and after the rally.”

Cheatle quickly released a statement welcoming the probe. “We are eager to cooperate with the independent security review,” Cheatle said in a statement. “I look forward to the panel examining what happened and providing recommendations to help ensure it will never happen again.”

“The U.S. Secret Service is continuing to take steps to review our actions internally and remain committed to working quickly and transparently with other investigations, including those by Congress, FBI, and the Department of Homeland Security Office of Inspector General,” she said, noting the Secret Service as a “no-fail” mission. 

Panel members named so far with “extensive law enforcement and security experience” include former Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano; Frances Townsend, former Homeland Security adviser to President George W. Bush; Mark Filip, a former federal judge and deputy attorney general to President George W. Bush; and David Mitchell, former Secretary of the Department of Public Safety and Homeland Security for the state of Delaware.

EX-TRUMP OFFICIALS CALL FOR BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO DO MORE TO PROTECT THEM FROM IRANIAN RETALIATION

ALSO TODAY: Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks and Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant defense secretary for Arctic and Global Resilience, are scheduled to brief reporters at the Pentagon at 3 p.m. on the new “2024 Department of Defense Arctic Strategy.” 

The increased melting of Arctic sea ice in recent years has opened up new shipping lanes in the Northern Sea Route which has Arctic countries jockeying for strategic advantage. Russia, in particular, has ramped up military operations in the Arctic, including tests of hypersonic missiles. The briefing will be live-streamed at https://www.defense.gov/News/Live-Events

NEXT STEP, PRISONER SWAP? The quick verdict by a Russian court Friday in the show trial of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich on trumped-up charges of espionage is bad news with a tiny sliver of a possible silver lining. Gershkovich was sentenced to 16 years in a maximum-security prison, but that could clear the way for a prisoner swap.

“Gershkovich received a sentence of 16 years in a Russian prison, despite having committed no crime,” President Biden said in a statement released by the White House. “He was targeted by the Russian government because he is a journalist and an American. We are pushing hard for Evan’s release and will continue to do so.”

“There is no question that Russia is wrongfully detaining Evan. Journalism is not a crime. We will continue to stand strong for press freedom in Russia and worldwide and stand against all those who seek to attack the press or target journalists,” Biden said. “ I have had no higher priority than seeking the release and safe return of Evan, Paul Whelan, and all Americans wrongfully detained and held hostage abroad.”

FAMILIES OF AMERICANS DETAINED IN RUSSIA CLING TO HOPE AS TIME PASSES

AUSTIN: BIDEN ‘EXTRAORDINARY GUARDIAN OF AMERICA’S NATIONAL SECURITY’: In a statement praising his boss as “one of our great foreign-policy presidents,” Defense Lloyd Austin noted President Joe Biden’s success in uniting NATO in support of Ukraine, his decision to end America’s longest war in Afghanistan, and his efforts to “break barriers” at the Pentagon.

“He has made history,” Austin said, by “appointing Kathleen Hicks as the first female Deputy Secretary of Defense, Christine Wormuth as the first female Secretary of the Army, Admiral Lisa Franchetti as the first female Chief of Naval Operations, and the first woman on the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and myself as the first Black Secretary of Defense.”

“President Biden has always understood that America’s greatest strategic advantage is our people, and he has sought to make America even stronger and more secure by drawing on the full talents of all of our citizenry,” Austin said.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Biden bows out of 2024 presidential race

Washington Examiner: Republicans say Biden should resign immediately after historic campaign exit: ‘Not fit to serve’

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Biden ends reelection campaign, doing the right thing for the nation

Washington Examiner: Editorial: Biden’s withdrawal — overdue, and insufficient

Washington Examiner: Secret Service admits some requests from Trump detail were denied

Washington Examiner: Ex-Trump officials call for Biden administration to do more to protect them from Iranian retaliation

Washington Examiner: Opinion: The Secret Service director must answer these questions – now

Washington Examiner: Families of Americans detained in Russia cling to hope as time passes

Washington Examiner: Israel launches retaliatory air strike on Yemen

Washington Examiner: Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv brings further attention on Iran threats

Washington Examiner: Top US general urges Russia not to give Houthis anti-ship missiles

Washington Examiner: Top UN court says Israeli presence in occupied Palestinian territories is illegal

Washington Examiner: Army says slides labeling anti-abortion groups as ‘terrorists’ have been used for over seven years

Washington Examiner: Opinion:  Trump’s Iron Dome boondoggle won’t make America safer

Bloomberg: US Prepares Jamming Devices Targeting Russia, China Satellites

AP: China And The Philippines Reach Deal In Effort To Stop Clashes At Fiercely Disputed Shoal

Reuters: Taiwan Starts Annual War Games, Aiming To Closely Mimic Actual Combat

Washington Post: Afghanistan War Commission opens inquiry of America’s longest conflict

Washington Post: Israel Intercepts Missile from Yemen After Airstrikes on Houthi Port

Wall Street Journal: US Launches Effort to Stop Russia from Arming Houthis with Antiship Missiles

Air & Space Forces Magazine: China Halts Nuclear Arms Control Talks with US: Why and What’s Next

Air & Space Forces Magazine: F-35 Deliveries Resume After a Year on Hold

Defense One: Lockheed Won’t Get Paid in Full Yet for Upgraded F-35s, Even as Deliveries Resume

Defense News: How the Sixth-Generation Fighter Jet Will Upend Air Warfare

DefenseScoop: Defense Innovation Board Taking Closer Look at Escalating Military Drone Challenges

Military.com: National Guard Chief Warns of ‘Unintended Consequences’ of Transferring Air Guard Units to Space Force

Air & Space Forces Magazine: The Air Force’s Zero Trust Strategy Is Out—and Acknowledges Big Hurdles.

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Weaker Conventional Military Led Russia to ‘Asymmetric’ Space Nuke: DOD Officials

Breaking Defense: Air Force Could Reopen Competition for Sentinel ICBM Ground Infrastructure, Hunter Says

Long War Journal: What we know about Russia’s new 3-ton glide bomb

Defense One: Air Force Brought in Hard-Nosed Negotiator to Close E-7 Deal with Boeing

Aviation Week: Boeing Undertakes VC-25B Improvements, New Schedule to Outline Delays

NPR: Navy Exonerates 256 Black Sailors Unjustly Punished Over 1944 Port Explosion

Reuters: World’s Youngest Air Force Papua New Guinea Takes to Skies Among Top Guns

The Cipher Brief: Analysis: How Trump and Vance Would Deal with Global Hot Zones 

The Cipher Brief: Opinion: China’s Party Plenum: About Much More Than Economics

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JULY 22

9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies virtual discussion: “How STARCOM (Space Training and Readiness Command) is preparing Guardians, at all stages,ir service, for the realities of space being a warfighting domain,” with Air Force Maj. Gen. Timothy Sejba, commander, Space Force STARCOM https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event/maj-gen-timothy-j-sejba

9 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “China’s Third Plenum: A Plan for Renewed Reform?” with Lingling Wei, Wall St. Journal chief China correspondent; Daniel Rosen, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics; Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies; Bonny Lin, director, CSIS China Power Project; and Scott Kennedy, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics https://www.csis.org/events/chinas-third-plenum-plan-renewed-reform

10 a.m. — Hudson Institute virtual discussion: “Deterring an Axis of Aggressors,” focusing on Russia, China, Iran and North Korea,” with former White House national security adviser retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, Hudson Japan chair https://www.hudson.org/events/deterring-axis-aggressors

10 a.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “Unpacking Iran’s Presidential Elections: Dr.rs and Implications,” with Holly Dagres, Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow; Arash Ghafouri, CEO, Stasis Consulting; Alex Vatanka, director, MEI Iran Program; and Nazee Moinian, MEI nonresident scholar https://www.mei.edu/events/unpacking-irans-presidential-elections

10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing: “Oversight, U.S. Secret Service and the Attempted Assassination of President Donald J. Trump,” with testimony from U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle http://oversight.house.gov

1 p.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Journalists being held captive and the state of global press freedom,” with Jason Rezaian, former Tehran bureau chief for the Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live

3 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — National Endowment for Democracy in-person and virtual discussion: “Preparing for a Democratic Future of North Korea: Next Generation Leadership,” with U.S. Special envoy for North Korean Human Rights Julie Turner; Yung Ho Kim, Korean minister of unification; Jitae You, actor and memorandum of understanding ambassador on North Korean Human Rights; and Damon Wilson, NED president and CEO https://www.ned.org/events/preparing-for-a-democratic-future-of-north-korea

8 p.m. — Jews United for Democracy and Justice virtual briefing: “Israel in Crisis,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; and Warren Olney, former host, “To the Point” podcast https://www.jewsunitedfordemocracy.org/event/july-22

TUESDAY | JULY 23 

6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd., Arlington, Va. — Association, U.S. Army “Coffee Series” in-person event with Lt. Gen. Sean Gainey, commanding general of U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command https://www.ausa.org/events/coffee-series/ltg-gainey

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Va. — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Air Defense Summit, with Air Force Undersecretary Melissa Dalton; Air Force CIO Venice Goodwine; Timothy Grayson, special assistant to the Air Force secretary for mission-centered analysis and operational imperatives https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-air-force-summit/

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies conference: “The 2024 International Dialogue on North Korean Human Rights,” with South Korea Ambassador to the U.S. Hyundong Cho; ROK Minister of Unification Yung Ho Kim, U.N. Special Rapporteur on the Situation of Human Rights in the DPRK Elizabeth Salmon https://www.csis.org/events/2024-international-dialogue

10 a.m. 2118 Rayburn — House Armed Services Joint Subcommittee hearing: Mobility Aircraft Relevance and Survivability in a Contested Environment,” with testimony from Air Force Gen. Mike Minihan, commander, Air Mobility Command; Air Force Lt. Gen. David Tabor, director of programs, Office, Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans and Programs; Rear Adm. Derek Trinque, director, strategic plans, policy, and logistics, U.S. Transportation Command https://armedservices.house.gov/committee-activity/hearings

10 a.m. 2172 Rayburn — House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing: “Member Roundtable with Families of U.S. Hostages Held by Hamas,” with testimony from family members of Americans held hostage by Hamas following the October 7th attack on Israel http://foreignaffairs.house.gov

10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “Examining the Assassination Attempt of July 13,” with testimony from witnesses TBA http://homeland.house.gov

10 a.m. HVC-210, U.S. Capitol — House (Select) Strategic Competition Between the U.S. and the Chinese Communist Party Committee hearing: “The Great Firewall and the CCP’s Export of its Techno-Authoritarian Surveillance State,” with testimony from Nat Kretchun, senior vice president for programs for the Open Technology Fund; Zack Cooper, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Xiao Qiang, founder and editor-in-chief, China Digital Times https://selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/

11 a.m. — Wilson Center Polar Institute virtual discussion: “The DOD’s New Arctic Strategy,” with Amanda Dory, acting undersecretary of defense for policy; Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant secretary of defense for Arctic and global resilience; Maj. Gen. Odd-Harald Hagen, defense attache at the Norwegian Embassy; Rebecca Pincus, director, Wilson Center Polar Institute; and former U.S. Agency for International Development Administrator Mark Green, president and CEO, Wilson Center https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/dods-new-arctic-strategy

3 p.m. — Washington Post live virtual discussion, “Rep. Adam Smith on his call for Biden to leave the Democratic 2024 ticket,” with Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live

3 p.m. 608 Dirksen — Sen. Chuck Grassley, (R-IA); and Sen. Ron Johnson, (R-WI) discussion: “Reckless Disregard: How DHS’ Failure to Collect DNA at the Border Endangers Americans,” with whistleblowers from DHS and Customs and Border Protection; and subject matter expert Kumar Kibble RSVP: Clare_Slattery@grassley.senate.gov

3 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution Talbott Center for Security and Technology and Center on the U.S. and Europe discussion: “Finland, NATO, and the Future of Trans-Atlantic Security,” with Finnish Ambassador to the U.S. Mikko Hautala; Michael O’Hanlon, director of research in the Brookings Institution’s Foreign Policy Program director, Brookings Institution’s Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology; and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings Institution; and Constanze Stelzenmuller, director and senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution Center on the U.S. and Europe and chair on Germany and Trans-Atlantic relations https://www.brookings.edu/events/finland-nato-and-the-future

6 p.m. 2021 14th St. NW — Institute for Policy Studies discussion: “What’s Behind Netanyahu’s Address to Congress?” with Omar Baddar, Palestinian-American political analyst; Zeina Ashrawi Hutchison, director of development and expansion at the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee; Eran Efrati, director of campaigns and partnerships at Jewish Voice for Peace; and Phyllis Bennis, IPS fellow https://ips-dc.org/events/netanyahuaddress/

WEDNESDAY | JULY 24 

9 a.m. — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research virtual discussion: “Delivering on a Shared Vision with America’s Indo-Pacific Allies and Partners,” with Daniel Kritenbrink, assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs; Ely Ratner, assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific Security affairs; and Mira Rapp-Hooper, National Security Council senior director for East Asia and Oceania https://www.aei.org/events/delivering-on-a-shared-vision

10 a.m. 2141 Rayburn — House Judiciary Committee hearing: “Oversight, Federal Bureau of Investigation,” with testimony from FBI Director Christopher Wray http://judiciary.house.gov

12 p.m. — RAND Corporation virtual discussion: “Reconstructing Ukraine,” with Howard Shatz, senior economist and professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School https://www.rand.org/events/2024/07/rand-policy-lab-reconstructing-ukraine

10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “From Drug Interdictions in the Caribbean to National Security Patrols in the Arctic: Examining U.S. Coast Guard’s Role in Securing the Homeland,” with testimony from Adm. Linda Fagan, commandant, U.S. Coast Guard https://www.youtube.com/watch

10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability National Security, the Border, and Foreign Affairs Subcommittee hearing: “Wasteful Spending and Inefficiencies: Examining DoD Platform Performance and Costs,” with testimony from Moshe Schwartz, senior fellow of acquisition policy at the National Defense Industrial Association; Mackenzie Eaglen, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Bryan Clark, senior fellow and director, Hudson Institute’s Center for Defense Concepts and Technology http://oversight.house.gov

11:30 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Cyber landscape, terrorism threat and transnational repression,” with Matthew Olsen, assistant attorney general for national security https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live/2024/07/24/matt-olsen

2 p.m. House Chamber — Joint meeting, House and Senate to receive an address from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

THURSDAY | JULY 25 

10 a.m. 538 Dirksen — Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing: “Advancing National Security through Export Controls, Investment Security, and the Defense Production Act,” with testimony from Thea Kendler, assistant Commerce secretary for export administration; Paul Rosen, assistant Treasury secretary for investment security; Grant Harris, assistant Commerce secretary for industry and analysis; and Laura Taylor-Kale, Assistant Secretary of Defense for industrial base policy http://banking.senate.gov

12 p.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “U.S.-Israel Relations After Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Visit,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; David Schenker, director, Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Arab Politics Program; Shira Efron, Israeli Policy Forum director of research; and Brian Katulis, MEI senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register

2 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discussion: “The Future of U.S. Nuclear Arms Control Policy,” with Mallory Stewart, assistant secretary of state for arms control, deterrence, and stability; and George Perkovich, CEIP vice president for studies https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/07/the-future-of-us-nuclear-arms-control-policy

2 p.m. CVC-268, U.S. Capitol — Middle East Policy Council Capitol Hill Conference: “Conflict in the Red Sea: The Role of Great Power Actors,” with Bradley Bowman, senior director, Foundation for Defense of Democracies Center on Military and Political Power; Jeffrey Wood, economic security analyst at Systems Planning and Analysis; Nada Al-Hajjri, president, Yemen Information Center; Khalid Alwan, MEPC board member; and Bassima Alghussein, MEPC executive director https://www.eventbrite.com/e/conflict-in-the-red-sea-the-role-of-great-power-actors

FRIDAY | JULY 26 

9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual book discussion: The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan, with editor Matt Pottinger; Ivan Kanapathy, CSIS nonresident senior associate; and Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies https://www.csis.org/events/countering-china-gray-zone-lessons-taiwan

10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “How Strong is China’s Navy?” with Thomas Shugart, adjunct senior fellow, Center for a New American Security Defense Program; and Emma Salisbury, associate fellow in military innovation, Council on Geostrategy https://www.brookings.edu/events/how-strong-is-chinas-navy/

7 p.m. 5015 Connecticut Ave. NW — Politics and Prose Bookstore book discussion: Autocracy, Inc.: The Dictators Who Want to Run the World, with author Anne Applebaum, staff writer at The Atlantic https://www.politics-prose.com/anne-applebaum

2024-07-22 11:17:00, http://s.wordpress.com/mshots/v1/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonexaminer.com%2Fpolicy%2Fdefense%2F3093376%2Fthere-is-no-guy-in-the-world-who-can-push-us-to-do-it-zelensky-vows-trump-wont-force-ukraine-to-surrender%2F?w=600&h=450, ‘THERE IS NO GUY IN THE WORLD WHO CAN PUSH US TO DO IT’: In an interview following the Republican National Convention, where former President Donald Trump repeated his claim he can quickly end the war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky questioned Trump’s plan, and insisted Ukraine will not be pressured to make large territorial,

‘THERE IS NO GUY IN THE WORLD WHO CAN PUSH US TO DO IT’: In an interview following the Republican National Convention, where former President Donald Trump repeated his claim he can quickly end the war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky questioned Trump’s plan, and insisted Ukraine will not be pressured to make large territorial concessions to Russia.

“The question is, what is the price? And who will pay? So do you think you might pay?” Zelensky told the BBC during his visit to London on Friday. “If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay… It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land.”

“We will never go on this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” Zelensky said.

HOW CAN THIS PERSON BE TRUSTED? Zelensky said he is often asked, “What is more important for you, territory or people?” and his answer is “people,” but adds “people are important but it doesn’t mean we can give them 30% of our land.”

“First, it’s our land. Secondly, who says they won’t go further,” Zelensky said, according to a BBC translation during the portion of the interview in which Zelensky spoke Ukrainian. “Who said Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days. That’s his plan. And if he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who said he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted? I don’t think so.”

ON CALL, TWO READOUTS: Zelensky had a phone conversation with Trump the day after his nomination last week to congratulate him and wish him well after the failed attempt on his life. 

“President Zelensky of Ukraine and I had a very good phone call earlier today,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform.

“I appreciate President Zelensky for reaching out because I, as your next President of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families,” Trump said. “Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity.”

Zelensky was a bit more circumspect, saying on X that while condemning “the shocking assassination attempt in Pennsylvania” and wishing him “strength and absolute safety in the future,” he also noted the “vital bipartisan and bicameral American support for protecting our nation’s freedom and independence.”

“Ukraine will always be grateful to the United States for its help in strengthening our ability to resist Russian terror,” Zelensky said. “We agreed with President Trump to discuss at a personal meeting what steps can make peace fair and truly lasting.”

In the BBC interview, Zelensky was asked about the views of Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, who has advocated an end to U.S. aid to Ukraine and, in 2022, said he didn’t care what happened to Ukraine “one way or another.”

“Maybe he really doesn’t understand what goes on in Ukraine,” Zelensky said. “So for us, we have to work with the United States and if a new team will come, we have to work with them. We need their support.”

TRUMP’S PICK OF JD VANCE AS RUNNING MATE COULD SEAL UKRAINE’S FATEGood Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE

NOTE TO READERS: Daily on Defense will take a two-day break this week, and won’t publish on Thursday July 25, and Friday July 26. We’ll be back in your inbox and online Monday July 29. 

HAPPENING TODAY: Secret Service Director Kim Cheatle is scheduled to testify at 10 a.m. before the House Oversight and Accountability Committee, the first of several committees demanding answers and accountability for security lapses that allowed an attempted assassin to get a clear head shot that almost killed former President Donald Trump.

“Every American can tell that there should have never been allowed anyone on that roof and the fact that there are videos showing that people were trying to notify the authorities, that there was a person on the roof with a gun and nothing was done about it and that shooter was allowed to get that many shots off at President Trump. That’s unacceptable,” Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) said on Fox News Sunday. “We want to know who’s at fault for what happened.”

There are dozens of questions swirling around the attempt, which killed one spectator and critically wounded two others. This includes a Washington Post report that senior Secret Service officials repeatedly rejected requests from Trump’s security detail for more manpower and gear at events, at times citing a lack of resources.

“Look, the Secret Service has a budget of $3.1 billion. They have thousands of employees. There aren’t that many people that require Secret Service protection. There aren’t that many events that the Secret Service have to secure,” Comer told Fox. “So the budget is more than enough to provide adequate protection for the presidential candidate. So we have a lot of questions as to how they’re managing their money.”

“Our question for the Director Cheatle is, are you competent to run the Secret Service?” Comer said. “She’s going to have about a six-hour hearing, and she’s going to have hundreds of questions that she’s going to have to answer, and the American people will be watching that hearing.”

SECRET SERVICE ADMITS SOME REQUESTS FROM TRUMP DETAIL WERE DENIED

MAYORKAS NAMES INDEPENDENT PROBE: Meanwhile, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas announced yesterday he’s appointed a bipartisan, independent panel “to conduct a 45-day independent review of the planning for and actions taken by the U.S. Secret Service and state and local authorities before, during, and after the rally.”

Cheatle quickly released a statement welcoming the probe. “We are eager to cooperate with the independent security review,” Cheatle said in a statement. “I look forward to the panel examining what happened and providing recommendations to help ensure it will never happen again.”

“The U.S. Secret Service is continuing to take steps to review our actions internally and remain committed to working quickly and transparently with other investigations, including those by Congress, FBI, and the Department of Homeland Security Office of Inspector General,” she said, noting the Secret Service as a “no-fail” mission. 

Panel members named so far with “extensive law enforcement and security experience” include former Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano; Frances Townsend, former Homeland Security adviser to President George W. Bush; Mark Filip, a former federal judge and deputy attorney general to President George W. Bush; and David Mitchell, former Secretary of the Department of Public Safety and Homeland Security for the state of Delaware.

EX-TRUMP OFFICIALS CALL FOR BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO DO MORE TO PROTECT THEM FROM IRANIAN RETALIATION

ALSO TODAY: Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks and Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant defense secretary for Arctic and Global Resilience, are scheduled to brief reporters at the Pentagon at 3 p.m. on the new “2024 Department of Defense Arctic Strategy.” 

The increased melting of Arctic sea ice in recent years has opened up new shipping lanes in the Northern Sea Route which has Arctic countries jockeying for strategic advantage. Russia, in particular, has ramped up military operations in the Arctic, including tests of hypersonic missiles. The briefing will be live-streamed at https://www.defense.gov/News/Live-Events

NEXT STEP, PRISONER SWAP? The quick verdict by a Russian court Friday in the show trial of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich on trumped-up charges of espionage is bad news with a tiny sliver of a possible silver lining. Gershkovich was sentenced to 16 years in a maximum-security prison, but that could clear the way for a prisoner swap.

“Gershkovich received a sentence of 16 years in a Russian prison, despite having committed no crime,” President Biden said in a statement released by the White House. “He was targeted by the Russian government because he is a journalist and an American. We are pushing hard for Evan’s release and will continue to do so.”

“There is no question that Russia is wrongfully detaining Evan. Journalism is not a crime. We will continue to stand strong for press freedom in Russia and worldwide and stand against all those who seek to attack the press or target journalists,” Biden said. “ I have had no higher priority than seeking the release and safe return of Evan, Paul Whelan, and all Americans wrongfully detained and held hostage abroad.”

FAMILIES OF AMERICANS DETAINED IN RUSSIA CLING TO HOPE AS TIME PASSES

AUSTIN: BIDEN ‘EXTRAORDINARY GUARDIAN OF AMERICA’S NATIONAL SECURITY’: In a statement praising his boss as “one of our great foreign-policy presidents,” Defense Lloyd Austin noted President Joe Biden’s success in uniting NATO in support of Ukraine, his decision to end America’s longest war in Afghanistan, and his efforts to “break barriers” at the Pentagon.

“He has made history,” Austin said, by “appointing Kathleen Hicks as the first female Deputy Secretary of Defense, Christine Wormuth as the first female Secretary of the Army, Admiral Lisa Franchetti as the first female Chief of Naval Operations, and the first woman on the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and myself as the first Black Secretary of Defense.”

“President Biden has always understood that America’s greatest strategic advantage is our people, and he has sought to make America even stronger and more secure by drawing on the full talents of all of our citizenry,” Austin said.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Biden bows out of 2024 presidential race

Washington Examiner: Republicans say Biden should resign immediately after historic campaign exit: ‘Not fit to serve’

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Biden ends reelection campaign, doing the right thing for the nation

Washington Examiner: Editorial: Biden’s withdrawal — overdue, and insufficient

Washington Examiner: Secret Service admits some requests from Trump detail were denied

Washington Examiner: Ex-Trump officials call for Biden administration to do more to protect them from Iranian retaliation

Washington Examiner: Opinion: The Secret Service director must answer these questions – now

Washington Examiner: Families of Americans detained in Russia cling to hope as time passes

Washington Examiner: Israel launches retaliatory air strike on Yemen

Washington Examiner: Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv brings further attention on Iran threats

Washington Examiner: Top US general urges Russia not to give Houthis anti-ship missiles

Washington Examiner: Top UN court says Israeli presence in occupied Palestinian territories is illegal

Washington Examiner: Army says slides labeling anti-abortion groups as ‘terrorists’ have been used for over seven years

Washington Examiner: Opinion:  Trump’s Iron Dome boondoggle won’t make America safer

Bloomberg: US Prepares Jamming Devices Targeting Russia, China Satellites

AP: China And The Philippines Reach Deal In Effort To Stop Clashes At Fiercely Disputed Shoal

Reuters: Taiwan Starts Annual War Games, Aiming To Closely Mimic Actual Combat

Washington Post: Afghanistan War Commission opens inquiry of America’s longest conflict

Washington Post: Israel Intercepts Missile from Yemen After Airstrikes on Houthi Port

Wall Street Journal: US Launches Effort to Stop Russia from Arming Houthis with Antiship Missiles

Air & Space Forces Magazine: China Halts Nuclear Arms Control Talks with US: Why and What’s Next

Air & Space Forces Magazine: F-35 Deliveries Resume After a Year on Hold

Defense One: Lockheed Won’t Get Paid in Full Yet for Upgraded F-35s, Even as Deliveries Resume

Defense News: How the Sixth-Generation Fighter Jet Will Upend Air Warfare

DefenseScoop: Defense Innovation Board Taking Closer Look at Escalating Military Drone Challenges

Military.com: National Guard Chief Warns of ‘Unintended Consequences’ of Transferring Air Guard Units to Space Force

Air & Space Forces Magazine: The Air Force’s Zero Trust Strategy Is Out—and Acknowledges Big Hurdles.

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Weaker Conventional Military Led Russia to ‘Asymmetric’ Space Nuke: DOD Officials

Breaking Defense: Air Force Could Reopen Competition for Sentinel ICBM Ground Infrastructure, Hunter Says

Long War Journal: What we know about Russia’s new 3-ton glide bomb

Defense One: Air Force Brought in Hard-Nosed Negotiator to Close E-7 Deal with Boeing

Aviation Week: Boeing Undertakes VC-25B Improvements, New Schedule to Outline Delays

NPR: Navy Exonerates 256 Black Sailors Unjustly Punished Over 1944 Port Explosion

Reuters: World’s Youngest Air Force Papua New Guinea Takes to Skies Among Top Guns

The Cipher Brief: Analysis: How Trump and Vance Would Deal with Global Hot Zones 

The Cipher Brief: Opinion: China’s Party Plenum: About Much More Than Economics

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JULY 22

9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies virtual discussion: “How STARCOM (Space Training and Readiness Command) is preparing Guardians, at all stages,ir service, for the realities of space being a warfighting domain,” with Air Force Maj. Gen. Timothy Sejba, commander, Space Force STARCOM https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event/maj-gen-timothy-j-sejba

9 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “China’s Third Plenum: A Plan for Renewed Reform?” with Lingling Wei, Wall St. Journal chief China correspondent; Daniel Rosen, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics; Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies; Bonny Lin, director, CSIS China Power Project; and Scott Kennedy, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics https://www.csis.org/events/chinas-third-plenum-plan-renewed-reform

10 a.m. — Hudson Institute virtual discussion: “Deterring an Axis of Aggressors,” focusing on Russia, China, Iran and North Korea,” with former White House national security adviser retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, Hudson Japan chair https://www.hudson.org/events/deterring-axis-aggressors

10 a.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “Unpacking Iran’s Presidential Elections: Dr.rs and Implications,” with Holly Dagres, Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow; Arash Ghafouri, CEO, Stasis Consulting; Alex Vatanka, director, MEI Iran Program; and Nazee Moinian, MEI nonresident scholar https://www.mei.edu/events/unpacking-irans-presidential-elections

10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing: “Oversight, U.S. Secret Service and the Attempted Assassination of President Donald J. Trump,” with testimony from U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle http://oversight.house.gov

1 p.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Journalists being held captive and the state of global press freedom,” with Jason Rezaian, former Tehran bureau chief for the Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live

3 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — National Endowment for Democracy in-person and virtual discussion: “Preparing for a Democratic Future of North Korea: Next Generation Leadership,” with U.S. Special envoy for North Korean Human Rights Julie Turner; Yung Ho Kim, Korean minister of unification; Jitae You, actor and memorandum of understanding ambassador on North Korean Human Rights; and Damon Wilson, NED president and CEO https://www.ned.org/events/preparing-for-a-democratic-future-of-north-korea

8 p.m. — Jews United for Democracy and Justice virtual briefing: “Israel in Crisis,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; and Warren Olney, former host, “To the Point” podcast https://www.jewsunitedfordemocracy.org/event/july-22

TUESDAY | JULY 23 

6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd., Arlington, Va. — Association, U.S. Army “Coffee Series” in-person event with Lt. Gen. Sean Gainey, commanding general of U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command https://www.ausa.org/events/coffee-series/ltg-gainey

8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Va. — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Air Defense Summit, with Air Force Undersecretary Melissa Dalton; Air Force CIO Venice Goodwine; Timothy Grayson, special assistant to the Air Force secretary for mission-centered analysis and operational imperatives https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-air-force-summit/

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies conference: “The 2024 International Dialogue on North Korean Human Rights,” with South Korea Ambassador to the U.S. Hyundong Cho; ROK Minister of Unification Yung Ho Kim, U.N. Special Rapporteur on the Situation of Human Rights in the DPRK Elizabeth Salmon https://www.csis.org/events/2024-international-dialogue

10 a.m. 2118 Rayburn — House Armed Services Joint Subcommittee hearing: Mobility Aircraft Relevance and Survivability in a Contested Environment,” with testimony from Air Force Gen. Mike Minihan, commander, Air Mobility Command; Air Force Lt. Gen. David Tabor, director of programs, Office, Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans and Programs; Rear Adm. Derek Trinque, director, strategic plans, policy, and logistics, U.S. Transportation Command https://armedservices.house.gov/committee-activity/hearings

10 a.m. 2172 Rayburn — House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing: “Member Roundtable with Families of U.S. Hostages Held by Hamas,” with testimony from family members of Americans held hostage by Hamas following the October 7th attack on Israel http://foreignaffairs.house.gov

10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “Examining the Assassination Attempt of July 13,” with testimony from witnesses TBA http://homeland.house.gov

10 a.m. HVC-210, U.S. Capitol — House (Select) Strategic Competition Between the U.S. and the Chinese Communist Party Committee hearing: “The Great Firewall and the CCP’s Export of its Techno-Authoritarian Surveillance State,” with testimony from Nat Kretchun, senior vice president for programs for the Open Technology Fund; Zack Cooper, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Xiao Qiang, founder and editor-in-chief, China Digital Times https://selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/

11 a.m. — Wilson Center Polar Institute virtual discussion: “The DOD’s New Arctic Strategy,” with Amanda Dory, acting undersecretary of defense for policy; Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant secretary of defense for Arctic and global resilience; Maj. Gen. Odd-Harald Hagen, defense attache at the Norwegian Embassy; Rebecca Pincus, director, Wilson Center Polar Institute; and former U.S. Agency for International Development Administrator Mark Green, president and CEO, Wilson Center https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/dods-new-arctic-strategy

3 p.m. — Washington Post live virtual discussion, “Rep. Adam Smith on his call for Biden to leave the Democratic 2024 ticket,” with Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live

3 p.m. 608 Dirksen — Sen. Chuck Grassley, (R-IA); and Sen. Ron Johnson, (R-WI) discussion: “Reckless Disregard: How DHS’ Failure to Collect DNA at the Border Endangers Americans,” with whistleblowers from DHS and Customs and Border Protection; and subject matter expert Kumar Kibble RSVP: Clare_Slattery@grassley.senate.gov

3 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution Talbott Center for Security and Technology and Center on the U.S. and Europe discussion: “Finland, NATO, and the Future of Trans-Atlantic Security,” with Finnish Ambassador to the U.S. Mikko Hautala; Michael O’Hanlon, director of research in the Brookings Institution’s Foreign Policy Program director, Brookings Institution’s Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology; and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings Institution; and Constanze Stelzenmuller, director and senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution Center on the U.S. and Europe and chair on Germany and Trans-Atlantic relations https://www.brookings.edu/events/finland-nato-and-the-future

6 p.m. 2021 14th St. NW — Institute for Policy Studies discussion: “What’s Behind Netanyahu’s Address to Congress?” with Omar Baddar, Palestinian-American political analyst; Zeina Ashrawi Hutchison, director of development and expansion at the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee; Eran Efrati, director of campaigns and partnerships at Jewish Voice for Peace; and Phyllis Bennis, IPS fellow https://ips-dc.org/events/netanyahuaddress/

WEDNESDAY | JULY 24 

9 a.m. — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research virtual discussion: “Delivering on a Shared Vision with America’s Indo-Pacific Allies and Partners,” with Daniel Kritenbrink, assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs; Ely Ratner, assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific Security affairs; and Mira Rapp-Hooper, National Security Council senior director for East Asia and Oceania https://www.aei.org/events/delivering-on-a-shared-vision

10 a.m. 2141 Rayburn — House Judiciary Committee hearing: “Oversight, Federal Bureau of Investigation,” with testimony from FBI Director Christopher Wray http://judiciary.house.gov

12 p.m. — RAND Corporation virtual discussion: “Reconstructing Ukraine,” with Howard Shatz, senior economist and professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School https://www.rand.org/events/2024/07/rand-policy-lab-reconstructing-ukraine

10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “From Drug Interdictions in the Caribbean to National Security Patrols in the Arctic: Examining U.S. Coast Guard’s Role in Securing the Homeland,” with testimony from Adm. Linda Fagan, commandant, U.S. Coast Guard https://www.youtube.com/watch

10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability National Security, the Border, and Foreign Affairs Subcommittee hearing: “Wasteful Spending and Inefficiencies: Examining DoD Platform Performance and Costs,” with testimony from Moshe Schwartz, senior fellow of acquisition policy at the National Defense Industrial Association; Mackenzie Eaglen, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Bryan Clark, senior fellow and director, Hudson Institute’s Center for Defense Concepts and Technology http://oversight.house.gov

11:30 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Cyber landscape, terrorism threat and transnational repression,” with Matthew Olsen, assistant attorney general for national security https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live/2024/07/24/matt-olsen

2 p.m. House Chamber — Joint meeting, House and Senate to receive an address from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

THURSDAY | JULY 25 

10 a.m. 538 Dirksen — Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing: “Advancing National Security through Export Controls, Investment Security, and the Defense Production Act,” with testimony from Thea Kendler, assistant Commerce secretary for export administration; Paul Rosen, assistant Treasury secretary for investment security; Grant Harris, assistant Commerce secretary for industry and analysis; and Laura Taylor-Kale, Assistant Secretary of Defense for industrial base policy http://banking.senate.gov

12 p.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “U.S.-Israel Relations After Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Visit,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; David Schenker, director, Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Arab Politics Program; Shira Efron, Israeli Policy Forum director of research; and Brian Katulis, MEI senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register

2 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discussion: “The Future of U.S. Nuclear Arms Control Policy,” with Mallory Stewart, assistant secretary of state for arms control, deterrence, and stability; and George Perkovich, CEIP vice president for studies https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/07/the-future-of-us-nuclear-arms-control-policy

2 p.m. CVC-268, U.S. Capitol — Middle East Policy Council Capitol Hill Conference: “Conflict in the Red Sea: The Role of Great Power Actors,” with Bradley Bowman, senior director, Foundation for Defense of Democracies Center on Military and Political Power; Jeffrey Wood, economic security analyst at Systems Planning and Analysis; Nada Al-Hajjri, president, Yemen Information Center; Khalid Alwan, MEPC board member; and Bassima Alghussein, MEPC executive director https://www.eventbrite.com/e/conflict-in-the-red-sea-the-role-of-great-power-actors

FRIDAY | JULY 26 

9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual book discussion: The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan, with editor Matt Pottinger; Ivan Kanapathy, CSIS nonresident senior associate; and Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies https://www.csis.org/events/countering-china-gray-zone-lessons-taiwan

10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “How Strong is China’s Navy?” with Thomas Shugart, adjunct senior fellow, Center for a New American Security Defense Program; and Emma Salisbury, associate fellow in military innovation, Council on Geostrategy https://www.brookings.edu/events/how-strong-is-chinas-navy/

7 p.m. 5015 Connecticut Ave. NW — Politics and Prose Bookstore book discussion: Autocracy, Inc.: The Dictators Who Want to Run the World, with author Anne Applebaum, staff writer at The Atlantic https://www.politics-prose.com/anne-applebaum

, ‘THERE IS NO GUY IN THE WORLD WHO CAN PUSH US TO DO IT’: In an interview following the Republican National Convention, where former President Donald Trump repeated his claim he can quickly end the war in Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky questioned Trump’s plan, and insisted Ukraine will not be pressured to make large territorial concessions to Russia. “The question is, what is the price? And who will pay? So do you think you might pay?” Zelensky told the BBC during his visit to London on Friday. “If he wants to do it during 24 hours, the simple way is to push us to pay… It means just stop, and give, and forget. Sanctions out, everything out. Putin will take the land.” “We will never go on this. Never. And there is no guy in the world who can push us to do it,” Zelensky said. HOW CAN THIS PERSON BE TRUSTED? Zelensky said he is often asked, “What is more important for you, territory or people?” and his answer is “people,” but adds “people are important but it doesn’t mean we can give them 30% of our land.” “First, it’s our land. Secondly, who says they won’t go further,” Zelensky said, according to a BBC translation during the portion of the interview in which Zelensky spoke Ukrainian. “Who said Putin does not simply want us destroyed? He does. He wants a return of the USSR under his control until the end of his days. That’s his plan. And if he sacrificed 500,000 people of his country, who said he wouldn’t want to kill another million of us? If he didn’t spare half a million of his people, how can this person be trusted? I don’t think so.” ON CALL, TWO READOUTS: Zelensky had a phone conversation with Trump the day after his nomination last week to congratulate him and wish him well after the failed attempt on his life.  “President Zelensky of Ukraine and I had a very good phone call earlier today,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform. “I appreciate President Zelensky for reaching out because I, as your next President of the United States, will bring peace to the world and end the war that has cost so many lives and devastated countless innocent families,” Trump said. “Both sides will be able to come together and negotiate a deal that ends the violence and paves a path forward to prosperity.” Zelensky was a bit more circumspect, saying on X that while condemning “the shocking assassination attempt in Pennsylvania” and wishing him “strength and absolute safety in the future,” he also noted the “vital bipartisan and bicameral American support for protecting our nation’s freedom and independence.” “Ukraine will always be grateful to the United States for its help in strengthening our ability to resist Russian terror,” Zelensky said. “We agreed with President Trump to discuss at a personal meeting what steps can make peace fair and truly lasting.” In the BBC interview, Zelensky was asked about the views of Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, who has advocated an end to U.S. aid to Ukraine and, in 2022, said he didn’t care what happened to Ukraine “one way or another.” “Maybe he really doesn’t understand what goes on in Ukraine,” Zelensky said. “So for us, we have to work with the United States and if a new team will come, we have to work with them. We need their support.” TRUMP’S PICK OF JD VANCE AS RUNNING MATE COULD SEAL UKRAINE’S FATE Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie . Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com . If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE NOTE TO READERS: Daily on Defense will take a two-day break this week, and won’t publish on Thursday July 25, and Friday July 26. We’ll be back in your inbox and online Monday July 29.  HAPPENING TODAY: Secret Service Director Kim Cheatle is scheduled to testify at 10 a.m. before the House Oversight and Accountability Committee, the first of several committees demanding answers and accountability for security lapses that allowed an attempted assassin to get a clear head shot that almost killed former President Donald Trump. “Every American can tell that there should have never been allowed anyone on that roof and the fact that there are videos showing that people were trying to notify the authorities, that there was a person on the roof with a gun and nothing was done about it and that shooter was allowed to get that many shots off at President Trump. That’s unacceptable,” Committee Chairman James Comer (R-KY) said on Fox News Sunday. “We want to know who’s at fault for what happened.” There are dozens of questions swirling around the attempt, which killed one spectator and critically wounded two others. This includes a Washington Post report that senior Secret Service officials repeatedly rejected requests from Trump’s security detail for more manpower and gear at events, at times citing a lack of resources. “Look, the Secret Service has a budget of $3.1 billion. They have thousands of employees. There aren’t that many people that require Secret Service protection. There aren’t that many events that the Secret Service have to secure,” Comer told Fox. “So the budget is more than enough to provide adequate protection for the presidential candidate. So we have a lot of questions as to how they’re managing their money.” “Our question for the Director Cheatle is, are you competent to run the Secret Service?” Comer said. “She’s going to have about a six-hour hearing, and she’s going to have hundreds of questions that she’s going to have to answer, and the American people will be watching that hearing.” SECRET SERVICE ADMITS SOME REQUESTS FROM TRUMP DETAIL WERE DENIED MAYORKAS NAMES INDEPENDENT PROBE: Meanwhile, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas announced yesterday he’s appointed a bipartisan, independent panel “to conduct a 45-day independent review of the planning for and actions taken by the U.S. Secret Service and state and local authorities before, during, and after the rally.” Cheatle quickly released a statement welcoming the probe. “We are eager to cooperate with the independent security review,” Cheatle said in a statement. “I look forward to the panel examining what happened and providing recommendations to help ensure it will never happen again.” “The U.S. Secret Service is continuing to take steps to review our actions internally and remain committed to working quickly and transparently with other investigations, including those by Congress, FBI, and the Department of Homeland Security Office of Inspector General,” she said, noting the Secret Service as a “no-fail” mission.  Panel members named so far with “extensive law enforcement and security experience” include former Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano; Frances Townsend, former Homeland Security adviser to President George W. Bush; Mark Filip, a former federal judge and deputy attorney general to President George W. Bush; and David Mitchell, former Secretary of the Department of Public Safety and Homeland Security for the state of Delaware. EX-TRUMP OFFICIALS CALL FOR BIDEN ADMINISTRATION TO DO MORE TO PROTECT THEM FROM IRANIAN RETALIATION ALSO TODAY: Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks and Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant defense secretary for Arctic and Global Resilience, are scheduled to brief reporters at the Pentagon at 3 p.m. on the new “2024 Department of Defense Arctic Strategy.”  The increased melting of Arctic sea ice in recent years has opened up new shipping lanes in the Northern Sea Route which has Arctic countries jockeying for strategic advantage. Russia, in particular, has ramped up military operations in the Arctic, including tests of hypersonic missiles. The briefing will be live-streamed at https://www.defense.gov/News/Live-Events NEXT STEP, PRISONER SWAP? The quick verdict by a Russian court Friday in the show trial of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich on trumped-up charges of espionage is bad news with a tiny sliver of a possible silver lining. Gershkovich was sentenced to 16 years in a maximum-security prison, but that could clear the way for a prisoner swap. “Gershkovich received a sentence of 16 years in a Russian prison, despite having committed no crime,” President Biden said in a statement released by the White House. “He was targeted by the Russian government because he is a journalist and an American. We are pushing hard for Evan’s release and will continue to do so.” “There is no question that Russia is wrongfully detaining Evan. Journalism is not a crime. We will continue to stand strong for press freedom in Russia and worldwide and stand against all those who seek to attack the press or target journalists,” Biden said. “ I have had no higher priority than seeking the release and safe return of Evan, Paul Whelan, and all Americans wrongfully detained and held hostage abroad.” FAMILIES OF AMERICANS DETAINED IN RUSSIA CLING TO HOPE AS TIME PASSES AUSTIN: BIDEN ‘EXTRAORDINARY GUARDIAN OF AMERICA’S NATIONAL SECURITY’: In a statement praising his boss as “one of our great foreign-policy presidents,” Defense Lloyd Austin noted President Joe Biden’s success in uniting NATO in support of Ukraine, his decision to end America’s longest war in Afghanistan, and his efforts to “break barriers” at the Pentagon. “He has made history,” Austin said, by “appointing Kathleen Hicks as the first female Deputy Secretary of Defense, Christine Wormuth as the first female Secretary of the Army, Admiral Lisa Franchetti as the first female Chief of Naval Operations, and the first woman on the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and myself as the first Black Secretary of Defense.” “President Biden has always understood that America’s greatest strategic advantage is our people, and he has sought to make America even stronger and more secure by drawing on the full talents of all of our citizenry,” Austin said. CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER THE RUNDOWN: Washington Examiner : Biden bows out of 2024 presidential race Washington Examiner : Republicans say Biden should resign immediately after historic campaign exit: ‘Not fit to serve’ Washington Examiner : Opinion: Biden ends reelection campaign, doing the right thing for the nation Washington Examiner : Editorial: Biden’s withdrawal — overdue, and insufficient Washington Examiner : Secret Service admits some requests from Trump detail were denied Washington Examiner : Ex-Trump officials call for Biden administration to do more to protect them from Iranian retaliation Washington Examiner : Opinion: The Secret Service director must answer these questions – now Washington Examiner : Families of Americans detained in Russia cling to hope as time passes Washington Examiner : Israel launches retaliatory air strike on Yemen Washington Examiner : Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv brings further attention on Iran threats Washington Examiner : Top US general urges Russia not to give Houthis anti-ship missiles Washington Examiner : Top UN court says Israeli presence in occupied Palestinian territories is illegal Washington Examiner : Army says slides labeling anti-abortion groups as ‘terrorists’ have been used for over seven years Washington Examiner : Opinion:  Trump’s Iron Dome boondoggle won’t make America safer Bloomberg : US Prepares Jamming Devices Targeting Russia, China Satellites AP : China And The Philippines Reach Deal In Effort To Stop Clashes At Fiercely Disputed Shoal Reuters : Taiwan Starts Annual War Games, Aiming To Closely Mimic Actual Combat Washington Post : Afghanistan War Commission opens inquiry of America’s longest conflict Washington Post : Israel Intercepts Missile from Yemen After Airstrikes on Houthi Port Wall Street Journal : US Launches Effort to Stop Russia from Arming Houthis with Antiship Missiles Air & Space Forces Magazine : China Halts Nuclear Arms Control Talks with US: Why and What’s Next Air & Space Forces Magazine : F-35 Deliveries Resume After a Year on Hold Defense One : Lockheed Won’t Get Paid in Full Yet for Upgraded F-35s, Even as Deliveries Resume Defense News : How the Sixth-Generation Fighter Jet Will Upend Air Warfare DefenseScoop : Defense Innovation Board Taking Closer Look at Escalating Military Drone Challenges Military.com : National Guard Chief Warns of ‘Unintended Consequences’ of Transferring Air Guard Units to Space Force Air & Space Forces Magazine : The Air Force’s Zero Trust Strategy Is Out—and Acknowledges Big Hurdles. Air & Space Forces Magazine : Weaker Conventional Military Led Russia to ‘Asymmetric’ Space Nuke: DOD Officials Breaking Defense : Air Force Could Reopen Competition for Sentinel ICBM Ground Infrastructure, Hunter Says Long War Journal : What we know about Russia’s new 3-ton glide bomb Defense One : Air Force Brought in Hard-Nosed Negotiator to Close E-7 Deal with Boeing Aviation Week : Boeing Undertakes VC-25B Improvements, New Schedule to Outline Delays NPR : Navy Exonerates 256 Black Sailors Unjustly Punished Over 1944 Port Explosion Reuters : World’s Youngest Air Force Papua New Guinea Takes to Skies Among Top Guns The Cipher Brief : Analysis: How Trump and Vance Would Deal with Global Hot Zones  The Cipher Brief : Opinion: China’s Party Plenum: About Much More Than Economics THE CALENDAR:  MONDAY | JULY 22 9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies virtual discussion: “How STARCOM (Space Training and Readiness Command) is preparing Guardians, at all stages,ir service, for the realities of space being a warfighting domain,” with Air Force Maj. Gen. Timothy Sejba, commander, Space Force STARCOM https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event/maj-gen-timothy-j-sejba 9 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “China’s Third Plenum: A Plan for Renewed Reform?” with Lingling Wei, Wall St. Journal chief China correspondent; Daniel Rosen, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics; Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies; Bonny Lin, director, CSIS China Power Project; and Scott Kennedy, CSIS chair in Chinese business and economics https://www.csis.org/events/chinas-third-plenum-plan-renewed-reform 10 a.m. — Hudson Institute virtual discussion: “Deterring an Axis of Aggressors,” focusing on Russia, China, Iran and North Korea,” with former White House national security adviser retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, Hudson Japan chair https://www.hudson.org/events/deterring-axis-aggressors 10 a.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “Unpacking Iran’s Presidential Elections: Dr.rs and Implications,” with Holly Dagres, Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow; Arash Ghafouri, CEO, Stasis Consulting; Alex Vatanka, director, MEI Iran Program; and Nazee Moinian, MEI nonresident scholar https://www.mei.edu/events/unpacking-irans-presidential-elections 10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing: “Oversight, U.S. Secret Service and the Attempted Assassination of President Donald J. Trump,” with testimony from U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle http://oversight.house.gov 1 p.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Journalists being held captive and the state of global press freedom,” with Jason Rezaian, former Tehran bureau chief for the Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live 3 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — National Endowment for Democracy in-person and virtual discussion: “Preparing for a Democratic Future of North Korea: Next Generation Leadership,” with U.S. Special envoy for North Korean Human Rights Julie Turner; Yung Ho Kim, Korean minister of unification; Jitae You, actor and memorandum of understanding ambassador on North Korean Human Rights; and Damon Wilson, NED president and CEO https://www.ned.org/events/preparing-for-a-democratic-future-of-north-korea 8 p.m. — Jews United for Democracy and Justice virtual briefing: “Israel in Crisis,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; and Warren Olney, former host, “To the Point” podcast https://www.jewsunitedfordemocracy.org/event/july-22 TUESDAY | JULY 23  6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd., Arlington, Va. — Association, U.S. Army “Coffee Series” in-person event with Lt. Gen. Sean Gainey, commanding general of U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command https://www.ausa.org/events/coffee-series/ltg-gainey 8 a.m. 7920 Jones Branch Dr., McLean, Va. — Potomac Officers Club 2024 Air Defense Summit, with Air Force Undersecretary Melissa Dalton; Air Force CIO Venice Goodwine; Timothy Grayson, special assistant to the Air Force secretary for mission-centered analysis and operational imperatives https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-air-force-summit/ 9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies conference: “The 2024 International Dialogue on North Korean Human Rights,” with South Korea Ambassador to the U.S. Hyundong Cho; ROK Minister of Unification Yung Ho Kim, U.N. Special Rapporteur on the Situation of Human Rights in the DPRK Elizabeth Salmon https://www.csis.org/events/2024-international-dialogue 10 a.m. 2118 Rayburn — House Armed Services Joint Subcommittee hearing: Mobility Aircraft Relevance and Survivability in a Contested Environment,” with testimony from Air Force Gen. Mike Minihan, commander, Air Mobility Command; Air Force Lt. Gen. David Tabor, director of programs, Office, Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans and Programs; Rear Adm. Derek Trinque, director, strategic plans, policy, and logistics, U.S. Transportation Command https://armedservices.house.gov/committee-activity/hearings 10 a.m. 2172 Rayburn — House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing: “Member Roundtable with Families of U.S. Hostages Held by Hamas,” with testimony from family members of Americans held hostage by Hamas following the October 7th attack on Israel http://foreignaffairs.house.gov 10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “Examining the Assassination Attempt of July 13,” with testimony from witnesses TBA http://homeland.house.gov 10 a.m. HVC-210, U.S. Capitol — House (Select) Strategic Competition Between the U.S. and the Chinese Communist Party Committee hearing: “The Great Firewall and the CCP’s Export of its Techno-Authoritarian Surveillance State,” with testimony from Nat Kretchun, senior vice president for programs for the Open Technology Fund; Zack Cooper, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Xiao Qiang, founder and editor-in-chief, China Digital Times https://selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/ 11 a.m. — Wilson Center Polar Institute virtual discussion: “The DOD’s New Arctic Strategy,” with Amanda Dory, acting undersecretary of defense for policy; Iris Ferguson, deputy assistant secretary of defense for Arctic and global resilience; Maj. Gen. Odd-Harald Hagen, defense attache at the Norwegian Embassy; Rebecca Pincus, director, Wilson Center Polar Institute; and former U.S. Agency for International Development Administrator Mark Green, president and CEO, Wilson Center https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/dods-new-arctic-strategy 3 p.m. — Washington Post live virtual discussion, “Rep. Adam Smith on his call for Biden to leave the Democratic 2024 ticket,” with Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live 3 p.m. 608 Dirksen — Sen. Chuck Grassley, (R-IA); and Sen. Ron Johnson, (R-WI) discussion: “Reckless Disregard: How DHS’ Failure to Collect DNA at the Border Endangers Americans,” with whistleblowers from DHS and Customs and Border Protection; and subject matter expert Kumar Kibble RSVP: Clare_Slattery@grassley.senate.gov 3 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution Talbott Center for Security and Technology and Center on the U.S. and Europe discussion: “Finland, NATO, and the Future of Trans-Atlantic Security,” with Finnish Ambassador to the U.S. Mikko Hautala; Michael O’Hanlon, director of research in the Brookings Institution’s Foreign Policy Program director, Brookings Institution’s Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology; and chair in defense and strategy at the Brookings Institution; and Constanze Stelzenmuller, director and senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution Center on the U.S. and Europe and chair on Germany and Trans-Atlantic relations https://www.brookings.edu/events/finland-nato-and-the-future 6 p.m. 2021 14th St. NW — Institute for Policy Studies discussion: “What’s Behind Netanyahu’s Address to Congress?” with Omar Baddar, Palestinian-American political analyst; Zeina Ashrawi Hutchison, director of development and expansion at the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee; Eran Efrati, director of campaigns and partnerships at Jewish Voice for Peace; and Phyllis Bennis, IPS fellow https://ips-dc.org/events/netanyahuaddress/ WEDNESDAY | JULY 24  9 a.m. — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research virtual discussion: “Delivering on a Shared Vision with America’s Indo-Pacific Allies and Partners,” with Daniel Kritenbrink, assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs; Ely Ratner, assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific Security affairs; and Mira Rapp-Hooper, National Security Council senior director for East Asia and Oceania https://www.aei.org/events/delivering-on-a-shared-vision 10 a.m. 2141 Rayburn — House Judiciary Committee hearing: “Oversight, Federal Bureau of Investigation,” with testimony from FBI Director Christopher Wray http://judiciary.house.gov 12 p.m. — RAND Corporation virtual discussion: “Reconstructing Ukraine,” with Howard Shatz, senior economist and professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School https://www.rand.org/events/2024/07/rand-policy-lab-reconstructing-ukraine 10 a.m. 310 Cannon — House Homeland Security Committee hearing: “From Drug Interdictions in the Caribbean to National Security Patrols in the Arctic: Examining U.S. Coast Guard’s Role in Securing the Homeland,” with testimony from Adm. Linda Fagan, commandant, U.S. Coast Guard https://www.youtube.com/watch 10 a.m. 2154 Rayburn — House Oversight and Accountability National Security, the Border, and Foreign Affairs Subcommittee hearing: “Wasteful Spending and Inefficiencies: Examining DoD Platform Performance and Costs,” with testimony from Moshe Schwartz, senior fellow of acquisition policy at the National Defense Industrial Association; Mackenzie Eaglen, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute; and Bryan Clark, senior fellow and director, Hudson Institute’s Center for Defense Concepts and Technology http://oversight.house.gov 11:30 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Cyber landscape, terrorism threat and transnational repression,” with Matthew Olsen, assistant attorney general for national security https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live/2024/07/24/matt-olsen 2 p.m. House Chamber — Joint meeting, House and Senate to receive an address from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu THURSDAY | JULY 25  10 a.m. 538 Dirksen — Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing: “Advancing National Security through Export Controls, Investment Security, and the Defense Production Act,” with testimony from Thea Kendler, assistant Commerce secretary for export administration; Paul Rosen, assistant Treasury secretary for investment security; Grant Harris, assistant Commerce secretary for industry and analysis; and Laura Taylor-Kale, Assistant Secretary of Defense for industrial base policy http://banking.senate.gov 12 p.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “U.S.-Israel Relations After Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Visit,” with Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; David Schenker, director, Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Arab Politics Program; Shira Efron, Israeli Policy Forum director of research; and Brian Katulis, MEI senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register 2 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discussion: “The Future of U.S. Nuclear Arms Control Policy,” with Mallory Stewart, assistant secretary of state for arms control, deterrence, and stability; and George Perkovich, CEIP vice president for studies https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/07/the-future-of-us-nuclear-arms-control-policy 2 p.m. CVC-268, U.S. Capitol — Middle East Policy Council Capitol Hill Conference: “Conflict in the Red Sea: The Role of Great Power Actors,” with Bradley Bowman, senior director, Foundation for Defense of Democracies Center on Military and Political Power; Jeffrey Wood, economic security analyst at Systems Planning and Analysis; Nada Al-Hajjri, president, Yemen Information Center; Khalid Alwan, MEPC board member; and Bassima Alghussein, MEPC executive director https://www.eventbrite.com/e/conflict-in-the-red-sea-the-role-of-great-power-actors FRIDAY | JULY 26  9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual book discussion: The Boiling Moat: Urgent Steps to Defend Taiwan, with editor Matt Pottinger; Ivan Kanapathy, CSIS nonresident senior associate; and Jude Blanchette, CSIS chair in China studies https://www.csis.org/events/countering-china-gray-zone-lessons-taiwan 10 a.m. — Brookings Institution virtual discussion: “How Strong is China’s Navy?” with Thomas Shugart, adjunct senior fellow, Center for a New American Security Defense Program; and Emma Salisbury, associate fellow in military innovation, Council on Geostrategy https://www.brookings.edu/events/how-strong-is-chinas-navy/ 7 p.m. 5015 Connecticut Ave. NW — Politics and Prose Bookstore book discussion: Autocracy, Inc.: The Dictators Who Want to Run the World, with author Anne Applebaum, staff writer at The Atlantic https://www.politics-prose.com/anne-applebaum, , ‘There is no guy in the world who can push us to do it’: Zelensky vows Trump won’t force Ukraine to surrender, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/daily-on-defense-1024×580.png, Washington Examiner, Political News and Conservative Analysis About Congress, the President, and the Federal Government, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/cropped-favicon-32×32.png, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed/, Jamie McIntyre,

Trump’s pick of JD Vance as running mate could seal Ukraine’s fate thumbnail

Trump’s pick of JD Vance as running mate could seal Ukraine’s fate

Of all the candidates former President Donald Trump could have chosen to be his vice presidential nominee, there are few more adamant about cutting off further military assistance to Ukraine than Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH).

In 2022, while campaigning for his Senate seat with Trump’s blessing, Vance famously told Steve Bannon on his Real America’s Voice podcast, “I’ve got to be honest with you. I don’t really care what happens to Ukraine one way or the other.”

The New Atlantis
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump is introduced during the Republican National Convention Tuesday, July 16, 2024, in Milwaukee. At right is Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio. (Paul Sancya/AP Photo)

Once elected, Vance became the most powerful voice arguing Ukraine had no path to victory and that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was emboldened to continue a futile and costly war only because he was being egged on and armed by President Joe Biden’s administration.

Vance’s hard-line views were on full display in February at the Munich Security Conference, where alone among the members of the U.S. congressional delegation, he skipped a meeting with Zelensky and instead argued during a panel discussion that the U.S. problem with Ukraine is “there’s no clear endpoint.”

At the time, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) was blocking a vote on $95 billion foreign aid and border security legislation, which included just over $60 billion for Ukraine.

“I have to be honest to you, that is not going to fundamentally change the reality on the battlefield,” Vance said, arguing the real problem is “not money, it’s munitions.”

He argued that the United States simply doesn’t have the industrial capacity to keep sending arms and ammunition to Ukraine, especially when a future war with China is becoming a frightening real possibility.

The New Atlantis
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky stands in front of a Patriot air defense missile system during a visit to a military training area in the German state of Western Pomerania, Tuesday, June 11, 2024. (Jens Buettner/dpa via AP)

“What is realistic to accomplish in Ukraine?” he said. “Can we send the level of weaponry we’ve set for the last 18 months for the next 18 months? We simply cannot.”

“I’m not sure he understands what’s going on here,” Zelensky told CNN when asked about Vance’s comments.

“To understand it is to come to the front line to see what’s going on,” Zelensky said, insisting the end of U.S. aid would be catastrophic for his people. “He will understand that millions … will be killed. It’s a fact.”

Vance did not take up the invitation to visit the front lines, pretty much for the same reason he did for not meeting with Zelensky in Munich.

“I didn’t think I would learn anything new,” Vance said.

Vance has argued that the only realistic goal is to push for a negotiated peace. In an appearance on Fox News just hours after he was named the vice presidential nominee at the just-concluded Republican National Convention, he told host Sean Hannity that he has little doubt that Trump, the master dealmaker, can pull it off.

“I think what President Trump has promised to do is go in there, negotiate with the Russians and Ukrainians, bring this thing to a rapid close so that America can focus on the real issue, which is China,” Vance said. “That’s the biggest threat to our country. And we’re completely distracted from it.”

That kind of talk is music to the ears of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who’s hearing a clear message: Hang on until November, and Trump will force Zelensky, under threat of a cutoff of U.S. aid, to make major territorial concessions at the bargaining table.

“They are celebrating that choice both in Milwaukee tonight and in Moscow,” former Rep. Adam Kinzinger, an implacable Trump critic and one of two Republicans who served on the Jan. 6 Committee, said in an appearance on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert.

“J.D. Vance is aggressively parroting actual Russian talking points,” added Kinzinger, who represented exurban Chicago and rural Illinois districts in the House from 2011 to 2023.

With polls showing Trump leading in the key states that decide a presidential election and riding a wave of goodwill following his narrow escape from an assassin’s bullet, the feeling of foreboding in Kyiv is palpable, even as Zelensky puts on a brave face.

“I am not afraid,” Zelensky said when asked if he was worried Trump would curtail or completely cut off military assistance, but he was rattled by reports that a Washington think tank headed by former Trump advisers was drafting a plan to do just that.

“It would be fair if Trump knows how to end this war, he should tell us today, because if there are risks to Ukraine’s independence, there are risks that we will lose statehood, we want to be prepared,” Zelensky told Bloomberg Television earlier this month.

“We want to understand whether in November we will have the powerful support of the U.S., or we’ll be all alone.”

Zelensky is adamantly opposed to making a deal with Russia because he says Putin never honors his commitments.

Recall that Ukraine, in 1994, gave up its Soviet-era nuclear weapons in return for assurances from the U.S., the United Kingdom, and Russia its territorial sovereignty would never be violated.

“We must understand that Russia would be using the ceasefire to simply accumulate equipment on the territory, our territory, that they’ve occupied,” Zelensky said. “They can accuse us of breaking or breaking the ceasefire and start another invasion.”

“I think it’s going to be very bad for Ukraine,” former Trump national security adviser John Bolton said on MSNBC after Vance was nominated. “What Vance has said about [Ukraine] is wrong in many material respects. I don’t think he appreciates the American national security interests in protecting Ukraine against this unprovoked Russian aggression.

“There seems to be this idea that we’re doing this out of the goodness of our hearts, it’s an act of charity, we’re nice people,” Bolton said. “Although we are, we’re doing it because there’s an American national security interest in peace and security in Europe.”

“I’m not worried at all,” Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) said on CNN. “I know J.D. Vance believes in a strong and confident America. The thing that J.D. Vance is concerned about, that we should all be concerned about, is that we’ve let our manufacturing base in this country atrophy to the point where we may have to start making hard decisions.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“He’s concerned, as am I, as are many Republicans,” Cotton said, “that if we have war in Europe with Ukraine, if we have war in the Middle East with Iran and all of its proxies from Hamas and Hezbollah and outlaw rebels in Yemen, and we have China threatening war in Taiwan, that our current defense industry and our manufacturing base cannot support all of those wars and our defense as well. That’s something that we have to fix. It’s something I know that President Trump will fix.”

“It is the case that China is the existential threat this century, but it’s forming an axis with Russia,” Bolton counters. “These conflicts are connected. I think there’s a real disconnect here. But the bottom line is that these are candidates who do not fundamentally understand that a strong American presence in the world is good for us here at home.”

In interview, Trump waffles over whether Taiwan is worth defending from China thumbnail

In interview, Trump waffles over whether Taiwan is worth defending from China

‘THEY TOOK ALL OF OUR CHIP BUSINESS’: In a lengthy interview with Bloomberg, former President Donald Trump suggested the United States might not come to Taiwan’s defense if China attempts to take over the self-governing island by force — unless, maybe, Taiwan paid the U.S. a lot of money.

In the interview — conducted three weeks ago, but published as a cover story in Bloomberg Businessweek this week, Trump rails against Taiwan’s thriving microchip industry, which produces over 90% of the world’s microchips. 

“Taiwan took our chip business from us. I mean, how stupid are we?” Trump said. “They took almost 100% of our chip industry, I give them credit. That’s because stupid people were running the country. We should have never let that happen. Now we’re giving them billions of dollars to build new chips in our country, and then they’re going to take that too, in other words, they’ll build it but then they’ll bring it back to their country.”

‘WE’RE NO DIFFERENT THAN AN INSURANCE COMPANY’: Trump suggested that the U.S. may not be in a position to defend Taiwan because it is so far away.

“Taiwan doesn’t give us anything. Taiwan is 9,500 miles away. It’s 68 miles away from China,” he said. “I just think we have to be smart, but remember, 9,500 miles away. You have to do double loads on airplanes to get them over, by the time they get over here, they have to leave. But it’s a very, very difficult thing.”

“China’s a massive piece of land, they could just bombard it. They don’t even need to — I mean, they can literally just send shells. Now they don’t want to do that because they don’t want to lose all those chip plants,” Trump said. “But I will tell you, that’s the apple of President Xi [Jinping]’s eye,” he added, echoing language he’s used to describe Russian President Vladimir Putin’s desire to take over most, if not all, of Ukraine. 

“Taiwan should pay us for defense. You know, we’re no different than an insurance company,” Trump said. “They’re immensely wealthy.”

‘NORTH KOREA HAS A LOT OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS’: Trump also argued that under the administration of President Joe Biden, the world has become a more dangerous place. “The worst thing that happened,” he said, is that Biden, who he called “a stupid person,” forced Russia and China “to get married.”

“They’re married. Then they took in their little cousin, Iran, and then they took in North Korea. They don’t need anybody else. They don’t need anybody else,” Trump said. “China has aligned with Russia, Iran, and North Korea. And North Korea has a lot of nuclear weapons. I can tell you that. I don’t think that’s confidential. They have a lot.”

“This is a different world than it was three-and-a-half years ago,” he told Bloomberg. “I actually worry about the five months that we have left. Right, I think you could end up in a, you could end up in a World War III.”

CHINA AND RUSSIA CHALLENGE NATO AT UN

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

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HAPPENING TODAY: Tonight’s the third night of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, and the party’s vice presidential nominee, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), will step into the spotlight before a national audience as he addresses a national television audience of over 20 million people.

Vance, 39, is the first millennial to join a major party ticket. With his youthful vigor and sharp debating skills, he will attempt to draw a stark contrast with 81-year-old President Joe Biden.

Last night, in convention speeches, former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis endorsed Trump after criticizing him harshly during their primary campaigns.

“I’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear. Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said of the nominee who she called “unfit for office” while she was still in the race. “You don’t have to agree with Trump 100 percent of the time to vote for him. Take it from me. I haven’t always agreed with President Trump, but we agree more often than we disagree.”

“Though bloodied by our wounds, we must stand up, and we must fight — fight not with violence or destruction but with our voices and our votes,” Rubio said in his endorsement speech. “We will not be alone in this fight. For leading us in this fight will be a man who, although wounded and facing danger, he stood up and raised his fist and reminded us that our people and our country are always worth fighting for.”

Trump will accept the nomination tomorrow, on the convention’s final night.

RNC DAY 3: WHAT TO EXPECT AS GOP PLEDGES TO ‘MAKE AMERICA STRONG AGAIN’

‘IT’S JUST UNEXPLAINABLE’: The revelation that U.S. intelligence has been tracking an ongoing threat from Iran to assassinate Donald Trump, and that consequently the Secret Service had increased security around the former president, has made the sloppy security lapses around Trump’s Butler, Pa. rally Saturday even more baffling.

White House officials said the threats from Iran began years ago, after the 2020 drone strike Trump ordered to take out Qassem Soleimani, leader of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Quds Force.

“These threats arise from Iran’s desire to seek revenge for the killing of Qassem Soleimani. We consider this a national and homeland security matter of the highest priority,” said Adrienne Watson, a spokesperson for the National Security Council.

“It’s just unexplainable,” Mike Turner (R-OH), chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, said on CNN. “I mean, obviously, when you have such an unbelievable security failure, and then you have them saying that this is also in the backdrop of them thinking that a state actor, Iran, might be trying to attack the President, certainly makes it even more critical that we look at the failures of the Secret Service.”

“I see these reports that they heightened security. This was not heightened security,” Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) said on The Ingraham Angle on Fox last night. 

“We’ve known for a while. It’s been public. It’s been publicized that Iran wants to kill American officials, including the President and anyone they blame for the attack on Soleimani,” Rubio told host Laura Ingraham. “Now, was this a systemic breakdown, or was this a one incident in which someone made a mistake? Is there something rotten at the core of the Secret Service? I think that’s the big question that has to be answered.”

“It appears that his Secret Service is in shambles,” Turner said, “Even though you have great people there that are willing to risk their lives trying to protect President Trump.”

“Thank God, President Trump is alive today, Turner said, “but clearly they have not risen to the occasion.”

“This was not some ninja. This guy was not some Navy SEAL or commando. I mean, this was a kid,” Rubio said.

SECRET SERVICE ADDED SECURITY MEASURES FOR TRUMP BEFORE ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT

“THE PILOT LIGHT IS ALWAY ON’: Iran is not likely to abandon its effort to exact revenge on Trump, warns Behnam Ben Taleblu, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “Domestic divisions or not, Iranian officials continue to believe that blood will only wash away blood.”

“Make no mistake, lapses in security can and will permit Iran-backed plots to succeed,” Taleblu said in comments emailed to the Washington Examiner. “While fortunately many have been discovered or thwarted over the years, the rise in Iran-backed terror and kidnapping attempts using proxies and trans-national criminal syndicates means that Tehran believes quantity has a quality of its own and is waiting for a mistake.”

“Tehran’s terror threat against Trump is like a pilot light: always on in the background and can be scaled up in intensity at a time of their own choosing,” he adds.

OPINION: BIDEN SHOULD FIRE THE SECRET SERVICE DIRECTOR, BUT HE WON’T

THE RUNDOWN:

Washington Examiner: Secret Service added security measures for Trump before assassination attempt

Washington Examiner: Republicans threaten Secret Service director to resign or lose salary

Washington Examiner: Green demands Mayorkas, Wray, and Cheatle testify on Capitol Hill about Trump assassination attempt

Washington Examiner: Strengthening Secret Service protection is far easier said than done

Washington Examiner: Trump Secret Service detail noticeably reinforced at Republican National Convention

Washington Examiner: Security increases at White House and nearby park after Trump assassination attempt

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Biden should fire the Secret Service director, but he won’t

Washington Examiner: China and Russia challenge NATO at UN

Washington Examiner: Vance: US should want Israel to finish war ‘as quickly as possible’

Washington Examiner: State Department clarifies Biden comments on Israel-Saudi Arabia talks

Washington Examiner: What Trump documents case dismissal means for special counsels and Jack Smith

Washington Examiner: Schumer calls on Bob Menendez to resign from Senate after criminal conviction

Washington Examiner: From the Air Force Academy to the MLB All-Star Game: Paul Skenes takes the mound

Bloomberg: Trump on Taxes, Tariffs, Jerome Powell and More

AP: Three days after attempted assassination, Trump shooter remains an elusive enigma

AP: Ukraine faces twin challenges of fighting Russia and shifting political sands in the US

New York Times: North Korean Diplomat Defects to the South, Shares News of Political Purge

Defense News: US Renews Call on China to Stop Aggressive Actions in Disputed Sea

New York Times: 9 Months Of Deterring Houthi Attacks In The Red Sea

Reuters: Tanker Assesses Possible Red Sea Oil Spill After Houthi Attack, Maritime Center Says

Military.com: JD Vance’s Marine Corps Service Would Set Him Apart from Most Vice Presidents

Military.com: Delay in Pentagon Sharing Osprey Crash Data Sparks Threats from House Oversight Committee

Wall Street Journal: Musk Says He Will Move X and SpaceX Headquarters Out of California

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Fighters from Around the World Join in on Massive Exercise in Australia

DefenseScoop: Air Force Issues Presolicitation for Next-Gen Target Tracking

Air & Space Forces Magazine: New Engine Core Upgrade for F-35 Powerplant Passes Preliminary Design Review

The War Zone: Navy’s F/A-XX Next Generation Fighter Program Would Be Gutted Under Senate Defense Bill

Defense One: The Pentagon’s Generative-AI Task Force Is Trying to Answer a Lot of Questions

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Can JADC2 Help the Air Force Build a New Nuclear Command and Control System?

Breaking Defense: Vacant Chairs Popping Up at Pentagon’s Space Policy Shop

Air & Space Forces Magazine: CSAF Wants Airmen to Read Up on Drone Warfare, George Marshall, and More

The Cipher Brief: In Wake of Trump Attack, How to Stop the Violence? Former CIA Officers Weigh In on a Counterinsurgency Program for America

The Cipher Brief: After Trump Assassination Attempt, a Reckoning for America

The Cipher Brief: Opinion: The Senate Drives a Nuclear Spending Spree

THE CALENDAR:

WEDNESDAY | JULY 17

3 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies International Security Program virtual discussion: “The Importance of National Resilience: Implications for Taiwan,” with CSIS experts: Seth Jones, senior vice president; Harold Brown chair; and director, International Security Program; Bonny Lin, director, China Power Project and Senior Fellow, Asian Security; Daniel Byman, senior fellow, Warfare, Irregular Threats, and Terrorism Program; and Jude Blanchette, Freeman chair in China Studies, CSIS https://www.csis.org/events/importance-national-resilience-implications-taiwan

3:30 p.m. Aspen, Colorado — 2024 Aspen Security Forum in-person and virtual discussion: “The Next Gen Industrial Base,” with Gen. Stephen Whiting, commander, U.S. Space Command: Lt. Gen. Jeff Kruse, director, Defense Intelligence Agency; and Doug Beck, director, Defense Innovation Unit. aspeninstitute.wufoo.com/forms

4 p.m. — Franciscan Action Network virtual discussion: “Nuclear Weapons: What You Don’t Know Can Hurt You,” with James Acton, co-director of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Nuclear Policy Program; Ira Helfand, member of steering group of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons; and Maylene Hughes, regional grassroots organizing and policy coordinator at Physicians for Social Responsibility in Los Angeles https://franciscanactionnetwork.salsalabs.org/nuclearweaponswebinar

6:45 p.m. EDT Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin — Republican National Committee holds the 2024 Republican National Convention, with Donald Trump Jr. delivering remarks

8 p.m. — Jews United for Democracy virtual discussion: “Defining Success in Ukraine and Gaza,” with Richard Haass, former State Department director of policy planning and former president of the Council on Foreign Relations; and Patt Morrison, columnist for the Los Angeles Times https://www.jewsunitedfordemocracy.org/event

THURSDAY | JULY 18

9 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “How Does the Taiwan Public View the U.S. and China?” with James Lee, assistant research fellow at Academia Sinica’s Institute of European and American Studies; Wen-Chin Wu, research fellow at Academic Sinica’s Institute of Political Science; Hsin-Hsin Pan, associate professor of sociology at Soochow University; and Chien-Huei Wu, research fellow at Academia Sinica’s Institute of European and American Studies https://www.csis.org/events/how-does-taiwan-public-view-us-and-china

11:10 a.m. Aspen, Colorado — 2024 Aspen Security Forum in-person and virtual discussion: “NATO, Europe, and Ukraine, with Gen. Christopher Cavoli, supreme allied commander Europe and commander, U.S. European Command https://aspeninstitute.wufoo.com/forms

12:30 p.m. Aspen, Colorado — 2024 Aspen Security Forum in-person and virtual discussion: “Resiliency and National Security,” with Army Secretary Christine Wormuth https://aspeninstitute.wufoo.com/forms

1:05 p.m. Aspen, Colorado — 2024 Aspen Security Forum in-person and virtual fireside chat with Gen. Laura Richardson, commander, U.S. Southern Command https://aspeninstitute.wufoo.com/forms

6:45 EDT Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin — Republican National Committee holds the 2024 Republican National Convention, with Former President Donald Trump delivering remarks

FRIDAY | JULY 19

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “U.S.-China relation,” with U.S. Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns https://www.csis.org/events/fireside-discussion-us-ambassador-china-nicholas-burns

10:30 a.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “Adapting NATO’s Nuclear Posture to Current Threats,” with Vipin Narang, acting assistant defense secretary for space policy; and Stacie Pettyjohn, director of the CNAS Defense Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-adapting-natos-nuclear-posture

TUESDAY | JULY 23

6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd., Arlington, Virginia — Association of the U.S. Army “Coffee Series” in-person event with Lt. Gen. Sean Gainey, commanding general of U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command https://www.ausa.org/events/coffee-series/ltg-gainey

WEDNESDAY | JULY 24

11:30 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Cyber landscape, terrorism threat and transnational repression,” with Matthew Olsen, assistant attorney general for national security https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live/2024/07/24/matt-olsen

2 p.m. House Chamber — Joint meeting of the House and Senate to receive an address from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu